| YouGov questioned 1,400 electors throughout Britain online between 28 and 30 April, 2005. The raw data has been weighted to the profile of all electors. YouGov abides by the rules of the British Polling Council
|
| | All | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-50 | 50+ |
| Voting intention (excluding don't knows, will not vote) |
|
| Conservative | 33% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 35% | 31% | 24% | 27% | 40% | |
| Labour | 36% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 40% | 33% | |
| Liberal Democrat | 23% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 21% | 29% | 24% | 20% | |
| Some other party | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 7% | |
| Will not vote | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 7% | 3% | |
| Don't know | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 14% | 9% | |
| Which party do you trust to more to run the economy? |
| Labour | 48% | 4% | 96% | 55% | 51% | 45% | 49% | 51% | 44% | |
| Conservatives | 28% | 84% | 1% | 8% | 28% | 28% | 17% | 23% | 37% | |
| Don't know | 24% | 12% | 3% | 36% | 21% | 28% | 34% | 26% | 18% | |
| When you see Tony Blair on television, do you think of him as:
A grinning liar? |
| Yes, I do | 46% | 84% | 5% | 52% | 47% | 46% | 42% | 44% | 50% | |
| No, I do not | 42% | 11% | 86% | 35% | 44% | 40% | 43% | 45% | 38% | |
| Don't know | 12% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 12% | |
| An actor playing a part |
| Yes, I do | 56% | 87% | 15% | 67% | 57% | 55% | 51% | 54% | 61% | |
| No, I do not | 34% | 9% | 74% | 27% | 36% | 33% | 35% | 37% | 32% | |
| Don't know | 9% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 7% | |
| A strong Labour leader who makes a good prime minister |
| Yes, I do | 36% | 6% | 82% | 29% | 39% | 33% | 35% | 39% | 34% | |
| No, I do not | 50% | 88% | 8% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 41% | 47% | 57% | |
| Don't know | 14% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 15% | 9% | |
| When you see Michael Howard on television, do you think of him as:
A scary right-winger |
| Yes, I do | 37% | 2% | 62% | 60% | 42% | 32% | 33% | 40% | 35% | |
| No, I do not | 44% | 91% | 20% | 24% | 45% | 44% | 39% | 38% | 53% | |
| Don't know | 19% | 6% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 24% | 28% | 22% | 12% | |
| Somebody I'd never want to see as prime minister |
| Yes, I do | 51% | 8% | 82% | 78% | 54% | 48% | 51% | 56% | 47% | |
| No, I do not | 34% | 86% | 9% | 16% | 35% | 34% | 28% | 28% | 42% | |
| Don't know | 15% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 11% | |
| A strong Conservative leader who'd make a good prime minister |
| Yes, I do | 26% | 77% | 3% | 8% | 27% | 26% | 19% | 20% | 35% | |
| No, I do not | 54% | 8% | 87% | 77% | 59% | 50% | 53% | 59% | 50% | |
| Don't know | 20% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 21% | 15% | |
| When you see Charles Kennedy on television, do you think of him as:
An amiable buffoon |
| Yes, I do | 33% | 48% | 34% | 11% | 33% | 34% | 22% | 30% | 41% | |
| No, I do not | 54% | 42% | 54% | 85% | 58% | 51% | 55% | 57% | 52% | |
| Don't know | 12% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 12% | 7% | |
| Somebody who couldn’t cope as prime minister |
| Yes, I do | 52% | 76% | 60% | 16% | 56% | 48% | 44% | 49% | 58% | |
| No, I do not | 29% | 13% | 23% | 66% | 30% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 24% | |
| Don't know | 19% | 10% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 18% | |
| A strong Liberal Democrat leader who'd make a good prime minister |
| Yes, I do | 24% | 8% | 17% | 65% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 21% | |
| No, I do not | 49% | 76% | 57% | 12% | 53% | 46% | 39% | 46% | 57% | |
| Don't know | 27% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 32% | 35% | 27% | 22% | |
| Following the publication of the Attorney General's advice on the Iraq war, what is your view of that war? |
| I thought it was right and I still do | 31% | 22% | 56% | 17% | 36% | 27% | 30% | 31% | 32% | |
| I thought it was wrong and I still do | 42% | 48% | 23% | 61% | 40% | 44% | 38% | 43% | 44% | |
| I used to think it was right but now I think it was wrong | 12% | 25% | 4% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 17% | |
| I used to think it was wrong but now I think it was right | 2% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| Don't know 12% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 24% | 14% | 4% | |
| Do you think Tony Blair lied about the legal case for war, or not? |
| Yes, he lied | 52% | 87% | 14% | 62% | 53% | 51% | 49% | 51% | 55% | |
| No, he did not | 29% | 7% | 61% | 26% | 34% | 25% | 23% | 29% | 32% | |
| Don't know | 19% | 6% | 25% | 12% | 13% | 24% | 28% | 20% | 14% | |
| Has the Iraq war changed the way you intend to vote? |
| Yes, I was going to vote Labour but will not do so now | 8% | 8% | 0% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 8% | |
| Yes, I wasn't going to vote Labour but will do so now | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| No, I was going to vote Labour and will continue to do so | 29% | 0% | 91% | 3% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 31% | 28% | |
| No, I wasn't going to vote Labour anyway | 51% | 89% | 2% | 71% | 51% | 50% | 46% | 47% | 56% | |
| Don't know | 12% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 12% | 7% | |
| Which of these statements comes closest to your view? |
| ‘Tony Blair told the truth as he saw it about Iraq, and used sound judgement in deciding to take part in the invasion of Iraq two years ago’ | 23% | 4% | 54% | 13% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 21% | 26% | |
| ‘Tony Blair probably exaggerated the threat from Iraq, without lying outright. 35% | 26% | 39% | 41% | 37% | 34% | 40% | 37% | 31% | |
| ‘Tony Blair deliberately lied at the time of the war in order to secure public and parliamentary approval for the invasion’ | 36% | 68% | 3% | 43% | 38% | 34% | 26% | 34% | 42% | |
| Don’t know | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 8% | 1% | |
| The Conservatives say Tony Blair lied about Iraq and that this shows he lies about many other things as well. Do you agree or disagree? |
| Agree | 40% | 82% | 5% | 42% | 42% | 39% | 34% | 36% | 47% | |
| Disagree | 46% | 10% | 89% | 44% | 49% | 43% | 43% | 49% | 44% | |
| Don't know | 14% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 14% | 9% | |
| Have the tactics and issues raised by the Conservatives during this election made you more or less likely to vote for the party? |
| More likely | 13% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 17% | |
| Less likely | 25% | 4% | 37% | 34% | 28% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 24% | |
| Made no difference - would have voted Conservative anyway | 19% | 62% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 24% | |
| Made no difference - would not have voted Conservative | 36% | 0% | 54% | 57% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 41% | 30% | |
| Don't know 9% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 9% | 4% | |
| Irrespective of how you intend to vote, which of the following outcomes do you think would be best for the country? |
| A Labour victory with a very large majority, similar to now | 21% | 0% | 58% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 23% | 21% | |
| A Labour victory but with a much smaller majority | 24% | 9% | 37% | 32% | 31% | 18% | 29% | 26% | 21% | |
| A ‘hung’ parliament with no party in overall control | 22% | 19% | 3% | 42% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 23% | 25% | |
| A Conservative victory | 21% | 68% | 0% | 6% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 17% | 28% | |
| Don't know | 11% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 22% | 11% | 5% | |
| If you had to choose between a Conservative victory and a Labour victory with a very large majority, which would you LEAST like to see? |
| Least like a Conservative victory | 48% | 2% | 94% | 60% | 49% | 47% | 49% | 52% | 44% | |
| Least like a Labour victory with a very large majority | 42% | 96% | 3% | 32% | 45% | 39% | 34% | 38% | 50% | |
| Don't know 10% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 6% | |
| Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? ‘There is a real prospect that enough Labour supporters could stay at home, or vote Liberal Democrat, to let the Conservatives win the election ‘by the back door’. |
| Agree | 41% | 40% | 43% | 43% | 42% | 40% | 35% | 39% | 46% | |
| Disagree | 30% | 28% | 33% | 38% | 37% | 25% | 29% | 36% | 27% | |
| Don’t know | 29% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 21% | 36% | 36% | 25% | 28% | |
| Irrespective of the way you intend to vote, do you feel friendly or hostile towards the Labour Party? |
| Very friendly | 11% | 0% | 34% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 14% | |
| Fairly friendly | 36% | 13% | 57% | 42% | 39% | 33% | 40% | 40% | 30% | |
| Fairly hostile | 28% | 45% | 4% | 36% | 29% | 28% | 26% | 24% | 33% | |
| Very hostile | 16% | 36% | 0% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 15% | 19% | |
| Don’t know | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 10% | 4% | |
| (To those hostile to the Labour Party) Which of these factors, if any, contribute most to your feeling of hostility towards the Labour Party? [Please tick all that apply] |
| Tony Blair’s leadership | 75% | 82% | 49% | 75% | 72% | 79% | 67% | 71% | 81% | |
| Labour’s failure to control immigration | 75% | 91% | 36% | 51% | 72% | 79% | 57% | 69% | 86% | |
| Labour’s failure to improve public services by as much as they promised | 71% | 79% | 42% | 58% | 73% | 70% | 66% | 68% | 76% | |
| Rising taxes | 70% | 83% | 37% | 57% | 77% | 64% | 60% | 66% | 76% | |
| The decision to take part in the invasion of Iraq | 63% | 54% | 81% | 80% | 56% | 71% | 57% | 59% | 69% | |
| The party has become too right-wing | 22% | 9% | 65% | 40% | 23% | 20% | 29% | 22% | 19% | |
| Don’t know | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | |
| None of these | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | |
| Irrespective of the way you intend to vote, do you feel friendly or hostile towards the Conservative Party? |
| Very friendly | 8% | 29% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 12% | |
| Fairly friendly | 31% | 66% | 10% | 19% | 31% | 31% | 26% | 28% | 37% | |
| Fairly hostile | 30% | 2% | 45% | 43% | 28% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 27% | |
| Very hostile | 20% | 0% | 36% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 22% | 21% | 17% | |
| Don’t know | 11% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | |
| (To those hostile to the Conservative Party) Which of these factors, if any, contribute most to your feeling of hostility towards the Conservative Party? [Please tick all that apply] |
| The party’s record on such things as the poll tax and the economy when it was last in power | 78% | 39% | 82% | 78% | 80% | 76% | 68% | 78% | 83% | |
| Using immigration as a cynical ploy to win votes | 70% | 58% | 77% | 75% | 72% | 69% | 68% | 69% | 73% | |
| The threat a Conservative government would pose to our public services | 69% | 23% | 74% | 74% | 73% | 66% | 65% | 66% | 75% | |
| The party’s negative campaigning tactics in the current election 69% | 74% | 73% | 69% | 65% | 73% | 64% | 63% | 77% | |
| Michael Howard’s leadership | 68% | 58% | 75% | 70% | 73% | 64% | 66% | 65% | 73% | |
| The party is too right-wing | 52% | 19% | 54% | 60% | 54% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 54% | |
| None of these | 1% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | |
| Don’t know | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| From what you know of other senior Conservative politicians apart from Michael Howard, do you think they make a stronger or weaker team than Labour's cabinet? |
| Stronger | 15% | 44% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 21% | |
| Weaker | 41% | 7% | 74% | 53% | 49% | 33% | 37% | 43% | 40% | |
| Neither stronger or weaker | 29% | 41% | 12% | 29% | 26% | 32% | 26% | 29% | 31% | |
| Don't know 15% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 20% | 27% | 17% | 7% | |
| John Prescott is the deputy prime minister. Do you think he should stay in that job if Labour is re-elected, or not? |
| Yes, should stay | 28% | 12% | 47% | 32% | 28% | 28% | 33% | 29% | 25% | |
| No, should not | 53% | 76% | 36% | 50% | 59% | 47% | 38% | 49% | 63% | |
| Don't know | 19% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 12% | |
| Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
Tony Blair should have stepped down as prime minister by now |
| Agree | 45% | 74% | 13% | 54% | 45% | 46% | 38% | 40% | 54% | |
| Disagree | 42% | 16% | 81% | 34% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 46% | 38% | |
| Don’t know | 12% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 9% | |
| Michael Howard is the wrong leader for the Conservative Party |
| Agree | 48% | 15% | 69% | 68% | 51% | 46% | 41% | 54% | 47% | |
| Disagree | 29% | 69% | 13% | 16% | 33% | 26% | 28% | 24% | 35% | |
| Don’t know | 22% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 28% | 31% | 22% | 18% | |
| The Conservatives are not yet ready for government |
| Agree | 55% | 6% | 92% | 76% | 58% | 52% | 56% | 59% | 51% | |
| Disagree | 31% | 87% | 3% | 11% | 32% | 30% | 22% | 26% | 40% | |
| Don’t know | 14% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 22% | 15% | 9% | |
| A vote for the Liberal Democrats is a wasted vote |
| Agree | 42% | 63% | 53% | 4% | 41% | 43% | 30% | 42% | 47% | |
| Disagree | 48% | 30% | 38% | 90% | 52% | 44% | 53% | 49% | 44% | |
| Don’t know | 10% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 9% |
|
| Gordon Brown would be a good prime minister |
| Agree | 45% | 22% | 69% | 51% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 47% | 43% | |
| Disagree | 29% | 60% | 11% | 22% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 27% | 34% | |
| Don’t know | 26% | 18% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 31% | 33% | 26% | 22% | |
| Turning to Northern Ireland, which of these statements do you most agree with? |
| There should be a united Ireland | 46% | 36% | 50% | 49% | 47% | 45% | 39% | 46% | 48% | |
| Northern Ireland is and should remain part of the UK | 30% | 44% | 25% | 25% | 32% | 28% | 28% | 25% | 35% | |
| Don't know | 25% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 27% | 33% | 29% | 17% | |
| And which of these statements do you most agree with? |
| The IRA campaign of violence is over for good | 12% | 9% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 14% | |
| The IRA campaign of violence is likely to be renewed at some point | 64% | 76% | 54% | 59% | 62% | 65% | 67% | 61% | 65% | |
| Don’t know | 24% | 15% | 28% | 24% | 20% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 21% | |
| It is British government policy to restore a devolved assembly in Northern Ireland in which power must be shared between all the parties including Sinn Fein, the political wing of the IRA, and Ian Paisley’s Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). They ask that the IRA stand down and decommission all its weapons.
Which of these statements do you most agree with: |
| Sinn Fein is a political party and should be allowed to share power whether or not the IRA disbands. | 16% | 7% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 18% | 17% | |
| Sinn Fein cannot be allowed to share power until the IRA disbands and destroys its weapons. | 52% | 61% | 51% | 53% | 57% | 48% | 47% | 49% | 58% | |
| Sinn Fein cannot be allowed to share power in a part of the UK whatever the IRA does. | 16% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 18% | 15% | |
| Don't know 16% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 22% | 28% | 16% | 10% | |
| Who do you blame mainly for the political stalemate in Northern Ireland? |
| Sinn Fein and the IRA | 42% | 57% | 42% | 29% | 46% | 38% | 35% | 37% | 50% | |
| Ian Paisley and the DUP | 18% | 10% | 21% | 31% | 27% | 10% | 9% | 19% | 21% | |
| The British government | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | |
| The government of the Irish republic | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |
| David Trimble and the Ulster Unionists | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | |
| Mark Durkan and the SDLP (this party was until recently led by John Hume) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Don't know | 32% | 26% | 28% | 33% | 20% | 42% | 47% | 37% | 20% | |