Philip Webster, Political Editor
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Tony Blair virtually regarded the result of the 2005 general election as a defeat for which he blamed himself and the Iraq war, according to a new biography.
As the early results suggested a much-reduced Labour majority, Mr Blair went into the garden and started muttering “It’s all my fault” and “Iraq”, the book reveals.
He accepted that it weakened his authority as Prime Minister to make the changes to the machinery of government that he wanted and to appoint the Government that he needed. And it further enfeebled him in his relationship with Gordon Brown, who had been persuaded late on to take a full part in the election campaign and grabbed most of the credit for winning a third term – albeit with the Labour majority cut from 167 to 64.
Astonishing revelations in Blair Unbound by Anthony Seldon suggest that Mr Brown regularly told Mr Blair to “F off” as the Prime Minister put forward possible ministerial changes in the reshuffle after the election, and that plans drawn up by his advisers to revamp the Treasury were blocked immediately. The biography paints an extraordinary picture of a prime minister impotent to do what he desired, despite having given Labour a record third term, as he crumbled in front of John Prescott and Mr Brown when they resisted his planned changes.
Before the election Mr Blair had again considered moving Mr Brown to the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO), but the Chancellor’s price for returning to the centre of the election campaign was to stay in his job, the book says.
It reveals that as the election results came in, a deeply depressed Mr Blair –who was with his family and friends at Myrobella, his constituency home – was completely unnerved when Labour lost Putney to the Conservatives at 12.35am. “If we lost this we are going to lose the lot,” he said to Jonathan Powell, his chief of staff.
Later he went out into the garden in the “freezing cold” with his long-time aides Alastair Campbell and Sally Morgan. According to the book, “he started muttering things such as ‘It’s all my fault’ and ‘Iraq’”. “It was a pretty grim hour or so,” Ms Morgan said.
The book describes how before the election Andrew Turnbull, the Cabinet Secretary, and John Birt, the former BBC Director-General who was brought in as a “blue skies” thinker by Mr Blair, drew up plans to reform the “overmighty Treasury”.
One plan was the creation of an Office of Management and Budget (OMB), which would be distinct from the Treasury and have responsibility for productivity and domestic spending, while the Treasury would be left in control of macroeconomic policy. Under this option the Treasury would be compensated for its loss by the sweetener of absorbing trade and competition policy from the Department of Trade and Industry.
According to the book: “The ultras hoped that Blair would not only adopt such a plan but also move Brown out to the FCO. Some saw this as setting Brown up for a fall, believing that he would not be able to make a success of running foreign policy. Blair certainly gave serious consideration to the OMB plan and of moving Brown. He ‘licensed and encouraged this work’, said one No 10 aide, ‘and was highly interested in where it was going’.”
As his Sedgefield result was declared in 2005 Mr Blair was attacked by an antiwar candidate who said he hoped that Mr Blair would visit wounded soldiers in hospital.
The book says: “With Cherie on the edge of tears ‘it clearly impacted very badly on him; it was the most visibly weak I had ever seen him,’ said one close aide. What was not known was that Blair had already visited and would continue to visit the wounded from Afghanistan and Iraq. He had, however, taken steps to ensure that the media did not report this information. ‘I don’t want it to become political,’ he told one military officer, ‘and because I don’t want it to become political I’m prepared to take the hit from people that think I don’t visit.’ He did it ‘for the sake of his own conscience,’ said one official.”
The following extract picks up the election story on the day after polling. “‘The Prime Minister was dog-tired and felt very bad about the result,’ said one of his close team. It was Friday, May 6, his birthday, but not his happiest. He rallied himself in an effort to put his stamp on the reshuffle and to show who was in charge. Letters to ministers, including some significant switches, had been drafted and were ready for him to sign.
“The first meeting that morning was with Prescott. Blair planned to tell him that he would relinquish the communities and local government briefs in their entirety but he could remain as Deputy Prime Minister. Prescott refused point-blank. He took advantage of the Prime Minister feeling politically weak, said an observer. ‘Blair did not have the stomach for a fight’.
“His second meeting was with Brown. He put to him a watered-down plan of splitting the Treasury, but with the OMB reporting up through him. Brown rejected the idea outright. Blair’s much-reduced majority had squashed once and for all his hopes of doing anything to Brown against his will. Powell told a colleague that because of the results ‘you can forget the plans now. They won’t work’.
“Blair still had some leeway, however, and was adamant that he was going to promote modernisers in the reshuffle. This would be a Blairite government. The dual leadership of the preceding three weeks was now over. No 10 became enraged on Friday after the Brownites briefed the press that the results were bad for Labour and for Blair. ‘There was a pretty big rubbishing of it from the Brownites. That is what they do,’ said one of the Blair team who even went as far as to speculate that Brown wanted the reshuffle to fail. Brown had expected to be consulted fully in the reshuffle, and considered it to be part of the deal of him returning to the front line. ‘He really believed he had been told in the general election campaign that it was going to be different from now,’ said a Treasury official. He was right. He had been. Before the election results were known, Brown’s office had phoned No 10 to offer his services in the reshuffle.
“That Friday a number of subsequent phone calls took place between Blair and Brown. They were not the conversations Brown had been expecting. Blair had decided that he was going to move in on the Treasury appointments. ‘Isn’t it at last time to sack Dawn Primarolo [the Treasury minister, now Minister for Public Health]?’ Blair asked him. Brown reacted strongly to protect her. According to one official, their conversation followed the typical pattern at the time. ‘The Prime Minister would start off the conversation on the front foot and Gordon would respond simply by saying ‘F off’. Blair said he wanted his own nominee, John Hutton, to become Chief Secretary to the Treasury. Brown flatly refused, considering it an affront as Hutton was such a Blairite. He also rejected John Denham for the job. ‘I thought you said you [would] consult me over the whole government. You promised me. So this is it?’ said an indignant Brown.
“‘Gordon, it’s got to be my reshuffle,’ Blair responded. ‘I am the Prime Minister.’ In fact Blair’s team had never even discussed whether Brown should have been involved in the construction of the new Government. The Treasury very quickly got the message that the Chancellor was not going to be involved at all. ‘Their response was, “You bastards. We can’t trust you and we won’t trust you ever again,” kind of territory,’ said an official. ‘After the election Brown defaulted to “betrayal mode”’, said one observer. “Brown, not Blair, emerged as the primary victor of the 2005 election. At the PLP (Parliamentary Labour Party) meeting the following Monday, for the first time MPs stood up and challenged his leadership, saying that MPs had lost their seats because of his continuation as leader. Former minister Peter Kilfoyle put it to him directly that ‘the sooner he stood down the better off the party would be as he had become a negative factor’. There was a deadly silence. The mood was sombre. Blair responded that he needed time and space and MPs owed it to him to be loyal until the handover.
“But the stories began about how long he could and should survive. Coming on top of the unemphatic election results and the halfcock reshuffle, it was the worst possible start to the third term.”
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If only George Bush's republicans suffer the same, I'd be happy.
Time for those that Lie to their people to pay a price, and the same for those that supported the Liars.
Frank Dean, Detroit, USA / Michigan
"It would be impossible for an elected official to second-guess credible intelligence sources and put at risk those he professes to serve. Put yourself in that situation. Blame the Islamo-fascist terrorists for putting a man in that impossible situation."
Except there plenty of credible intel questioning all the WMD assertions, such as Bush's "yellowcake" debacle. Or the Downing Street memo.
And Iraq had zero, zip, nada to do with the war on terror. Blair simply got sucked into Bush's lust for oil and trying to prove to Poppy he was a real man. Too bad it all turned to crap. Maybe Blair forgot he was working with Bush, not Clinton on these wars.
Ron, Detroit,
Makes me respect Brown even more. Just wish he'd gone further
Roarke, London, UK
Classic ! Reminds me of the kid who kills his parents and begs the judge for mercy on the grounds that he's an orphan.
Nigel Bonny, San Diego, California
The Schmidt comment from California typifies the Left's preference for political characature rather than straightforward analysis of fact. Clearly, Blair and Bush are educated, intelligent, and patriotic men with access to the latest global intelligence, including that tainted by the unavoidable errors. It is clear that they both acted in unison to the severe threat posed by al-Qaeda's very real capabilities and to the broader threat to western interests posed by the rising tide of radical Islamic fundamentalism.
Their shared vision of a more stable, peaceful Middle East, the globe's permanent bog of economic morass, cultural backwardness, and political instability now has at least some potential to become reality because each man had the backbone to stand up for their shared principles and start the process.
The anti-war-at-any-price crowd is content to pander idiotic bumber sticker philosophies that reduce complex geo-political issues to images of puppy dogs.
Cav, Nashville, TN
Dear Special Relations,
Please send over the Blairs ASAP to:
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
NW Washington, DC 20500
We will be delighted to deliver the Bushes in exchange (No. 10 Downing, right?) by November 2008.
Thanks,
VC
VC, New York, NY
The antiBlair/Bush cabal is stunningly boring and predictable. Universally, erstwhile brilliant Blair is the lapdog of oh-so-dumb-W but the fact that EVERY major intelligence agency in the civilized world saw Saddam's WMD as real threats AND the fact that Saddam ignored each and every UN imprecation is simply ignored. .Saddam's own promises to abide by the UN terms of surrender in Gulf War One are likewise ignored...as are the 17 UN resolutions that followed.
The real solution, per these critics, is that the US (and the Brits) should have turned everything over to.....THE UN!!
But those of us who say that 55million souls in Iraq and Afghanistan are worth something are trashed right along with Bush and Blair.
Make sense???
Carl Palm, Monterey, CA/USA
Blair backed the Iraq invasion out of principle. His faith was in American competence, American know-how. His faith was betrayed. Blair is a victim, not a perp. All that Blair achieved -- and I believe he achieved much -- was, in the general censure, brought to naught by the rank incompetence and corruption of the moron in the White House and the careerist gangsters -- Cheney, Rumsfeld, Rove -- who have pulled his strings.
J. Rice, Long Beach, California
I remember when Bush stood on a pile of rubble, that used to be the World Trade Center. He shouted for all the world to hear, (and for himself to be seen) that those responsible for knocking down those buildings "would hear from all of us soon." Given the fact, that seven years later the mastermind behind the knocking of those buildings down, Bin Ladin, is still out there making tapes, and will continue to do so(unless he dies of natural causes), after Bush's time as the president of the USA has thankfully come to an end, history should not judge the Cheeney/Bush administration well. He has let the guilty roam free while causing needless suffering. Blair was not the only person who lost credibility/integrity by going along with Bush. Colon Powell, a man who once had an approval rating a politician would envy, was basically ruined by his infamous speech at the UN. He should have resigned earlier rather than play Simon Says with the faulty intelligence and the line coming out of D.C.
J.W. SEIVERS, CLINTON, TN
One must woder if the British labour and Conservative party are just one of the same. it was Blair that hopped into bed with Bush's Conservative party and became his side kick, in some cases handing out advice to George W, and in others, doing what he is told by Bush/Cheney. Another point in the british politicks, it does appear that many of the M.P."s in Westminister are of Scottish descent, very few English or Welsh and Northern Irish, and when one looks at the British Conservative party, again we see, Cameron, the Conservative party leader, not that the Scots are any better or worse than English speaking M.P's, but it seems slear that the Scots rule the roost in Westminister. Brown, well he is a Scot, I like to be facetious and ask "where are the kilts"
Tommy Atkins, chilliwack, canada
I have only one question to ask the Blair/Bush haters re a retreat from the current Iraq situation: What do you say to the 8 million Iraqi citizens who risked death threats to stand in line to vote in a truly democratic election for the first time ever? "Sorry, guys"???
Dr J.D. Edwards, Vero Beach, Florida USA
The Conservatives supported Blair on Iraq at every juncture so do not think Conservatives will be against an Iran attack plus they usually trash the middle class and poor. Blair did not do much reform of the antiquated British government framework except for a parliament in Edinborough and an Assembly in Wales. Unless a war is on, Labour is better for the welfare of UK people.
Jack Walsh, Ft Lauderdale, Florida
Blair became George W's puppy dog, while George W, immediately upon taking over the U.S. Presidency, Dick Cheney's took George W. as his puppy dog. So, now we have what puppies usually do, making messess, as Iraq and Afganistan are truly the mother or father of all messess. Do I sort of sort it out correctly, especially for you Britts? America is now the Empire of all Empires, heading down the same parth as all previous Empires did!
H. D.Schmidt, Loma Linda, California, USA
Only history will tell us whether PM Blair's and President Bush decisions , based on the world's intellegence service's estimates about Iraq, were correct or not. I don't feel I as a citizen have all the infofmation the leaders of Britian and the US had avajilable to them at the time of the Iraqi invasion
Prof (Dr) Max Clark, Beavercreek, Ohio USA
Good read i guess but they are acting as if brown hasn't been with Gordon for years, he's just the other side of hte coin.
They practically already is a Tax on fresh air, it's the Carbon Tax.
Andy T, England,
Wow, I always thought Blair was even kidding himself over Iraq..
Owen, London, UK
It would be impossible for an elected official to second-guess credible intelligence sources and put at risk those he professes to serve. Put yourself in that situation. Blame the Islamo-fascist terrorists for putting a man in that impossible situation.
J. C. , New Castle, USA/Indiana
Brown's got to go! As chancellor he was just as responsible for the last ten years as Blair. When the time comes vote tactically, get him out !
Simon, Newcastle .
Simon, Newcastle on Tyne, England
Labour were successful because they kept the economy
running well and moved to help the working poor, through the
tax credits, which make a huge difference to peoples lives.
They helped pensioners with the winter fuel allowance and
the minimum income guarantee. They cared about ordinary
people which the Tories were perceived to not. They also
put in the extra resources into health & education everyone was calling for. Without the Iraq war, 2005 would have been
another landslide. And yet if Iraq one day gets on it's feet, that
unpopular decision may come to be seen as the right decision. The problem for Labour now is how to pay for all
these improvements. Tax and borrowing are at record levels
and business due to competition expect ever lower taxes.
If Labour can keep the show on the road and avoid a financial
crisis it will be miraculous. That's what wins elections, as
Bill Clinton said....ITS THE ECONOMY STUPID.
Philip, Dorset, England
Not only Blair but the whole goverment should resign and hang there heads in shame, for they have plundered our pensions, lied to the house about weapons of mass destruction, immigration is way out of control and hit us with so many taxes, they will put a tax on freash air soon
Robert Bristow, Newport, Wales
The colour was changed, but no more see their ways.
Htun, Yangon, Myanmar