Best Film

Joe Wright’s British melodrama Atonement was the surprise winner of the Golden Globe. This underwhelming drama is now red-hot favourite for the Oscar. I hope that Paul Thomas Anderson’s thriller, There Will Be Blood, about a demented oil baron, will cause an upset. The nomination of The Lives of Others highlights a bizarre and, frankly, damaging anomaly. Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck’s film has already won an Oscar for Best Foreign Language Picture. It seems barmy to honour it with a Bafta a year later.

Will win: Atonement

Should win: There Will Be Blood

The Alexander Korda Award for Best British Film of the Year

There is only one serious contender: Anton Corbijn’s terrific film Control, about the life and death of the lead singer of Joy Division, Ian Curtis.

Will win: Control.

Should win: Control

Actor in a Leading Role

Daniel Day-Lewis, above, has a chance to win the hat trick (Globe, Oscar, and Bafta) with There Will Be Blood. The late Ulrich Mühe, right, has a chance of spoiling his evening by winning the Bafta for The Lives of Others.

Will win: Ulrich Mühe

Should win: Daniel Day-Lewis

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