Carl Mortished: World business briefing
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Would you tell your boy to seek employment in the City of London? There could be fewer jobs for him in the Square Mile over the next 12 months. The credit crunch has pared back prospects, but there are better reasons why a likeable lad with a sense of adventure might think twice before walking on to a trading floor.
Jérôme Kerviel, the Société Générale “rogue trader”, may finally have put paid to our romance with spiffy jobs in banks. It's not his misbehaviour that troubles. We don't yet know whether he did anything really bad — he insists his bosses turned a blind eye and the Paris prosecutor has not laid charges of fraud; instead, the man who cost the bank €5 billion (£3.7 billion) is accused of computer hacking, forgery and abuse of trust.
The shy SocGen trader, blessed with a faint resemblance to Tom Cruise, has revealed to us what we long suspected — that life in the towers of glass is mind-numbingly dull. Consider the young Frenchman's job: after years in a dreary back-office, shuffling paper, he was given a chance to do some real trading.
His job was to make money for the bank as an arbitrageur, buying bundles of futures contracts based on European stock market indices while at the same time selling near-identical matching contracts. The bank's profit derived from exploiting the tiny differences in value between the purchase and the sale.
He was a “master of the universe”, like the bond trader in Tom Wolfe's novel The Bonfire of the Vanities, dealing in tiny crumbs. But the rules of Mr Kerviel's game were constructed to minimise risk to the bank — he was not allowed to have a view, to speculate or gamble. From the millions of individual crumbs, the bank made a loaf and Mr Kerviel was given a tiny nibble, his salary and, perhaps, a bonus.
So uninspiring is the daily duty of screen-gazing, Mr Kerviel's lawyers assert, that many did like him - broke the rules and dabbled in the markets beyond their authority. Were they trying to draw attention to their wit and skill, hoping for promotion? Or were they just bored out of their minds, lads playing computer games instead of doing their jobs?
They are little different from the Victorian clerks who perched on high chairs in the City's banking halls, scratching at ledgers, matching balances of money, in and out. It's probably not what Mr Kerviel had in mind when he set out to make his fortune in high finance. I suspect he wanted to catch a bigger fish.
A film that my children love is Captains Courageous, an adaptation of the Rudyard Kipling yarn about a spoilt rich boy who falls off an ocean liner. Picked up by a Portuguese fisherman, Manuel, played in the film by Spencer Tracy, the boy joins the crew of the We're Here, a schooner hunting for cod off the Grand Banks, and there he learns how to be a man. In a famous scene, Manuel forces the boy to throw his catch, a big halibut, back into the sea, when he finds out that the lad cheated, tangling the hooks of other fishermen.
The We're Here is gone for ever. Instead, adventurous young men become milksops, stuck in office jobs, indulging in greedy fantasies to while away days of stale coffee. Where is Captain Disko, the avuncular seadog who looks after his crew? You won't find him at Merrill Lynch or Morgan Stanley.
And these banks will become ever more unsuitable employers of young men angling for the main chance. The SocGen affair must lead to more intense scrutiny, a tightening of the manacles that bind traders, analysts and dealers to their desks. If it is not already, investment banking will soon become an unbearable world of paper-shufflers.
Small wonder that so many flee to the relative freedom of hedge funds and private equity until they, too, succumb to the tightening net of regulation. In a world intolerant of risk, there is no place for very bright but foolish boys.
Which brings us to the final nail in Mr Kerviel's coffin. The future of investment banking is likely to be mainly female. Where else will banks look for reliable and co-operative employees? Would a bank rather have a team that looks after its members and openly discusses problems or a group of dysfunctional individuals working on their own?
It's not a difficult choice. Of course, a team of empathetic females might not catch the really big halibut, but the banks can probably live with that if the girls net a steady and predictable catch of lesser fry. It's a small price to pay to save €5 billion.
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For pretty much the same reasons medicine in America is becoming a women's profession. In contrast to my generation most of the best and the brightest men today are going into business and finance.
MARK KLEIN, M.D., Oakland, CALIFORNIA
Ireckon the bank knew and let him carry on
Trev, gosport, uk
Complete nonsense from start to finish.
The conclusion that banks are likely to employ more women is utter garbage. Gender related lawsuits are just as much of a risk to banks profitability and reputational risk as 'rogue traders' are.
Delta one trading is not arbitrage business, it's equity financing, providing non-recourse leverage typically futures and options, usually for spreads above swap financing.
If lazy journos get paid decent money for producing garbage like this, perhaps us Captain Courageous types might pick up a pen for a living instead of doing a decent days work.
Andy C, New York,
Well the best environment is a mixed one, women are really nasty to each other ie gossipy and everything Richard mentioned above but in juxtaposition an all male staff can get particularly raunchy. A staff with men and women is much better balanced. And I agree I would not want to work in an all female environment as a female.
ginag, portland , OR
Former operations man or not, the fact is that Kerviel still worked for an investment bank. A lot of the business at its core cannot claim to hold the moral high ground. Repackage and sell debt that people can't pay off, check, conduct IPO's that tank as soon as they're sold to investors, check, issue a buy rating on stock you wouldn't peddle to your mother, check. The list goes on. He just did on a much grander scale what a lot of bankers do every day
Bayo, London,
I am sure those who are more familiar with the investment banking / trading world would not consider anyone getting paid only 70,000 EUR anywhere near a master of the universe.
cf, lon,
Have you worked in an all or mainly female environment?
I have, as has my wife as we are both in healthcare.
A more unpleasant environment simmering with rivalries, perveived slights and masses of acrimonious gossip is difficult to find by accident.
This concurrs with other women I have talked to who all prefer working with men who of course have their many faults, but on balance at least aren't women.
Richard, London, England
I really wish that the media could stop, in their ignorance, treating Kerviel as though he were part of investment banking. He had absolutely nothing to do with the investment banking world and the media's blithe enthusiasm for calling a former OPERATIONS employee an investment banker is utterly ludicrous. Good on him for knowing how to game the IT system of SocGen but he was not a member of the elite banking "club" to which the author of this article is referring.
not a banker, nyc,
What a patronising article. Now that the big money and high stakes are gone, let's bring in the girls from the typing pool - they might be a bit dim and risk-averse but at least they're dependable. There are plenty of City women who have good track records on managing funds and making their clients money. Yet your correspondent thinks employing women is only necessary when they're dealing with 'small fry'.
What era is your correspondent from? The 1970s? Move on and into the 21st century, for goodness sake.
MB, Edinburgh,
As long as salaries are high, there will always be males looking to gain entry to this 'club' - even if it does mean shuffling paper and collecting data for the 'big boys' on the floor.
I did it and I've no complaints. Boredom can be tamed by just thinking about ones bank balance.
Shallow, yes. Retiring to face penury? No
Alistair, London, UK
In our era of globalisation, with our economies dominated by towering corporations, and where the emphais is on team work, there is little room for individuality in an established company.
Charles, Hong Kong,
Sad that our government does not take the french line (keeping control of Société Générale) promoting it's defence industry and owning / supporting it's major companies, we would then own our water, electricity, gas, railways etc.
Instead of wasting money on housing, and supporting anyone who wants a free house, unless your tax payer, wanting to be a world power, war etc
Just a thought, all the employees of the government bodies (and boy is there a lot of them), Inland Revenue, NHS, Police, Fire brigade, Armed Forces and of course consultants, although they pay tax their gross pay and costs come from the public purse, there are not a lot of us left to pay for them through our taxes.
I'd like to know the % of government and non-government workers
Graham Waring, Sth Benfleet, Essex
Food for thought?
Luoisa B, Dubai,
Bring in the women! We need the solid gatherers and homemakers in the banks and finance industry, not wild testosterone charged hunters.
Same applies to the government. The male politicians have proven to be utterly incapable of making ends meet and keeping budgets. Good old Maggie, she kept a tight reign, that's what we need, rather than a bunch of self-centred loose cannons.
Bob Travels, Stevenage,