Carl Mortished: Business Commentary
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The music stopped and everyone found a seat. As party games go, the version of musical chairs played out in Europe yesterday lacked that frisson of excitement created by uncertainty. In Paris, Daniel Bouton survived as chairman of Société Générale; Mervyn King was told to carry on running the Bank of England for a further five years; and in Zurich, Marcel Ospel remained at the head of UBS.
As if thumbing his nose at his shareholders watching from the sidelines, MrOspel took the running total of sub-prime mortgage losses at the Swiss bank to $18 billion (£9.1 billion) as he announced a further $4 billion in writedowns less than a month after he admitted the bank could not assess its exposure to the rotten assets in its books.
The upside was that no one was disappointed, left unhappy, unloved and without a job. Apart from the shareholders, the taxpayers and people lower down the chain of command who were not invited to play. At Société Générale, the supervisor of Jérôme Kerviel, the “rogue trader”, has been suspended and at UBS, Mr Ospel has shed senior lieutenants, its financial and risk officers and Peter Wuffli, the chief executive who resigned in July.
It is all rather different from Wall Street, where boards lost little time in removing the captain from the bridge when his ship was holed by a sub-prime iceberg.
There is a common thread that links the continuing service of the three European bank chiefs which goes beyond timing. They have all been subject to political pressure to do the “honourable” thing. The Bank of England Governor has survived bruising criticism from the Treasury Select Committee over his handling of the Northern Rock fiasco, while Mr Ospel is widely disliked for his bumptious management style which ill suits the conservative world of Swiss banking. But it is Mr Bouton who deserves the survival medal; his resignation was demanded by none other than the President of France. That shows courage on the part of the SocGen board but Mr Bouton is by no means off the hook. The Bank of France has asked why risk controls appeared to have broken down at SocGen and an independent audit committee, of which Mr Bouton is not a member, will investigate the “mechanism of the fraud” by which Mr Kerviel created a bonfire with SocGen's balance sheet.
It may be that these three men have survived because everyone knows that the problems inherent in our banking system lie much deeper than individuals. Mr Kerviel's spectacular antics served to obscure a €2 billion (£1.49 billion) writedown on SocGen's sub-prime exposure, a loss that would have caused the French bank extreme embarrassment.
If the SocGen auditors want to understand the mechanism of Mr Kerviel's deception, they could do worse than listen to what he says in his testimony to the courts. He has already recounted instances in which his superiors must have been aware that he was breaking the rules as he traded beyond his authority, notably his reporting of a €55 million trading profit in 2007, an amount he could not have legitimately earned within his operating limits.
Mr Kerviel's blunt explanation is a parable for our times: “I was making cash, so the signals were not so worrying. As long as we won and it didn't show, nothing was said.”
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It seems likely that the French courts will not nail the rogue trader for a serious offence. He has, after all, been released pending trial. Fraud assumes that the fraudster benefits himself or a third party or seeks to damage the bank. Difficult to prove any of this acording to reports. In this context, the responsibility will fall more heavily on the managers.
Geoffrey Walker, Bordeaux, France
Mervyn King is the odd man out here. The lessons learned from a similar event 140 years ago from Overend Gurney are mentioned in an article on Northern Rock in figurewizard.com and it was the principle that governed the effective resolution of that crisis that was his preferred option to begin with. However the decision to step in with what has now grown to £56 billion of public money was forced on him by Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling nevertheless. Why Mervyn King has opted for another five years is a pity. I'd much rather he had benn free to write his own account of the Northern Rock affair.
Joe, Hampshire, UK
Could the problem be that money now does not have the respect it deserves?
I remember the big white five pound notes which, if you were very lucky, you may get one in your pay packet and were very reluctant to break into it. These notes were ornately printed and impresive. Now though money is just something used as a measurement on plastic cards, or can be manipulated from a computer. I know that the love of money is a biblical evil, but I think we need more of it. It is a true store of value, unlike these financial derivatives which have caused so much trouble. In times like these it has a reasuring feel to have cash, even if you are not quite so sure f the solvency of the bank that holds it.
Diddly Do, Liverpool,
So far i have developed three different trading limits systems used by bank treasury departments. 700+ banks using the limit systems I worked on. None of these limits system could be sidestepped by a lone trader, they all needed co-operation by at least 2 people in the bank to increase limits or overide limits.
Frankly I do not believe the fraud claims. The managment of the so called "rogue trader" must have known what he was doing and they must have approved it.
Colin, London,