Analysis: Grainne Gilmore
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The mortgage market has been turned on its head. Banks and building societies used to compete on price, vying to offer the lowest rates and most reasonable arrangement fees. The aim, after all, was to attract borrowers through their doors.
But the credit crunch has prompted a complete volte-face. Instead of competing to offer the lowest rates, lenders are now competing to offer the least attractive deals, terrified that if they are left exposed as the “best-buy” on the market they will be inundated with mortgage applications.
Their fears are well founded. After all, First Direct, the online arm of HSBC, which offered some of the most reasonably priced mortgages on the market this year, was forced to close its doors for seven weeks to allow its staff to catch up on the backlog of applications it had received.
Trying to limit the number of customers you attract flies in the face of every business manual. If you punted the idea to Sir Alan Sugar, you would be leaving the boardroom at a sprint. So why are lenders doing this complicated dance of dodging new customers?
Most lenders raise funding by packaging together their loans and then selling them on to investors. But the appetite for these investments disappeared after the US sub-prime crisis and simply has not returned, as Northern Rock found to its cost.
There was talk among lenders at the beginning of the year that authorities needed to take action to try and put some cash on the table to boost funding in the market, allowing the mortgage party to continue. The Bank of England eventually obliged, putting billions of pounds at the disposal of lenders in the hope of staving off a complete famine of home loans.
This seems to have had little effect, because lenders are still struggling to raise funding and rates are still high.
As anybody trying to sell their home will tell you, the housing market is also feeling the impact. High mortgage rates and onerous demands for hefty deposits are deterring all but the most affluent prospective buyers from buying a new home. This lack of activity in the market is exacerbating the fall in house prices as sellers cut their prices to try to secure a sale. House prices have fallen by 6.6 per cent this year alone, twice as fast as the first five months of 1992, one of the worst years in the British housing market.
As a result, homeowners are now faced with the double-whammy of paying more for their mortgage while their home falls in value.
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Market forces rule. If it's overpriced - it will come down.
However everyone seems to have forgotten the other rule of supply and demand - there are simply not enough houses. The houseprice crash will by 15%.
Mark Howes, Brighton,
As buyers believe that house prices will fall somewhere bewtween 25% and 60% from their peak only a fool would buy now for less than a 25% off peak discount. So unless they fancy the dole agents should be talking prices down sharply and quickly. 25% off by year end is necessary.
tim b jones, cambridge, england
We are a bunch of mugs in the UK. Easily manipulated, and now having to suffer the consequences. No help from the gov't.
'exacerbating', 'worst years', come on, this is healthy.
I sold to rent, so bring it on, 50, 60 even 70% drops will do nicely. But it will happen again in 18 years.
72-90-2008
Np, England, UK (at the moment)
When I bought my first house in 1984 90% mortgages based on max 2.5 x salary were the norm. This was just common sense - why lend more than someone can possibly repay? I blame the lenders and credit companies for the mess we are all in. They encouraged overspending without consequences.
Anna, kendal, uk
I too am a cash buyer - estate agents seem genuinely baffled when I point out that it is cheaper for me to rent a 2000sq ft house (in good condition) than it is to buy a 1200sq ft house (that needs work). My cash is working hard - while sellers dream & estate agents panic - the trend's my friend.
Father Ignatius Brown, London, England
High prices are certainly the problem. I am a chain free buyer with a mortgage in place but cannot get a 15% reduction on any property - sellers have a bottom line and won't go below that. Seems to me estate agents are lulling themselves into unemployment rather than managing buyers' expectations
mel, london,
I have to agree with Chris. These so called onerous demands for heafty deposits are no more than sensible lending practices. They may seem onerous compared to 100% mortgages, but 100% mortgages were daft and a negative equity trap. Recent property price rises were unsustainable..and we all knew it.
Andrew Keen, Swansea, UK
What a load of cobblers..!
"High mortgage rates and onerous demands for hefty deposits are deterring all but the most affluent prospective buyers from buying a new home."
It is high prices that is the problem here. They are about 50% over valued.
Roll on the crash.
Chris, Chipping Norton,