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Read the full report from Hometrack
Nearly a quarter of first-time buyers cannot afford to buy homes because of rising house prices and higher borrowing costs.
Figures released today by Hometrack, the property data group, show that 24.3 per cent of new buyers could not afford to join the property ladder in 2006 compared to 21.9 per cent in the previous year.
The group says that renting is cheaper than buying the same property with a mortgage.
Mortgage cost as a percentage of income is 32.5 per cent, which is just below the 1990 peak of 33.8 per cent.
The average percentage of income individuals pay on rent is 20.5 per cent.
Steve Wilcox, of the University of York, the author of the report into housing affordability in the UK using Hometrack data, said: "Not too long ago there was little difference between the costs of buying and renting, but while house prices tripled in the years since 1994, private-sector rents only increased in line with earnings, and the costs of renting has, as a result, fallen relative to the costs of buying."
Those living in the South of England are worst affected by the disparity between income and rising house prices. UK interest rates have risen five times since last August.
In London, the cost of a home for a first-time buyer is five times salary and in some areas of the capital — for example, Kensington and Chelsea — this rises to as high as 9.23 times an average family's income.
Hometrack calculates that the average household income in Kensington and Chelsea is £86,236 and the average house price in the area is £795,751.
On a regional basis, 34 per cent of households in the South West are priced out of the housing market, but Scotland is the most affordable area, with only about one in six first-time buyers unable to purchase.
YesterdayHalifax and Nationwide said that British house prices were beginning to slow, as the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee voted to hold the interest rates at 5.75 per cent.
Halifax said a monthly house price fall of 0.6 per cent was the first since December last year, when the rate declined by 0.9 per cent.
Overall, house prices in the third quarter of this year rose by 0.9 per cent, but this is compared with an increase of 3 per cent in the first three months of 2007 and 2.3 per cent in the second quarter.
Nationwide's third-quarter data revealed a 1.6 per cent rise in prices, compared with a 1.9 per cent increase in the second quarter.
However, Nationwide said that the average house price in London had broken through the £300,000 barrier in the third quarter.
Halifax said that the South of England had again experienced the biggest increase in prices.
In Greater London, house prices rose by 2.3 per cent and in the South East by 1.8 per cent.
But the lender said: "Nonetheless, the gains in Greater London and the South East were lower than in the previous few quarters, suggesting that the market is slowing in these parts of the country."
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This mortgage and housing bubble has a similarity to the Tech bubble. It was based on a new economic factor or product with no real history to help perceive and measure the risk. For Tech, it was the Internet and all of the drastic changes that were expected in Internet commerce that drove prices rediculously high. For the mortgage market, it was the moving of the lending decision from the banks to the brokers in the international financial markets. The funding came from millions of investors, instead of the banks' capital/deposits. The lending decisions were made by hot-shot mortgage brokers paid on commission. The funding was made by hot-shot investment brokers paid on commission. Seldom was there a conservative banker with the bank's capital at stake in the decision. Result? An explosion of mortgage loans made to anyone that would sign the papers -- with no real measurement of the borrower's ability to repay. It IS going to pop -- big time.
Bubba, Johnson City, Tennessee, USA
I agree with the sit back and wait scenario for first time buyers. I was set to buy in May (upstate New York). I waited because I didn't like the sense of urgency that surrounded my price range, homes in the lower range were flying off the market in less than a week, the competetition was fierce. I waited and will now wait until, the loan is right, the price is right and the agent is again not telling me I have to put an offer down before I can sleep on it. Wait, let prices fall so the average person can afford them without maxing out their entire future. Sorry about your luck if you bought when it was so high, it will rise again, you should have bought with the long run in mind anyway. Why buy a house for a 5 yr span? buy it for life and you most likely can't lose your shirt in the end.
Khris, Albany, New York
I am from Auckland. NZ. Could anyone please tell me when will this monster bubbles hit Auckland Housing Estate??
mk, Auck., NZ
I'm from the U.S. where our housing bubble is bursting and it should be obvious to anyone that home prices in many countries also are not sustainable. Easy credit and mania have pushed prices beyond the reach of any reasonably conservative person and will undoubtedly end like most bubbles, with a nasty crash. Irrational mortgages precipitated our crunch and I suspect it will get much worse, unless of course we inflate our way out of it and postpone the inevitable. I'm afraid the rest of the world will be joining us before too long. Good luck.
Charles Mellas, Duluth , Georgia, USA
I'm from the United States and the same ridiculous price appreciation happened here as well. Now, it's not just a buyer's market, it's a buyer's paradise. Price reductions for new homes in many markets are 25% or more. Just hold tight, the same thing will happen in the UK as well!
Mark, Indianapolis, USA
a message to all those first-time buyers out there-STRIKE! SIT TIGHT AND WAIT.dont even enter that estate agent door.without us there is only one way house prices will go and thats DOWN!!
hayley, salisbury,
I agree with you Sophie about a decade built on debt but we have the same situation here in Australia and we've had a conservative government for the past 11 years. This debt-based asset bubble is indeed something of a global phenomenon but it goes to show just how shamelessly opportunistic our major parties are - both Labour and conservative governments have let the bubble flourish because the majority of voters are suddenly asset-rich and perceive themselves to be far better off (a sure-fire way for the incumbent government to maintain its support base). This whole scenario represents a huge redistribution of wealth - it's ultimately those first time buyers getting into the market now that are funding all of this - and so our governments have a huge amount to answer for from a social justice viewpoint. But having said that, a price correction is inevitable at some point. Economic cycles don't last forever.
Amanda, Melbourne, Australia
Here here Andy! 10 years built on debt! A Labour Government has never managed the economy in a responsible way. They tinkered with interest rates in 2001 to create a boom which is about to go bust BIG TIME! Come on Gordon, bring it on!
sophie, norwich, uk
The house of cards is about to topple! Call that election quick Gordon!!!
Andy, Bath,