Steve Hawkes
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Britain's biggest food producer has called on the Government to free more farmland for growing wheat in an effort to combat spiralling raw material prices.
Premier Foods said that further price rises on Hovis, its leading bread brand, and other everyday products were almost inevitable as food companies struggle with unprecedented cost pressures.
The warning came yesterday as Premier reported a £73.5 million pre-tax loss for 2007 and almost halved its shareholder dividend. It also revealed a deal with banks that would raise its debt facility by a further £225 million to £2.1 billion.
Wheat prices have more than doubled in the past year amid buoyant demand from China and India, poor harvests and the increasing amount of farmland given over to biofuels. A loaf of Hovis rose to more than £1 for the first time last September. Now it sells for £1.15.
Robert Schofield, Premier's chief executive, said that a political solution should be found to boost wheat supplies in the UK. “Food inflation has been benign for the past 15 to 20 years, yet it's anything but benign at the moment,” he said. “It's turbulent. It's not 1 or 2 per cent but in the teens.
“I can't see any reason for wheat to come down from its current levels. You have got to understand the level of demand that is coming out of the Far East. India and China are buying whole tranches of wheat and I think it's a situation where we need to take care of our own industry, plant more and ensure greater security of supply in food. There needs to be an initiative taken somewhere in the political framework.”
Shares in Premier rallied 6p to 98p yesterday amid relief that the company had managed to squeeze a higher debt facility out of its banks.
However, analysts said that Premier may need to increase its debt facility again this year, given the pressure on the business. Premier's net debt is £1.6 billion after the acquisitions of RHM and Campbell's in 2006.
Mr Schofield added that sales of Hovis had fallen “significantly” before Christmas, as rivals such as Warburtons delayed their own price increases.
Premier will also have to cut promotional activity in the coming months to offset cost inflation. The cost pressure will knock at least £10 million off trading profit in the business in the first half of 2008.
Rob Mann, a Collins Stewart analyst, said: “With cost inflation continuing to constrain the core trading performance, we would not be surprised if the measures taken to alleviate the balance sheet pressure proved inadequate, leading to another round of conversations with the company's bankers. The company's Micawberish view of its prospects does not inspire faith that 2008 will be any better than 2007.”
Premier's full-year results showed that the company made a pre-tax loss of £73.5 million in 2007, against profits of £59 million the year before. Underlying operating profits fell 24 per cent to £76.1 million.
Turnover almost tripled to £2.2 billion after Premier's two recent acquisitions. Shareholders will receive a full-year dividend of 6p a share, against 12p last year.
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The most important lesson a parent can give to a child is knowledge of how to grow food......the young generation need to know how to for their own future!
Bjorn, Swindon,
Forget china ,india ,and biofuels.......
There is plenty of land world wide to produce wheat,that is not used.Just look at the figures and understand that wheat usage has not risen above normal usage.......... and i am a wheat farmer.
RICHARD MORTIMER LEE, hailsham, east sussex
Am I right in thinking that vast areas of farmland are still classified as 'set aside' i.e. are not being used to produce anything and get huge grants from EU?
Adrian, London , UK
Not only have we got an unbelievable increase in the demand for cereals, we have a combination of a UK government steeped in a purely urban culture. A whole new breed of schoolchild that has no idea where food comes from, and the constant ticking of the world overpopulation clock!
David Vinter, Louth, Lincs., UK.
I agree with Rosalind Kadir. As a wholefood organic vegetarian, and apart from home-made loaves using spelt flour, I rarely eat products made of wheat, so am not concerned about the rising price. What does concern me, in a wider sense, is that people have become dependent on wheat. Avoiding or giving up wheat entirely is not easy - apart from the obvious items such as bread, cakes and biscuits, wheat is used as a filler ingredient in many products. However, if most people were to avoid or give up eating anything containing wheat then their health would improve and ease some of the pressure on the NHS.
Michael , Ledbury, England
Hovis may cost £1.15, but non-premium brands can still be bought for around 60 - 70p. Both loaves weigh 800g, so presumably they contain the same amount of wheat. So why the high cost? Sounds like an excuse to me
paul, Witney,
I agree with Premier Foods and I foresee a time in the not-too-distant future when farmers will be directed, rather in the manner that they were directed by the War Agricultural Executive Committees in World War II, to ensure that land is farmed properly and not laid waste. That will need a change of mind-set for my area of the Cambridgeshire Fens on the part of the National Trust which is still planning to buy up and partially to flood some 13,500 acres of the finest food-growing land in the country. The Trust is receiving tax-payer and Lottery funding for its crazy and out-dated ideas: this should be stopped forthwith. With wheat at £200 per tonne, fine farmland is for food-growing, not flooding!
Geoffrey Woollard, Cambridge, England
We are far too dependent on grains for human and animal foods. We eat too much of them and feed our animals excessively on them.
As an applied nutritionist I see so many problems with excessive consumption of wheat based foods such as bloating and IBS.
If we all ate less of it we wouldn't have a problem. We should eat more vegetables instead - roots provide great amounts of starchy energy and have other benefits too that wheat does not.
Rosalind Kadir, Kingston, Surrey
This article presents one of the first sensible critiques of biofuels as well as an explicit statement about the real rate of inflation. Forget about ipods, DVDs and the like. A 15% rise in the price of a loaf of bread is representative of how living costs in this in this country are going through the roof. Similar rises have come through in other foodstuffs. With the UK heavily dependent on food imports, not only do we need to utilise more land for arable agriculture, we also need to give our not-so-sterling currency a good boost to increase our purchasing power in the global market. Raise interest rates now before it gets worse!
Paul, Coventry,