Steve Hawkes, Retail Correspondent
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Consumers plan to cut their spending over the next year on everything from supermarket food to short breaks and eating out as they struggle to cope with the growing squeeze on their income.
In a bleak illustration of the challenge facing the high street, a survey indicates that people believe they have no choice but to tighten the purse strings, given spiralling energy bills and the deepening gloom in the housing market. Pricewaterhouse-Coopers (PwC) found that 43 per cent of consumers expected to cut back on dining out, 37 per cent would spend less on electronic goods and 33 per cent would limit clothing purchases.
A third said that they might switch to a cheaper supermarket and 30 per cent indicated that they might spend less on their annual holiday.
Olivia Gillan, a PwC retail partner, said: “People are getting more and more nervous, and the pace is accelerating. For retailers and leisure operators, it’s going to be a survival of the fittest.” The PwC survey is the latest in a series of grim forecasts for the economy and comes only two weeks after official figures recorded the biggest fall in retail sales for 20 years.
A separate Nationwide report will claim today that consumer confidence has fallen to a record low amid growing concerns over job security. Nationwide’s consumer confidence index is 46 per cent below the levels of a year ago, before the credit crunch began.
Lord Harris of Peckham, the founder and chief executive of Carpetright, said yesterday that it was clear that consumers were putting off purchases as the group reported a 15.4 per cent fall in like-for-like sales for the 13 weeks to August 2. He said: “It’s not only in the carpet industry, it’s in furniture, curtains, bedding – everything’s gone quiet in that area. It’s bloody tough.”
The PwC survey suggested that 60 per cent of homeowners believed that they would be worse off in a year’s time – up from 37 per cent in April. It added that the low-paid and elderly were the most pessimistic, with people aged 18 to 24 the most optimistic.
Ms Gillan said that supermarkets would be hit by the slowing economy, as discount chains such as Aldi, Lidl and Netto continued to increase their market share. Aldi said recently that its sales were up by 30 per cent year-on-year.
“The impact of the early 1990s recession on the grocery sector was very limited,” Ms Gillan said. “However, since then grocery purchasing has arguably become more discretionary as people have treated themselves by trading up to supermarkets’ ‘finest’ or ‘best’ ranges.
“As a result, this time round the sector could be hit harder if consumers rein in their spend by cutting out unnecessary luxuries and trade down to cheaper rivals.”
PwC’s survey shows that consumers have started to cut back to cope with the growing pressure on household budgets, with 35 per cent shopping less often since the start of the year. About 28 per cent have delayed decorating the home, 25 per cent have bought more secondhand goods and 24 per cent have stayed in to watch a DVD rather than go to the cinema. Only 15 per cent have made no extra effort to save money.
Ms Gillan said: “Consumers are already starting to change their behaviour and, as consumer spending tightens, the proportion spent on discretionary categories within the leisure and retail sectors is likely to decline.”
Dozens of retailers have collapsed into administration since the start of the year, including Dolcis, the shoe store chain, and, most recently, Wrapit, the online wedding gift service. It is expected that more than 100,000 retail jobs will be lost by the end of next year. Pubs are closing at their fastest rate as the consumer downturn and the smoking ban have reduced the numbers of people spending an evening at their local.
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I have been shopping at Aldi and Lidl for years. The downside to everyone else switching to them is that I have noticed their prices beginning to rise!!
Go back to Sainsburys etc. all of you. You are spoiling things!!
Colin, Bridgwater, Somerset
''A third said that they might switch to a cheaper supermarket''
Wake up.. Aldi and Lidle is full on a thursday morning when the new goods arrive. First time I visited I was amazed at the numbers there. Even double checked to see how empty the local sainsbury's was
The food is actually nice
Nicholas Iles, Oswestry, Shropshire, United Kingdom
This is no bad thing. (Job) insecurity will act as downward pressure on wage claims and therefore inflation which might save us from further increases in interest rates.
Tom Porter, Winchester, United Kingdom
This reduction of spending is the price of high food and fuel inflation, brought about by a deliberately devalued currency.
Paul, Coventry,
I have reduced by Petrol consumption by nearly 35%. Will be switching over to Prius if the price of this car reduces by 20%.
Jagadish, Bromley, UK
It's also called Living within your means silly. This is a formula well understood by our parents
bob holmes, axbridge , England (under offer )
Quite right Roger Steare. There is only so much we can use on this planet and when it's gone. It's gone. We can live well on far less. But blame Brown and his economy based on shopping.
albert hall, hove, england
Too bloody true Roger! It's time we rejected the plutocratic conspiracy that treats human beings as 'consumers' - milch cows bred to buy, buy, buy. Meantime, we are kept docile with Murdochian-style bread and circuses in the shape of sport and celebrity.
Peter Scott-Smith, Settle, UK
Good. It's about time we addressed our addiction to consumerism and economic growth. We all live on a planet with finite resources. In the last 60 years the human population has multiplied from 2bn to 6bn. And everyone wants to live like us in the West. Less is more, or billions will die.
Roger Steare, Sevenoaks, UK