David Smith, Economics Editor
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FINANCE MINISTERS from the G8, meeting in Japan, have warned that soaring food and energy prices mean the global economy faces significant “headwinds”.
However, ahead of a meeting between oil consuming and producing nations in Saudi Arabia next weekend, they were split on the cause of the surge in crude prices to nearly $140 a barrel earlier this month.
Alistair Darling, the chancellor, refused to pin the blame on speculators for pushing up the price, saying that the pressing need was for oil-producing nations to increase output.
“It is sometimes difficult to distinguish between an airline that may hedge its fuel price, which is perfectly sensible planning, and someone who is speculating or even gambling on the price of oil,” he said.
Hank Paulson, the US Treasury secretary, agreed. “At its heart, this run-up in price reflects long-term trends in global supply and demand and strong economic growth coinciding with a period of minimal investment in oil production,” he said.
In contrast, several EU members of the G8 blamed the high price on speculators and urged they be curbed.
“This global, massive and durable surge has facets that are inexplicable,” said Christine Lagarde, the French finance minister.
Giulio Tremonti, Italy’s finance minister, said it was imperative that countries cooperated to “fight speculation” and urged higher deposits for investors trading in commodity markets. This proposal was not accepted, though the G8 did agree to an International Monetary Fund investigation into oil prices.
Darling and Paulson, apart from sensitivity over the fact that most oil is traded in London and New York, appeared determined not to dilute the message that the fundamental cause of high prices is that oil producers have been restricting supplies.
The G8 meeting warned the tough times would not go away. “The world economy continues to face uncertainty,” it said in a formal statement. “Further declines in housing prices in the US and greater strains in the financial markets may adversely affect the global outlook. Elevated commodity prices, especially of oil and food, pose a serious challenge.”
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What happened to all the synthetic fuel (ethanol) that everyone is producing? Isn't this already adding to the daily production? Corn price is surely going up.Yet all these experts are calling for more oil..the math doesn't add up..speculation is the root of the problem and see my previous solutions
alim, miami, u.s.a.
alistair darling...crude price is not set by producer but by the futures market and increasing a few hundred thou bls/day is not going to make a dent unless OPEC is willing to pump a few million bls/day which will never happen...close out the outstanding contracts and take a major hit will solve it.
alim, miami, usa
they best suggestion is to reduce demmand by chaning or econmies into oil independant. we have the copntrol then rather than other countri8es
amit hindocha, birminghm,
"Alistair Darling,.....saying that the pressing need was for oil-producing nations to increase output"
The UK/US have been spending money we don't have. So Darling expects OPEC to sell out their future cheaply to save us.
Rather, we should start spending according to our income
Clive, Surrey,
Speculation , manipulation... all words the governments and people like to use so they dont have to face up to the inevitable, the price of crude is high and will stay high. Scary that we cant blame anyone than ourselves eh...
scott h, London , UK
the real cause of the spike in oil prices lies in oil futures + derivatives speculation but no analysts, politicians, traders, bankers, etc. have the guts to go against their self-interests...where els can you trade millions of times daily above the actual daily production and still call it hedging?
alim, miami, usa
solution?? individuals and co who trade commodities are required to put up a sizable deposit and are subject to margin calls timely except financial institutions trading for their own accounts...time for the SEC, CBOE, FEDS, GOV to act and demand segregated accounts for them subject to the same reqs
alim, miami, usa
Financial institutions should open segregated accounts to trade commodities subject to minimum deposit requirements and margin calls...that shall reduce a lot of speculations immediately but that of course in not politically of financially correct (exchanges financial institutions will suffer)
alim, miami, usa
First close out the outstanding oil futures and derivatives which the financial institutions have been rolling over since the oil spike started around $50...every month when these contracts expire is when the oil price spikes up because rolling over means closing (BUYING) and reopen new contracts.
alim, miami, usa