Anatole Kaletsky
Claim your free 2010 double sided wall chart
Gordon Brown’s career as Prime Minister has got off to a flying start. For this, he can partly thank al-Qaeda, since last week’s attempted bombings created the best of both worlds for any incumbent as No 10: a surge of patriotism and respect for authority, combined with relief and admiration for the emergency services, because nobody was actually hurt.
But even without the failed doctors’ plot, the surge of support for Labour in the polls was pretty much inevitable and expected, as was the outbreak of infighting among the Tories when they discovered to their horror that Mr Brown was not changing his name by deed poll to Joseph Stalin the moment he came to power. Then yesterday came the first genuine surprise.
Mr Brown did something I have long suspected he might do, but never fully believed: he started to outflank David Cameron from the Right and to reposition Labour as Britain’s most solidly pro-business party. Mr Brown’s reasons for trying to do this are quite simple: he has always believed that the steady growth of the British economy in the past ten years has been his greatest achievement as Chancellor.
Maintaining this growth is now the indispensable condition for his success as Prime Minister, and justified the sacrifice of impractical socialist precepts he once believed. Outflanking Mr Cameron on economic policy would also be politically attractive, because it would cut the Tories off from their natural electoral heartland. But while the logic of a shift towards pro-business policies under Mr Brown was always quite compelling, almost nobody believed it would happen, and even I had my doubts.
Partly this was a matter of style. Mr Brown has always been very unpopular in the City of London and the business community and his elevation to Prime Minister has been a big source of worry to British businessmen and financiers.
Even though they could never quite put their finger on what they were worried about, the visceral distrust of Mr Brown was impossible to disregard. In the past few days, however, this attitude has been noticeably changing.
The flanking operation began with Mr Brown’s decision to appoint Sir Digby Jones, the outspoken former Director-General of the CBI, as a minister without forcing him to join the Labour Party, and invite Damon Ruffini, Britain’s most prominent private equity boss, to join the new Business Council. The pincer movement continued on Tuesday when John Hutton, the new Secretary of State for Business, accused Tories of “downplaying the importance of business” and added that Labour “wants to be the natural party of business”. But these were just preludes to the real thrust of the new strategy, revealed by Alistair Darling in yesterday’s Financial Times.
In this interview, the new Chancellor ruled out any rush to impose new taxes or regulations on private equity and hedge funds, as demanded by a strange alliance between the trade union movement and populist tabloids.
Much more importantly, he hinted as clearly as a Chancellor ever can that foreign financiers living in Britain would continue indefinitely to enjoy their present very favourable treatment under the nondomiciled tax regime. And he justified this favourable treatment with the most pragmatic, and hence most persuasive, reasons: “I am very well aware that people who do business, and who contribute to business here, can go elsewhere.”
More generally, Mr Darling repeatedly emphasised the importance of the City and of liberal financial markets as “absolutely critical” to the prosperity of the whole British economy, adding for good measure that Britain’s increasing specialisation in finance was something to be welcomed, not opposed.
He showed his intense awareness of just how important it is to maintain a pro-business environment by contrasting Labour’s approach with the damaging overregulation of financial markets by American politicians after the dot-com crash.
Even more importantly, Mr Darling launched a veritable diatribe against Nicolas Sarkozy and his efforts to push EU economic policies in a more protectionist and less pro-market direction. As the new Chancellor put it: “There is an ideological battle at the moment in Europe” and there could be no doubt which side Britain would be on: “I do not believe in economic nationalism. Economic nationalism is protectionism and there is no other word for it. I think it is nonsense.” You can’t be much clearer than that – and there can be little doubt that these words of Mr Darling’s were carefully chosen and endorsed by Mr Brown.
The minimal implication of these comments is that economic policy under the Darling-Brown regime will definitely not push Britain in the direction of more protectionism, higher marginal taxes, tighter regulation or generalised attacks against the City, the business community or “the rich”, however defined. A slightly more ambitious interpretation would hold that Mr Brown will actually give Messrs Darling and Hutton more latitude to deregulate and to move the tax system in a pro-competitive direction than he himself enjoyed under Tony Blair. An even more speculative, but nonetheless quite plausible, interpretation, is that economic and foreign policy could become more mutually reinforcing under the new Government.
Is it possible, for example, that Mr Brown might use a row with France over protectionism and competition as a reason to withdraw his support for the new EU treaty? I have no idea, but it does seem clear from Mr Darling’s provocative comments on President Sarkozy that the new Government does not necessarily feel bound by the late-night deals that were made in Brussels last month by Mr Blair.
It is therefore quite conceivable that, in the forthcoming negotiations on the new European treaty, Mr Brown could try to reinsert the objective of “free and undistorted competition” that Mr Sarkozy removed in his now notorious coup. He could then call for a referendum in Britain if France rejected this demand on the reasonable ground that a treaty that played down the single market would be fundamentally changing the nature of the EU. Such a toughening of Britain’s negotiating stance would be hugely popular, both with the British public and the business community.
None of this would, of course, guarantee Mr Brown’s success as Prime Minister, since the biggest political issues in Britain – Iraq, violent crime, education – have little to do with economics, or Europe. Still, to judge by his first week in government, Mr Brown really is off to a good start.
Anatole Kaletsky writes for The Times Comment pages on Thursdays. One of the country's leading commentators on economics, he was formerly Economics Editor and is now Editor-at-large of The Times. He has won many awards for his financial and political journalism. Before joining The Times, he worked for 12 years on the Financial Times
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
2004
£56,950
Essex
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
c. £70,000
The Duke of Edinburgh’s Award
Windsor
Competitive
Hickman and Rose
London
Southwark County Council
£100,000
Home Office
Liverpool
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now for Free Stateroom Upgrades, Free parking at Southampton & Free Onboard Spend!
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
Wintersun - inspiration for your winter holiday
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2010 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.