Anatole Kaletsky
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Gordon Brown’s career as Prime Minister has got off to a flying start. For this, he can partly thank al-Qaeda, since last week’s attempted bombings created the best of both worlds for any incumbent as No 10: a surge of patriotism and respect for authority, combined with relief and admiration for the emergency services, because nobody was actually hurt.
But even without the failed doctors’ plot, the surge of support for Labour in the polls was pretty much inevitable and expected, as was the outbreak of infighting among the Tories when they discovered to their horror that Mr Brown was not changing his name by deed poll to Joseph Stalin the moment he came to power. Then yesterday came the first genuine surprise.
Mr Brown did something I have long suspected he might do, but never fully believed: he started to outflank David Cameron from the Right and to reposition Labour as Britain’s most solidly pro-business party. Mr Brown’s reasons for trying to do this are quite simple: he has always believed that the steady growth of the British economy in the past ten years has been his greatest achievement as Chancellor.
Maintaining this growth is now the indispensable condition for his success as Prime Minister, and justified the sacrifice of impractical socialist precepts he once believed. Outflanking Mr Cameron on economic policy would also be politically attractive, because it would cut the Tories off from their natural electoral heartland. But while the logic of a shift towards pro-business policies under Mr Brown was always quite compelling, almost nobody believed it would happen, and even I had my doubts.
Partly this was a matter of style. Mr Brown has always been very unpopular in the City of London and the business community and his elevation to Prime Minister has been a big source of worry to British businessmen and financiers.
Even though they could never quite put their finger on what they were worried about, the visceral distrust of Mr Brown was impossible to disregard. In the past few days, however, this attitude has been noticeably changing.
The flanking operation began with Mr Brown’s decision to appoint Sir Digby Jones, the outspoken former Director-General of the CBI, as a minister without forcing him to join the Labour Party, and invite Damon Ruffini, Britain’s most prominent private equity boss, to join the new Business Council. The pincer movement continued on Tuesday when John Hutton, the new Secretary of State for Business, accused Tories of “downplaying the importance of business” and added that Labour “wants to be the natural party of business”. But these were just preludes to the real thrust of the new strategy, revealed by Alistair Darling in yesterday’s Financial Times.
In this interview, the new Chancellor ruled out any rush to impose new taxes or regulations on private equity and hedge funds, as demanded by a strange alliance between the trade union movement and populist tabloids.
Much more importantly, he hinted as clearly as a Chancellor ever can that foreign financiers living in Britain would continue indefinitely to enjoy their present very favourable treatment under the nondomiciled tax regime. And he justified this favourable treatment with the most pragmatic, and hence most persuasive, reasons: “I am very well aware that people who do business, and who contribute to business here, can go elsewhere.”
More generally, Mr Darling repeatedly emphasised the importance of the City and of liberal financial markets as “absolutely critical” to the prosperity of the whole British economy, adding for good measure that Britain’s increasing specialisation in finance was something to be welcomed, not opposed.
He showed his intense awareness of just how important it is to maintain a pro-business environment by contrasting Labour’s approach with the damaging overregulation of financial markets by American politicians after the dot-com crash.
Even more importantly, Mr Darling launched a veritable diatribe against Nicolas Sarkozy and his efforts to push EU economic policies in a more protectionist and less pro-market direction. As the new Chancellor put it: “There is an ideological battle at the moment in Europe” and there could be no doubt which side Britain would be on: “I do not believe in economic nationalism. Economic nationalism is protectionism and there is no other word for it. I think it is nonsense.” You can’t be much clearer than that – and there can be little doubt that these words of Mr Darling’s were carefully chosen and endorsed by Mr Brown.
The minimal implication of these comments is that economic policy under the Darling-Brown regime will definitely not push Britain in the direction of more protectionism, higher marginal taxes, tighter regulation or generalised attacks against the City, the business community or “the rich”, however defined. A slightly more ambitious interpretation would hold that Mr Brown will actually give Messrs Darling and Hutton more latitude to deregulate and to move the tax system in a pro-competitive direction than he himself enjoyed under Tony Blair. An even more speculative, but nonetheless quite plausible, interpretation, is that economic and foreign policy could become more mutually reinforcing under the new Government.
Is it possible, for example, that Mr Brown might use a row with France over protectionism and competition as a reason to withdraw his support for the new EU treaty? I have no idea, but it does seem clear from Mr Darling’s provocative comments on President Sarkozy that the new Government does not necessarily feel bound by the late-night deals that were made in Brussels last month by Mr Blair.
It is therefore quite conceivable that, in the forthcoming negotiations on the new European treaty, Mr Brown could try to reinsert the objective of “free and undistorted competition” that Mr Sarkozy removed in his now notorious coup. He could then call for a referendum in Britain if France rejected this demand on the reasonable ground that a treaty that played down the single market would be fundamentally changing the nature of the EU. Such a toughening of Britain’s negotiating stance would be hugely popular, both with the British public and the business community.
None of this would, of course, guarantee Mr Brown’s success as Prime Minister, since the biggest political issues in Britain – Iraq, violent crime, education – have little to do with economics, or Europe. Still, to judge by his first week in government, Mr Brown really is off to a good start.

Anatole Kaletsky writes for The Times Comment pages on Thursdays. One of the country's leading commentators on economics, he was formerly Economics Editor and is now an Associate Editor of The Times. He has won many awards for his financial and political journalism. Before joining The Times, he worked for 12 years on the Financial Times
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It's very nice to know that this pair won't push the UK in the direction of higher marginal tax rates - but it would also be very nice to know that there was an intention to reduce standard tax rates, and tax generally, so we could all enjoy some favourable tax treatment
Jorg, Yeoford, Devon
Time to downplay mere 'performance', Colin, and try some 'ability-to-deliver'.
Steve, Tunbridge Wells, UK
Mr. Brown has not gone further to inspire trust in politicians by shuffling duties about. In my opinion, you can only trust politicians who say what they mean and mean what they say, whatever their duties.
In the United States we have an excess of politicians unable or unwilling to be direct with words and accountable for their actions. Whatever one thinks of a politician, if you can trust them to do what they say they will and they try their best to make it so, you can trust them.
In this regard, I think Hugo Chavez and the President of Iran are more trustworthy than the average. They have been quite clear about their goals and their actions to date are their best efforts to see these goals to fruition. I trust them to act on their words.
Gordon Brown has done nothing by these changes to make himself more trustworthy. That he plays word games about terrorism and who is responsible is an untrustworthy act. I trust him less today than yesterday.
George Schirtzinger, Pasadena, CA, USA
Dr MI Barton MA. MBA, Oxford, UK - what? Or rather - what is you print and does it have anything to do with the article printed above? Please tell me that Oxford is only your home address and not your alma mater.
KR, Stockport,
I'm unconvinced by the stated 'need' for private equity managers to receive quite enormous compensation for their deals, virtually tax free. My question is how much net of tax do they need to keep them in the UK and is it as much as they presently get? Do we have nothing to offer these people except a low tax rate? I have absolutely no difficulty with the idea that they should earn whatever it takes to retain their services, but I don't think they should be getting any kind of special deal on tax relative to those who earn salaries. I can see the attraction to GB of having UK companies revamped with minimal political pain. No doubt it needs doing. But do we need to breach the rules of tax equity to do it? Does GB not think he will receive an electoral invoice for this?
Colin Forbes, Shrewsbury,
Kaletsky is wrong: Immigration is the number 1 worry for the British.
Brown will be finished if he fails to have a referendum on the EU to return it to a Common Market - or we leave.
R.Wilson, London,
I was very pleased with Gordon Brown's first appearance at PMQs. His straightforward and honest approach is refreshing, and the fact he did not try to emulate his predecessor in any way was welcome. After an excellent first week in office, Mr Brown's performance was no nonsense and clear - something the British public are definitely warming to and appreciative of. A very promising start.
Steve Tarbet, Cardiff, Wales
So Brown is going to pick a fight with the EU. He is regarded with suspicion in Washington. Without either the UK is meaningles without both it's a joke.
I recommend looking at last week's Economist. It has a chart showing how home owndership has now reached the same level of household spending burden as in 1990. Is there a black, black cloud coming over the horizon?
Brown has been a poor, poor chancellor - but a lucky one. As PM his luck is running out already.
eddie reader, birmingham, uk
phillipa is right to say that the next big issue will be the state pension
. you cannot pay single mothers, the idle and feckless to do nothing or even have a comprehensive welfare system and pay future state pensions in the future.
i predict the welfare state will be cut back radically over the next decade.
this will have profound implications. crime, prostitution. greater family breakdown and a very nasty society will emerge.
the rich will live in gated high security areas and the rest will be left to fight for the pickings in a very liberal economy
i think this is inevitable given the forces of globalisation and rapid technological advance.
what are your thoughts
adrian o'doherty, telford, great britian
Gordon Brown is pro big-business (especially foreign-owned multinationals), and anti small-business - probably because it's difficult to track the thousands of small companies out there.
This was most starkly brought home by his final budget (although each of the 9 preceding budgets also hit small business in some way), which lowered the corporation tax rate for big companies, and raised it for small companies to take up the slack. Small companies are already struggling under a ton of heavyweight new legislation (most of which is designed with big business in mind) and punitive local & national taxation.
Unfortunately for Brown - most of the UK workforce is employed by small businesses. Small businesses are the lifeblood of the economy. And, of course, some small businesses will eventually become big businesses...
Labour, pro business? Don't make me laugh.
Ade, Wallasey, UK
I have huge respect for Mr Kaletsky's views, but I would say that, as a property developer, steadily watching the impending arrival of the Planning Gain Supplement, I would have to completely disagree with Mr Browns pro-business credentials. His new proposed tax on land will be enough to harm the property industry in the same way as his relief changes harmed the pensions industry for a generation. It will lead to less available land, less development, less jobs and higher house prices particularly affecting first time buyers. Its going to be a disaster and there doesn't seem to be a single industry group willing to say it will do anything other than cause long term harm.
Ben Leefield MRICS, Oxford, UK
"Does that mean that he will instead raise taxes on those of us who cannot easily go elsewhere"
Well, duuuh!!!
neil murphy, cromer,
Mr Brown has been planning his coronation to the role of PM for many years. He has a team of bright people to help him in these endeavours. His moves ove rthe last week or so have been carefully planned tactical moves to create a certain image - no change here from the last decade. Mr Brown's underlying strategy will have changed not one jot - his is an unrecontracted Marxist with the rightness of State control over all aspects of our lives the very living marrow of his bones. I fo one, am not going to be so easily persuading by some eye-catching tactical moves - have you forgotten the standard fare of Blair's tactics so quickly?
Harry, Maidenhead,
Hmm - pmq - both Cameron and Campbell made him look foolish.
Interest rates up yet again due primarialy to his own vast borrowing and expenditure.
He has also begun with a solid week of the greatest lie of all - that he had nothing to do with the last ten years of control freakery overtaxation, uncontrolled spending and spin.
Edward Andrew Green, Upminster, England
But will the Labour left stay supine for ever? They were hoping that Brown would be their hero. As for the most pressing matter facing this country, it is obviously immigration which is running at unsustainable levels. Has Brown the mettle to tackle this issue? I very much doubt it!
Richard, Kidderminster, England
I would personally like to see the annuity trap removed and expect the government to adhere to good housekeeping rules so removing the nervous requirement to maintain a vast demand for cheap borrowing via gilts - the only logical reason for the annuity trap!
If there is a requirement for more money use the income tax system, the only equitable method, and stop the tortuous sneaky methodologies employed so far in this governments run!
All the other obvious things as well of course
Jim Golightly, Prudhoe, England
I hope he now calls a referendum, as AK moots, especially as a leading trade union has called upon him to do so.
However, the referendum should not be on this Treaty - go and try again, the EU will say when we reject it - but on our membership of the EU.
If he doesn't, he will deserve to be trounced at the next general election. By then the economy which he was in charge of over the past ten years will be beginning to unravel anyway.
wilson, London, UK
Steve H -
Yes. Spot on. But do you think he will?
Michael Bruce, Selby, Yorkshire
In the article, it is stated that Brown will not raise taxes on people who do business here because he is well aware that they can go elsewhere.
Does that mean that he will instead raise taxes on those of us who cannot easily go elsewhere.
tony, birmingham, uk
I agree, Brown has Sarkozy over a barrel in that he can threaten a UK referendum if he doesn't get what he wants. But the biggest political issue is not Iraq - that's just the treacherous excuse useful idiots are giving to these terrorists. The biggest political and economic issue is the funding of state sector pensions and whether we are going to dishonour those pledges or cut something else to afford them.
Philippa Pirie, London, England
I hope he now calls a referendum, as AK moots, especially as a leading trade union has called upon him to do so.
However, the referendum should not be on this Treaty - go and try again, the EU will say when we reject it - but on our membership of the EU.
If he doesn't, he will deserve to be trounced at the next general election. By then the economy which he was in charge of over the past ten years will be beginning to unravel anyway.
wilson, London, UK
so do we get back the 10% band
geoff, stafford, england ,
Mr. Brown's first PMQ was excellent. Honest and without the confrontational approach asociated with previous PMs.
Robert, London, UK
Except for his first PMQ performance which was dreadful
COLIN , Hong Kong,
The steady growth of the British economy in the past ten years has been Gordon Brown's greatest achievement as Chancellor, has it? Can Anatole Kaletsky explain how Mr Brown wrought this miracle? The longest period of continuous quarterly economic growth had begun long before he walked into 11 Downing Street. He unnecessarily sold off Britain's gold reserves at the Brown bottom, losing £2bn. He has lumbered future taxpayers with billions of PFI debt. He has overseen the loss of a million manufacturing jobs. He has lamentably failed to control public spending waste. And so on, and so on.
Mr Brown had the good fortune to be in office during the steady growth of the British economy over the past ten years. There is a difference between being there and being responsible. But the distinction appears lost on Mr Kaletsky.
Ray Burke, Stockport, England
Why should anyone stop using the word "Muslim" when describing terrorism?? How about using "Islamic" instead?
Brown is off to a good start trying to disassociate Islam from terror, but as much as he would like to make us forget, we all know who the terrorist are and what religion they practice.
Scott, Durham, NC, USA
If Brown offers the voters a referendum on Europe, and backs the No side, Labour will have converted this Tory.
steve h, cardiff,
Debating nukes as MAD & NFF would leave us dead and even destroys deterant.
Giving more power to the Nolan Millionaires without the electorate is bad. The Parliamentary Labour party is not the electorate and little better than the Cabinet.
What is the executive?
Dr MI Barton MA. MBA, Oxford, UK