Anatole Kaletsky
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Last week I asked, perhaps a little hyperbolically, whether tens of billions of pounds of taxpayers' money should be diverted from health, education and social services to subsidise the bonuses of stockbrokers and salaries of bankers - and added that the employees and shareholders of Northern Rock seemed to assume a divine right to public support of a kind that nobody would dream of offering these days to car workers or miners. In response, I was upbraided by several bankers and politicians for confusing a temporary commercial loan, backed up with 100 per cent security for repayment, with old-fashioned government featherbedding.
Maybe my critics were right. I certainly hope they were, since I have a compelling interest, as a citizen, in the health of the British economy and the proper function of the Government. But if the £20 billion advanced to Northern Rock by the Bank of England in the past two months was really a commercial loan and not a state handout, then somebody needs to explain this to the company's directors, shareholders and financial advisers. And this explanation had better be delivered urgently by the Chancellor himself, with no buts, ifs or maybes. For in the leaked sales memorandum that Northern Rock tried to suppress yesterday through a court injunction the company's directors have prepared one of the biggest tax demands in British history.
And to judge by the leaked papers, this conspiracy to raid the Exchequer may have extorted the Chancellor's acquiescence, if not his active support.
If these statements sound as exaggerated as my comments last week, I'm sorry. But they seem to me quite a moderate response to the audacious proposals circulated by Northern Rock to potential investors this week. These proposals, published in yesterday's Financial Times under the terms of the limited injunction, include three astonishing “assumptions” - a better word would be “presumptions” - about government support.
The first is that the Bank of England's £20 billion line of credit, instead of being repaid in February, would continue until 2010 - at least to the tune of £6 billion. The second is that the interest on this line of credit would be reduced despite Mervyn King's insistence that Northern Rock must pay a “penal” rate for its support. The third is that, in the event of a break-up, the Government would keep a lien only on Northern Rock's riskier assets, allowing all the most secure mortgages to be sold off to private bidders, while taxpayers took their place at the end of the creditors' queue.
Do these proposals still sound too technical and arcane to justify my accusations of attempted larceny and extortion? Then consider the more politically explicit version published in The Guardian under the headline “Taxpayer may lose £2 billion in bank rescue”. According to this story, potential private sector “rescuers” are not just demanding a lower rate from the Bank of England but pressing the Government to waive completely the interest bill on its £20 billion loan.
They are highlighting “the benefits of a bid for the job prospects of the bank's 5,500 workers in Newcastle and Sunderland... Alistair Darling is well aware that Labour has a majority of seats in the North East and needs to protect them ahead of the general election”. Mr Darling is also being told that if he has the temerity to demand payment of the interest due to the Bank of England for the Northern Rock bailout, the Government could face “accusations of profiteering which are unlikely to play well with MPs in the affected constituencies”.
Suddenly it becomes clear why several of the self-styled “bidders” for Northern Rock have been high-profile public figures who have publicised their rescue plans on newspaper front pages, instead of trying to buy the company on the cheap through the usual means of quiet behind-the-scenes negotiations. They know that the easiest way to make a fortune from a Northern Rock “rescue” is to squeeze billions of pounds of subsidies out of the Government. And the easiest way to do that is to spin the story so that the Government and the Bank of England, instead of the company's own directors, bear the blame for the job losses at Northern Rock.
This is exactly the kind of City blackmail that I described hypothetically on this page last week. Now that this has come to fruition, the question is how the Government and the Bank of England should react. The answer is obvious.
The Chancellor should make a public announcement that there can be no question of extending any state funding beyond February, whether Northern Rock is under new ownership or remains in its present form. If, by that time, the company has not managed to secure private funding, the Bank of England will call in its loans and put the company into administration. To prepare for this contingency the Government will immediately present a short emergency Bill to Parliament, allowing the Treasury to honour its guarantees to depositors and creditors by offering £1 for all Northern Rock's assets and liabilities in the event of the company going into administration. Since the company would face a demand from the Bank of England for immediate repayment of more than £20 billion, there would be no question of either the administrator or the shareholders refusing this £1 offer.
Once this Bill was passed, the Government would be in a position to repay Northern Rock depositors within 24 hours of it being placed in administration. Meanwhile, Northern Rock's mortgages and other assets would be handed over to a newly created public sector company similar to Railtrack, which would sell them off, either directly to the credit markets or to other mortgage lenders, over a period of time.
If the Bank of England, the Financial Services Authority and the Treasury were right in their assessment two months ago that there was nothing fundamentally wrong with Northern Rock's book of assets, then the Government would be able to sell them off over a period at a good price. In that case the Treasury would recoup all the money paid out on deposit guarantees and might even make a modest profit.
If Northern Rock's assets turned out to be less valuable than expected, the Government would suffer a moderate loss. But, given that the Government would not be a forced seller, the Treasury's loss in gradually disposing of Northern Rock's assets would be much smaller than the subsidies or soft loans that almost any private sector “bidder” is now almost certain to demand.
If Northern Rock's directors can organise a genuine financial rescue, they should be allowed to do so. But any such “private sector” offer must repay every penny of public money with full interest by February, as originally required. Anything short of that would not be a financial rescue offer. It would be a political blackmail demand.

Anatole Kaletsky writes for The Times Comment pages on Thursdays. One of the country's leading commentators on economics, he was formerly Economics Editor and is now an Associate Editor of The Times. He has won many awards for his financial and political journalism. Before joining The Times, he worked for 12 years on the Financial Times
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What a great analysis, Anatole!
I wonder whether you could also clarify the difference between "taxpayers' money" and "public money"?
Isn't a loan by the Bank of England theoretically "public" and the Treasury's money is "taxpayers"?
Mervyn King told the Treasury Select Committee that he would have preferred to aid in a 'covert' way but EU regulation prevented that...
My analysis of the statistical data base of the Bank of England leads me to believe that Northern Rock is the first example for "wholesale lending" hitting its ceiling of exponential growth sooner than conventional "retail lending".
What they have in common is that compounding interest on interest is exponential, i.e. unsustainable. Why did Jesus chase the money lenders from the temple?
Keep asking 'hyperbolic' questions!
Yours in admiration,
Sabine McNeill
Publisher, Green Credit for Green Growth
http://www.greencredit.org.uk
Organiser, Forum for Stable Currencies
http://www.forumforstablecurrencies.org.uk
Sabine K McNeill FRSA, London, UK
Shareholders shouldn't get anything, however depositors shouldn't lose anything. Thats the way capitalism in the banking sector should work.
I'd like to see the bonuses of the bankers involved, and of senior management of NR, seized. This should go back 3-5 years if possible. Assets should be seized too. Directors who brought about this debacle should face criminal charges, and jail if found guilty (lack of competence should not be an excuse).
And by the way, I work in an investment bank. I see it first hand, and believe that the way the system is set up is inherently open to this kind of abuse. Financial and Product control, and market risk professionals within banks are there to protect the bank against rogue traders, but who protects the banks against rogue directors?
Andy, London, UK
This milking of the UK taxpayer while schools are underfunded, the poor and old are cold in their homes unable to afford to heat themselves, and people languish on hospital waiting lists will only be stopped if a sufficient number of people stand up against it. With his position in the public eye, AK could start a campaign to make sure that everyone knows what is going on. Could a petition to number 10 be started? What can be done?
William Shears, Leicester, UK
What do you really expect from this Government of morons? They lost several billion pounds when they sold off more than half our gold reserves at $300 an ounce. Today gold is $800 an ounce.
Why did they do it? Some hairbrained idea of Alan Greenspan to hold the price down would indicate there was no fear in the financial system at the time of the Long Term Capital Markets fiasco. Note the US did not sell any of its gold because they would have had to get the permission of Congress which would not have been forthcoming.
That didn't apply in our undemocratic and unaccountable system.
oldasiahand, Guildford, UK
Excellent article. Anatole to be next GOAT in the treasury!
Timothy Longman, Chester,
NR committed the cardinal financial sin of lending long and borrowing short. The directors and shareholders have greatly profitted from this sin-it is now payback time-O.Hill London UK
O.HILL, London,
Re CC, Manchester
Interesting point, however "building on clay" is what your Council's Building Control office normally approves - it is strong and stable. Perhaps Northern Rock (sic?) was actually Northern Sand? (Northern Clay would have been much safer!)
J Bustard, Craigavon, N Ireland
Why would anyone be suprised by the Elites looking after themselves?. It is their raison d'etre. The peasants do not ' understand ', it is too ' complicated ' for their ' simplistic ' minds. By the way, does anyone remember the term ' Moral Hazard ' ?.
Desmond Taylor, Houston, USA Tx
I'm no banker but Mr kaletsky's suggestion sounds ok to me. The little guys gets his money, the moral hazard of baling out incompetent bakers is avoided and damage the economy is minimal.
neil murphy, cromer,
Yes great plan, recall the debt, put the company in administration and sack the lot of the lazy blighters up there!!! Afterall they are all probably ex miners so being on the dole will just be a normal thing for them. besides newcastle is practically scotland and it won't affect anyone down in the capital. maybe the money recouped from NR can be pumped into tax breaks for all those poor city souls who are facing reduced bonuses this year (some as low as 5 figures!!!)
Ed, Newcastle, UK
Compare and contrast this with the disgraceful treatment of the Farepak savers. Or is this newspaper too high brow to consider such "litle people"?
Bill40, Blackpool,
Boy o boy. If I as a taxpayer have to pay a penny to the city filth for their greed I won't be voting Labour.
So who do I vote for then? The Tory-City relationship is well known and Liberals are nowhere.
Mike Donald, Aberdeen , Scotland
If NU Labour bail out Northern Rock we will finally know that this government is not for the people or of the people but in it for themselves and power.
The Banking industry is a zero sum game, why change the rules now.
Ever since Nu Labour came to power the financial markets here and in the US seem to think that their respective governments should bail them out when their game stops playing so that they can continue to dupe and amass fortune for the priviledged few.
Its easy for these so called Vultures to walk up and say that they will rescue the bank because the banking industry have faith in them returning a profit, but how about the small businessman who has the same faith but is turned down by most banks which suggests that bankers are one happy family i.e, you scratch my back I'll scratch yours.
Jay, London,
I really don't understand how it can be legal for dirrectors of a company that has failed so spectacularly to pay themselves bonuses. Surely there should be some external criterion which determines whether bonuses should or should not be paid- like making a profit for example. This is more than a little galling for a tax payer like me who won't earn in 5 years or more the bonuses these managers are getting (indirectly from my tax) despite their mismanagement.
V. Stoboe, London, UKU
If the Chancellor had raised the State insurance of deposits in line with inflationary monetary growth then the problem with retail depositors would not have arisen; Brown was 'asleep at the switch' and probably regards prudent depositors as stupid.
The other can be solved by cash injection by a buyer, loans converted to equity- e.g. Eurotunnel or a hybrid but with no State money.
DMM, Eastbourne,
yes, that would be a sensible outcome. But this government has an appalling record at not knowing a good sensible commercial deal in the interests of the taxpayer. Under this government, literally billions have been lost and wasted on poorly conceived and even more poorly executed schemes promoted by it. They must go and go soon!
JC, London, UK
The Northern Rock situation is an utter disgrace. Northern Rock was not "too big" to be allowed to fail - and the Government should have let it! Instead we have the potential prospect of billions of pounds of public money being lost in a failed attempt to prop up a failed institution, for the sole purpose of trying to protect the local economy in the North East which (not coincidentally!!) also happens to be an area dominated by Labour party interests. It will prove to be a misjudgement of the highest order - right up there with the Iraq War but without any of the redeeming moral justification that the evidence on Iraq appeared to offer at the time. Resignations should definitely be called for!!
Keith, Suffolk, UK
£20billion for the "for the job prospects of the bank's 5,500 workers in Newcastle and Sunderland" - that works out at over £3.5million per worker. Not a bad windfall...
But I guess its not actually those workers who are going to see the benefits of the money! Otherwise, I'm sure they'd be happy to lose their job for a much smaller payoff!
The whole thing is a con. Lets call in the loans in February, sack the directors and move on.
Adrian, London, UK
I predicted the demise of NR about 5 years ago, this was based on my gut feeling of their lightweight lending policy. I am actually quite happy to see the wheels finally coming off their empire as I hold them, amongst others, responsible for the housing boom on the back of cheap debt, 120% LTVs, self-cert, Buy To Lets etc etc...
In my lowly opinion the Northeast resembles a public sector nirvana with yet more and more pointless jobs created/invented, presumably to keep the hardcore labour voters happy. Let's also not forget the huge amount of taxpayers money that is poured down the drain into the area. Not exactly a model of efficiency.
Big deal if 5000 jobs are lost, that's what happens when you build an empire on clay. If there aren't any punishments, how will we ever learn?
CC, Manchester,
I agree with this article, but I have to wonder: is this the same Anatole Kaletsky who was the biggest cheerleader for cheap money, and constantly wrote that home equity withdrawal (the flipside of excessve mortgage lending) was a positive influence on the UK and US economies. He even used to castigate the ECB for not cutting rates and thus not allowing Europeans to join the party. I bet they're glad they didn't take his advice.
Jim, St Albans,
Are people still trying to blame Mervyn King for this fiasco? NR got in to trouble because it pushed harder than any other lender in a lunatic lending market. When it became clear the bank's lack of solvency had to be exposed, The Treasury stepped in with a vague guarantee - and now we see the result of all these slippery dealings. King is the only one who acted with integrity.
shtove, dorset,
The British welfare state has expanded to the point that it now includes wealthy bankers, accountants and lawyers. This plundering of the public sector is the scandal of our times.
Paul Lay, London,
At last the truth is coming out, although I doubt it will out comrade Brown. Any small entrepreneur who suffers financial problems goes to the wall; no banker or government cares less, in fact they contribute to their failing. So why are the taxpayers supporting these incompetent bank directors? I have a conscience when spending others peoples, unlike politicians.
Michael, Sheffield,
The original panic was stayed, and plenty of time has been allowed for a bid to emerge for Northern Rock.
As Anatole points out, the process might now be viewed as an opportunistic potential milking scenario, with taxpayer funds provided to avert public panic having purpose diverted (possibly using misleading reasoning) to provide ongoing financing (albeit at slightly above market.)
If we are to be in for a period of credit contraction as compared with the recent past, it would be inevitable that corrections proceed through the system, and an orderly disposal through Administration would seem appropriate.
That might also demonstrate that respect for the concept of moral hazard remains, in a token, if not vestigial way.
dr venables preller, Warminster, UK
The whole NR 'rescue' plan was a complete debacle from the start. Initially we were told that it was purely an emergency measure to ensure that depositors didn't lose their money. Then we were told that it was to secure NR a line of credit as some people in the US had loaned irresponsibly (like NR hadn't?) and credit had dried up. Then we were told it was a bridging solution until a private buy-out could be arranged.
And now it seems after all that the bank's directors want a handout from the taxpayer so they can keep their shoddy business going and not lose out on any bonuses. I thought the reason these City people got paid so much money was because their jobs were 'high-risk' and subject to the rigours of the free market? Obviously only when it suits them.
NR is a disgrace - Kaletsky's plan for it is the only sensible solution I've heard since the saga began. What is it that's stopping the politicans from seeing sense? Bribes?
MB, Edinburgh,
If the Government has to do any favours for the ultimate buyers of NR it should insist on a share of any future success so should insist on some sort of debt for equity swap
Chris, Birmingham,
I understand that the problem with Northern Rock was caused by poor interpretation of EU rules by the chancellor at the time, Gordon Brown. If this is true no wonder they got the bail out loan on two grounds. One he caused the problem and two he wants to keep the fact quiet.
D Cage, Highworth, Wilts
Advisers to Northern Rock are Citigroup (sub-prime losses 8-11 billion) Merrill Lynch (loss 8 billion) and Blackstone (don't know apart from a third quarter loss of 113 million). The blind are leading the blind and all of them are hoping for a Fairy Godmother's wand in the form of the British taxpayer. The loan should be called in, Northern Rock placed into administration and share dealing stopped - not in February, not in 2010, today. And let's stop using the rather innocuous word 'billion' which has become so commonplace that its effect is lost. The Rock and its gathering vultures want THIRTY THOUSAND MILLION POUNDS from you and me to fund their incompetence and maintain their multi-million pound salaries and bonuses. They should be told in no uncertain terms to get quickly and comprehensively lost. Then the Bank of England should start calling in the other suspects, Barclay's (is the 800million all of it)) Alliance and Leicester and RBS and see where this criminal rat's nest extends
eric campbell, harrogate, uk
Corporation Tax yields £28 billion and we give £23 billion as taxpayers to preserve Labour seats in Newcastle.....now why didn't Gordon call that election ?
Cynical Voter, Leeds, England
For some reason the Rover sell off comes to mind.
chris, Manchester, uk
Good article but it'll be a handout, too many Labour constituencies around there and don't the Lab/NR ties go back a long way too ?
Stan(expat), US, USA
Excellent clarity.
The largest risk is that another mortgage bank goes wrong in the meantime. The sustained and dramatic weakness of Alliance & Leicester does not bode well.
J Mack, London,
I completely agree except for one point - why wait until February? Northern Rock's failure could not now cause any wider financial collapse so the Treasury's should ask for it's money back immediately. The concept of a lender of last resort was never intended to be of such magnitude and it's high time the company was brought to account. It is inexcusable that taxpayers money is being put at risk while the shares remain unsuspended and the company still under the control of the directors.
Matthew Fletcher, London, UK
When I first heard of the rescue package I had an inkling the financial vulturess might come circling.
Good aticle, Anatole.
Will the Government do what you suggest ? Knowing how this 'corrupt' Government functions I wouldn't hold your breath waiting. They won't do what is right for the countyr but what they consider most politically expedient to keep themselves in power.
Brian, Rugby, U.K.