Anatole Kaletsky
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Why has the London election, which seemed a few weeks ago to be on the point of capturing the public imagination, degenerated into a dull Punch and Judy show that even London's local papers can scarcely bring themselves to report?
The lack of interest can be partly put down to the cynicism of the media, whose coverage has revolved almost entirely around the personalities of the candidates and their gaffes - or for the most part, the absence of notable gaffes, which has been a bitter disappointment from the point of view of journalists. This bias has, of course, been justified by the larger-than-life and buffoonish character of the main candidates. As a result, the dinner-party consensus among the chattering classes has turned this election into a question over whether Ken Livingstone or Boris Johnson is the less likely to self-destruct.
Yet this conventional wisdom is completely wrong. Mr Johnson and Mr Livingstone, far from being blundering political innocents, are both politicians of the first rank. Mr Livingstone not only managed to outmanoeuvre and humiliate both Tony Blair and Gordon Brown by becoming the first Mayor of London, but proved himself to be the only British politician of his generation to confront Margaret Thatcher and win in the long run. Mr Johnson cannot, yet, claim any such electoral triumphs, but he has managed to survive verbal gaffes and personal scandals as serious as the ones that ended the career of David Blunkett and a host of Tory Cabinet ministers from the Thatcher years.
Perhaps, then, the farcical character of the London election reflects the lack of interest among voters in local issues. Is it that Londoners do not really care about the policies that fall within the mayor's purview: transport and congestion; crime and policing; pollution, housing and urban planning? To ask this question is to answer it. The list of the mayor's main responsibilities reads like a transcript of almost any bar-room conversation in London. It is, in fact, almost identical to the issues that voters say they are most concerned with when opinion pollsters ask them.
What, then, is the problem with London politics? And what are the chances that either of the two main mayoral candidates will manage to overcome it and emerge, despite the catcalls from the media, as a serious political figure in two weeks' time?
It seems to me there are two main reasons why Britain refuses to take this election seriously, and they have little to do with the personalities involved. The first is the generalised disdain for local politics in Britain's uniquely overcentralised system of government. Because local government is constitutionally nothing more than an agency of Westminster and Whitehall, British politicians with national ambitions are naturally contemptuous of local politics.
Instead of being treated as co-equal with national politics, or at least as a natural pathway to national power, as it is in America, France, Germany and most other democratic countries, involvement in local politics is treated by the British Establishment as either a pitiful consolation prize or, in the case of London, which cannot be denied some status, as a practical joke.
The second reason for the low esteem towards the office of London mayor is related to this overcentralisation, but ought to be easier for the candidates in this election to overcome. This second problem is the power of vested interests and pressure groups that take advantage of the lack of public interest in local government to pursue their single-issue objectives and to subvert or paralyse the few powers that local councils do possess.
To see what I mean, consider just one example of the sort of issues that should have dominated the London election, but which have scarcely surfaced above the nonsensical hubbub about gaffes and jokes.
Starting with transport, both main candidates have criticised the dysfunctional Public Private Partnership that runs London Transport and opposed plans for a third runway at Heathrow airport. But because both of the schemes are being imposed on London through the explicit personal direction of Gordon Brown - and continue to enjoy his direct personal backing - Mr Livingstone can have no credibility on these issues.
Mr Johnson, on the other hand, could be making a big theme of his opposition to Labour transport policies, and especially to the unpopular expansion of Heathrow. David Cameron could offer Mr Johnson invaluable support in this campaign by making an explicit promise to abandon the expansion of Heathrow and to reconsider the management of London Transport if the Conservatives come to national power. Such explicit promises on airport expansion and transport management would be popular with the voters of London and Labour would, by definition, be unable to match them.
Anyone who lives in London and considers politics for just a few minutes a day could think of a host of other ways by which local life could be improved through a new partnership between local and national government. These range from tightening the laws on knife possession and extending the responsibilities of traffic wardens to act as eyes and ears for the police on the streets of London to such elementary, and almost cost-free, improvements as the creation of cycle routes across the Royal Parks. Other improvements could be the erection of sound-baffles on the Westway and elevated sections of the M4 and M11 motorways running through some of the most densely populated areas of London, or the introduction of lane rentals, which would allow local authorities to charge utility companies for the congestion they cause by digging up the streets of London.
Such policies have never been seriously considered because of the vested interests - ranging from the police union to the utility companies - that have deflected public attention from them or successfully opposed them, in the case of lane rentals, even after the necessary legislation has been passed by Parliament five years ago.
The Tories now have a perfect opportunity to cure this paralysing disconnection between local and national government in Britain by taking the London election seriously and getting their candidate elected by committing themselves in advance to national decisions such as abandonment of Heathrow expansion or changes in the policing of London's streets. In doing this, the Tories would put themselves on the path to national power and create a suitable platform for Boris Johnson, one of their most able and charismatic politicians, to show what his party could achieve.
The only shame would be that another of Britain's most able politicians, Ken Livingstone, would be defeated in the process. But then, if the Tory plan were fully successful, there would soon be another job for the outgoing Mayor of London to aspire to. How about the leadership of the Labour Party for Ken after Gordon Brown's defeat in the general election - which would surely follow a victory for Boris in London?
Anatole Kaletsky writes for The Times Comment pages on Thursdays. One of the country's leading commentators on economics, he was formerly Economics Editor and is now Editor-at-large of The Times. He has won many awards for his financial and political journalism. Before joining The Times, he worked for 12 years on the Financial Times
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Anatole is right - Britain is the most centralised country in the Western world. But he's wrong about the London election - the level of public interest across London is much higher than in any other local election, and that's because it's a mayoral election. Public hustings have been very well attended, and the contest is on a knife-edge. Turnout in 2004 was 37% - I'd put money on it being higher this time, and higher than the interest and turnout in other local elections.
Mayoral campaigns inevitably focus on the personalities of the candidates, rather than party politics. But Ken and Boris both need to be clearer about how they would improve transport and housing, promote economic development, and reduce the capital's worklessness rate.
It's time for some other big cities outside London to go for the mayoral model. That would increase turnout and unlock new powers for those big cities.
Dermot Finch, London,
Ken did deliver anything worthwhile to Londoners. He certainly did not deliver on transport policies. In this respect, he is actually a failure.
Oh, and does Mr Kaletsky live in West London by any chance? Another vested interest with a loudspeaker, then...
John, London, UK
When is this election anyway? It's no wonder the media aren't covering it any more, the campaign seems to have been dragging on forever.
Simon Foston, Kagoshima, Japan
I hope Livingstone does become leader of the Labour party- that should help guarantee they don't get reelected again in a hurry
Edd, Sydney, NSW, Australia
For the first time in 8 years we have got a credible fight and yet there is hardly any election fever.
Will someone tell Boris and Ken to stop worrying about the press and get some passion back into this election. Us Londoners really do care - my colleagues and I talk about this election every day.
Boris is the favourite here at the moment!
Penny, London,
Bring back the poll-tax.
Don't laugh. This hated (by those who did not pay toward their local council) tax was the best thing ever designed to improve the accountability of, and interest in, Local Councils.
Few bother to vote in these not so sexy local contests. Now if everyone had a few bob riding on the result, as many of us are forced to have, then local accountability would be on everyone's lips.
robert everittt, wolverhampton,
So, presumably, we should solve the issue of ineffective to the point of pojntless local governments, by having them elected on the basis of what concession they can wring from central government?
People ignore local government, because it has no control over the fields you listed.
" transport and congestion; crime and policing; pollution, housing and urban planning?"
It has no real control over transport, the Mayor of London cannot issue a new tax to pay for construction of a new motorway ring road to deal with congestion, nor can he do the same to build a new rail way.
He has no ability to control the police, he certainly cant sack the chief of police for having different targets, nor can hesack judges for failing to hand out the death penelty
Pollution, housing and planning, well, central government has decreed that houses will be knocked down for a runway.
Now, if we he had those powers, not central, it might be different.
Dominic, Manchester, UK
fine in theory.
anyone who knows Boris Johnson - and presumably David Cameron knows him well - also knows he's a shambles. He couldn't actually deliver any of this.
John Ware, London,
Why on earth would abandoning Heathrow runway 3 expansion be in the interest of Londoners in general? Without a great international airport, business will seep away to our European rivals, like from an 1860'es town without good railway connections.
And if even you agree that Ken is one of Britain's most able politiciatins, why would you want to vote him out and replace him with a PG Wodehouse figure, whose main claim on managerial competence so far is the phone number of Bob Diamond from Barclays Capital and having managed 50 party-loving journalists at the Spectator.
Rupert, London,
Boris for mayor!!!!!!!!!
jo , london, uk
If Ken loses the London Election , he will throw his hat in the ring to become the next leader of the Labour Party.
The Ambassador, LONDON, England