Andrew Sullivan
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Last week John McCain came alive. He’s a mercurial fellow – sometimes obviously bored, more often careening around his surroundings like a white, scarred and bowed Tasmanian devil, occasionally bursting with temper, often joking, very occasionally mild and funny. But he really comes to life when a conflict is around and he knows who the enemy is. The enemy can be the president of Russia or fellow Republican senators, but they’ll know it if McCain is on the warpath.
Not many senators, after all, knew who Mikhail Saakashvili was before last weekend. McCain did. He’d spoken to him often, even nominated him for a Nobel peace prize in 2005. Randy Scheunemann, one of McCain’s closest neoconservative advisers, was paid by the Georgian government to lobby for it in Washington. And McCain’s long-standing hatred of the Russian government is common knowledge. He once mocked George W Bush for his eminently mockable statement that he had looked into Vladimir Putin’s eyes and seen a force for good. McCain said he’d looked into Putin’s eyes and seen three letters: K, G and B.
So Putin’s invasion of Georgia brought out the fiery righteousness that has marked the McCain family for generations. He dominated the news, eclipsing the laconic Barack Obama, holidaying in Hawaii, and the hapless American president, still making faces in the crowds at the Olympics. McCain sent a delegation, held press conferences, issued vague threats and championed the plucky Georgians. The prospect of another armed conflict – even better against the old Russian enemy – seemed to lift his mood. And it may lift his ratings.
Nobody who knows McCain was surprised. His ancestors, as Matt Welch pointed out in the best short biography of the man, The Myth of a Maverick, have served in almost every war America has been involved with since the war of independence. McCain’s ideal president is Teddy Roosevelt and if you want to understand McCain’s view of the world, a quick perusal of Roosevelt’s presidency is about as good a primer as you can find.
“For the McCains of the United States navy,” McCain wrote in his 2002 book Worth the Fighting For, “as well as for many of our brother officers, presidents just didn’t get much better than Teddy Roosevelt. He transformed the American navy from a small coastal defence force to an instrument for the global projection of power.” Roosevelt was also a pious scourge of the corrupt, a military adventurer who went on to win the Nobel peace prize and a pioneer of environmental protection. He loved finding enemies and defeating them and saw America’s future partly in world adventurism.
McCain’s core belief – after many years of partying, philandering and generally goofing around – is that Americans are at their best when committed to a higher noble cause. And no cause is more noble than projecting American power everywhere on God’s earth to deter evil, reward good and save the victims of bullies. I am not aware of any war in recent times that he hasn’t at some point supported. Peace-time makes him nervous, listless.
He favoured the first Gulf war and the second Iraq war. He wanted to intervene early in the Balkans in the 1990s, favoured the Afghanistan war and wanted more military pressure against North Korea. He also wants to keep the military option against Iraq prominently on the table. His problem with the Iraq war was that the United States did not send enough troops and his support for the “surge” was, to his credit, a defining moment in his recent career.
So a dramatic, polarising conflict with Russia has come as God’s gift to the Republican nominee as he trails Obama by a frustrating few points and seems unable to get ahead. It’s even better that the cause is all but hopeless and that the notion that the West will escalate conflict with Russia to insist on Georgia’s right to South Ossetia is preposterous. The hopeless-ness of this situation is partly what appeals to him.
Vietnam was his template. It was a losing battle but he fought it honourably. The United States lost the war and McCain lost his soul in that Hanoi Hilton, eventually cracking to make false taped confessions under the exact techniques now deployed by Bush against terror suspects. But he survived and refused to be released early and came back home a tortured war hero.
There’s your formula: tragic, noble victim. Domestically his great cause has been preventing lawmakers from bringing pork-barrel spending to their districts – a practice that is as old as all representative government – and curtailing campaign spending in a country where there is a First Amendment that will never, mercifully, be repealed. Yet McCain is still drawn to battling for the impossible. It somehow gives him meaning and purpose.
He is drawn to the beleaguered Kurds, the victims of genocide in Darfur, the people of Burma, the massacred Bosnians and now the plundered Georgians.
Watch his rigid, impassioned performance last week and you will see the president he would surely be. If he becomes president, there is no knowing what he would do to defend Ukraine or any other country bordering Russia. He will certainly be prepared to go to war to stop Iran going nuclear – and will strongly support Israel if it initiates the conflict.
He will never withdraw all troops from Iraq – because the withdrawal of troops always means surrender to him. He wants a “surge” for Afghanistan. And he has pledged not to raise taxes to pay for any of this. You want a Bush third term? McCain would take us right back to Bush’s first, with bells on.
The question that Americans must decide in November is whether, at this point in history, after the five-year $3 trillion (£1.6 trillion) occupation of Iraq, witha nuclear Iran on the horizon, an oil-fuelled Russia resurgent, with the American economy teetering and the Taliban rebounding in Afghanistan, the right direction for America is more military aggression, more presidential power, more unilateralism and less diplomacy.
What you saw last week is a taste of what may yet be to come. And if it sounds like a doomed strategy, it will only make McCain embrace it even more.
Andrew Sullivan is an author, academic and journalist. He holds a PhD from Harvard in political science, and is a former editor of The New Republic. His 1995 book, Virtually Normal: An Argument About Homosexuality, became one of the best-selling books on gay rights. He has been a regular columnist for The Sunday Times since the 1990s, and also writes for Time and other publications.
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We need more Teddy Roosevelts in this world. If McCain looks up to T.Roosevelt, then he's my man in November.
Speak softly, carry a big stick, and don't be afraid to use it when necessary.
Scott, Durham, NC, USA
'He also wants to keep the military option against IRAQ prominently on the table'? Surely you mean IRAN. We are already using a military option against IRAQ. It is fortunate you are not writing the future president his speeeches!
David, London, UK
Truly amazing: Russia nationalizes Shell, intimidates BP, kills at least two British citizens that are former Soviets, invades Georgia -- and Andrew finds the most contemptible issue to be the strong rhetoric of McCain's response. And Eddy of Bury fears the "criminals in America?" What a future.
Carson, Leatherhead,
Being nice to Putin has not worked. McCain is the man that will stand up to him, if need be. Others will only talk cross from a distance, and make Putin even more bold.
Eddy, Newcastle , UK
Sounds like 24 season 6 to me to be honest. With the good and peaceful black president and the violent and military engaged old fart. OMG we're all gonna die.
Will, Madrid, Spain
Let's invade (place the name of the country of your choice here)
John, London,
If McCain looked into George Bush Senior's eyes he'd have seen CIA. Still, for a man who can't use computers you can't fault his mastery of the alphabet as long as more than 3 aren't strung together at any 1 time. Hence USA, UK, EU he's OK with but when it's USSR, IRAQ & IRAN he goes all to pieces.
MS, London, UK
Looking into Putin's beady eyes all I see is
$ $ $
Boris, London, UK
K, G and B seems to be all of the alphabet McCain knows, and regrettably that's what ordinary Americans will be fed with in the next 4 years, CNN and FOX will do their best to maintain this old stupid stereotype about Russia. Too sad. Ordinary people both in Russia and the US don't deserve a new war
Boris, Moscow, Russia
What we really need is a Clinton like appeaser in the White House, so Russia can get really strong before they bring Europe WW3.
RS, Los Angeles, USA
Saakashvili's comedy began with the Olympic Opening Ceremony, and will end with the Closing Ceremony when Medvedev and Russia will withdraw. McCains' theatrics, alas, will not. It is good and sagacious of Obama to be circumspect and keep quiet on this subject. There is no political percentage in it.
Lalit, Chicago, US
McCain is a soldier. The only way to solve a problem is by war. Diplomacy mean nothing to this warrior and unfortunately this is probably the last thing you want in this world, a man who wont hesitate to press that rec button instead of considering all other non-violent options.
Brian, London, United Kingdom
How true, unfortunately i do believe the USA missed a huge opportunity back in 01-02 when Russia basically asked for help, and the US said no.
Now, whether that was on purpose or not is another matter. I'd like to think they could try again, no harm is there?
james, london,
Looks like it could be a good time to move to New Zealand.
Alistair Nicholls, Manchester, UK
Andrew Sullivan,
What would your strategy be in this situation. Tell me, and I'll tell you where you have erred.
Dennis, Seattle, USA
The rank hypocracy the west shows towards Russia is breathtaking. We are all in various guises kow-towing to China, which has human rights issues far in excess of Russia and has been an occupier and oppressor of Tibet, a country 20 times the size of Georgia for nearly 60 years. Where's the balance?
Richard, Singapore,
I have no doubt that (whether good or bad) the issue in Russia will see McCain elected.
In times of trouble with Russia the US will always turn to a military leader.
This may of course mean the end of the world.
David, St Albans, UK
Thanks to Andrew Sullivan im now certain McCain is the way to go.
Danny, manchester, uk
I would agree with McCain - the eyes have it !
OZ, Perth, Australia
Andrew - did the Iraq War lead to you having a philosophical breakdown? McCain is not a warmonger. He has been right on Iraq and Putin. Russia and China are a threat to freedom loving democrats and it will require adroit leadership to navigate the troubles ahead. I'd vote for a one term McCain.
Simon, Harrogate, UK
Trying to defeat the West's enemies with military force is neither strong nor weak - just stupid. Communism was defeated by economic strength.
All the West's enemies are funded by oil money - i.e. by us! Attack the oil price, and our enemies will crumble.
Nick, France,
We the people in America have the choice as to whether to continue to go in the same old direction or not. As Albert Einstein said: "The splitting of the atom has changed everything save our modes of thinking, and thus we drift toward unparalleled catastrophe."
Stephen Fischer, Los Angeles, USA
TR's cited the African proverb, "Walk softly and carry a big stick"; he was right. I'd rather have a leader who remembers what his country stands for and is prepared to fight for it, than one who'd negotiate our nations safety and best interest, and the world's away. Obama's all hat and no cattle!
Bill Finnin, Washington, DC, United States
What's bad with the fact that if Mr. McCain becomes president, he will be ready to help defend Ukraine? It may well be that such knowledge will actually deter belligerent Russia from eventually attacking Ukraine. "Si vis pacem, para bellum" -if you want peace, make preparations for war, Romans said.
Mykyta, Kyiv, Ukraine
WOW!!! ...as I suspected most of you have been brainwashed by years of coorporate media propaganda and Hollywood films. Why am I surprised? I am sure most of us will make the same mistake we did with Bush/Cheney and let the neocons play on our fears and con us into electing another WARLORD.
Jason, Cary, NC
America's military adventures over the past twenty years have destroyed her credibility, her moral authority and smashed apart the system of international law. Putin has deftly exposed this. McCain's lust for militarism is in his blood. It is a weakness that will hasten America's demise.
Mary, Washington, D.C.
Bob , let me tell you Russian leaders are not close to being as moral as the US, have you not noticed how we in the west dont pay any attention to the signs from the former soviet countries all who know russia better than we. They know how without the west putin would have already invaded.
Dominic James, london,
Give me a break, Andre. As if any hint at a diplomatic option equals appeasement. It's that very same cowboy approach that has made the world more dangerous, not less, and has basically destroyed America's credibility in the international community. We don't need even four more years of that.
Chuck, Worcester, USA
Andrew, what happened to you? You now belong to the Chamberlain/Obama school of international politics. Being aggresive with Russia and other potential enemies is the only language they understand. It is the language they speak. Talk of one world and international citizenship makes them laugh.
DANIEL WILLIAM SULLIVAN, RIO DE JANEIRO, BRASIL
The last thing America and all the victims of USA needs is another warmonger like bush. Russians are the good guys this time...
Bob, Montreal, Canada
Sullivan's politcal somersaults over the last 8 years are now reaching laughable and unprofessional proportions. His conclusion on McCain is a grotesque parody - actually, McCain believes strongly in multilateral cooperation, limits on Executive power and the employment of soft power alongside force
Guy Rowlands, Anstruther, UK
We don't yet what kind of unpredictable circumstance we would face if he - McCain become president - do we?
Edmond, Bridgeport, USA
McCain is not into military aggression. He of all people understands that horrors of war. However, he knows that sometimes you have to stand up for principle and security. Hiding behind the UN or trying to be Neville Chamberlain (like Obama), only makes the problem worse in the end.
Andre, Portland, USA
This "third Bush term" stuff is getting old,no actually, it is old.John McCain is no GW,thankfully,so give it a rest.I'm no Republican,far from it,and Presidents aren't dictators.JM learned a great deal,as we all did,from the Iraq war.Credible threat is a strong deterrent,Russians don't grasp nice.
Ian, Austin TX, USA
I suppose when Mr.Putin looked into Mr.McCain eyes he saw CIA, which I understand as meaning, "Criminals In America"
surely you need a woman to have children,a warrior to fight battles,but a WISE PERSON to be a president .unfortunately we have not had a wise leader in the west for a long time.
Eddy, Bury St.Edmunds,