Gerard Baker
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To the casual observer, American and British politics appear to be on sharply divergent tracks. In the US, the party that represents the conservative interest, the Republicans, is in a state of historic collapse that makes the fall of the Roman Empire look like a narrow by-election defeat for the emperor in Parthia Northwest.
This week new woes were piled upon their miseries. It was revealed that awful conditions at the main military hospital for wounded soldiers returning from Iraq seem to have been tolerated with the sort of blasé disregard for others’ welfare that Donald Rumsfeld elevated into a governing philosophy.
Unlike Rummy in such circumstances, his successor Robert Gates ensured that heads rolled. But that has failed to shake the impression that once again the Bush Administration matches a lofty rhetoric about its global mission with a cruel insouciance for the poor souls who suffer its consequences.
Then Lewis “Scooter” Libby, Vice-President Dick Cheney’s Cardinal Richelieu, was convicted by a federal court of perjury and obstruction of justice. To pardon or not to pardon is the thorny question that confronts President Bush. Given the man’s near perfectly wrong performance on recent binary political choices, you’d be a fool to bet he’ll make the right one.
In Britain, meanwhile, it is the left-of-centre party that is in foggy disarray. Iraq, of course, is the common factor, the fons et origo of Labour’s and the Republicans’ weakness. But there are odd mirror images of the White House’s legal difficulties in the tightening web of inquiry that seems to be closing on No 10 over cash-for-honours. One day someone will explain to me why, after 800 years in which English monarchs and prime ministers have eagerly rolled out the ermine for those who keep them in the palaces to which they have become accustomed, it has suddenly become illegal to ennoble the odd rich friend or two. But no matter.
On the Tory side, the charms of David Cameron are rubbing off on a larger and larger slice of the electorate. A clever rebranding that has focused hard on the twin menace of chocolate oranges at supermarket checkouts and carbon dioxide emissions from other people’s combustion engines is paying dividends. Even nasty, outmoded, class-war-inspired innuendo about Mr Cameron’s past has naught availed. The Conservative leader seems to float gently above it all like the mesmeric curl of aromatic smoke from a glowing spliff.
So what we still call Left and Right are surely on different trajectories across the Atlantic. And yet inside the parties in both countries there are striking parallels. Both Democrats and Labour have serious leadership issues. Hillary Clinton and Gordon Brown both see themselves not just as the leading candidate but as the divinely ordained inheritor of the crown. Both have been the designated successors of their party for years, but both inspire dislike and despair among the party’s supporters who think — probably correctly — that the broader electorate is immune to their appeal. They are both quintessential top-down candidates, using similarly intimidatory tactics to lock up supporters and ward off potential rivals but failing to engender any warmth.
The closer their coronations come, the more treasonous their subjects feel. Growing numbers of Democrats and Labour people would love to be able to break free of the Hillary and Gordon trap. That is more likely to happen among the Democrats who have more time than does Labour. But in Britain there are those who fantasise that the studious David Miliband may be a sort of white North London version of Barack Obama.
On the Right too there are similarities in the US and the UK. In both Britain and America there is a gathering sense of despair among true conservatives about the condition of their party’s politics. True conservatives in Britain, who, rightly, see the country on the road to a state-controlled serfdom, hear Mr Cameron and wonder whether there is a genuinely conservative bone in his body. His instincts seem as busybodyishly paternalist as any new Labour bureaucrat.
In America, where conservative disillusionment is a more recent but no less palpable emotion, the three front-runners for the Republican presidential nomination are all, in a sense, Cameroonian in their frailty. With no obvious conservative candidate in the field, the contest between Rudolph Giuliani, John McCain and Mitt Romney is coming down for many conservatives to a choice of whom you hate least.
Currently, Mr Giuliani leads this Dutch auction. This has given rise to one of the more remarkable spectacles in politics — that of the libertine New Yorker Mr Giuliani feeling the love of Southern conservative Christians despite his record, views and predilections. Watching them embrace Mr Giuliani is like watching survivors from a shipwreck clinging to a giant turd in the water. It’s no one’s first choice of support from the briny waves but if you hold your nose it’s still better than any of the alternatives.
And yet conservatives, in their different ways, on both sides of the Atlantic, have no right to be picky. Iraq has discredited the very idea of an assertive foreign policy, globalisation’s malcontents are crying loudly for government help and years of ugly intolerance on the Right have turned off millions of decent voters.
In Britain Thatcherism is not in favour and in America Reaganism is not on offer. But that doesn’t mean reformist conservative candidates are inferior to their socialist and liberal opponents. In a hostile political environment a scaled-down conservatism is still better than no conservatism at all. The current generation of Republican and Conservative leaders recognise this and are working to renew conservatism rather than destroy it.
The right thing to do is not to make faces at this bandwagon but to jump aboard and keep trying to drive it in the right direction of freer markets, freer people. If they hang together in this struggle, conservatives have a good chance of advancing their cause as a governing strategy, not as an angry protest. It they do not, they will, most assuredly, hang separately.
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As an American conservative I have been disgusted by the performance of the Republican Party in government. They caused the deficit to skyrocket, initiated an unnecessary war and fought it with half the resources that it required. The Republicans have destroyed the basic conservative idea of limited government and a strong civil society for at least half a generation.
Instead of rebuilding our infrastructure, education and manufacturing, the Republicans have allowed our infrastructure to deteriorate, our education system to become one of the worst in the industrialized world and have done nothing to restore conservative values in the nation. When new voters think about conservative government they are going to think about Iraq, the inadequate Katrina response, the bleeding of the economy and the loss of goodwill for America around the world. We have lost our hard-won reputation for economic competence and being tough backers of our national interest.
A. Carrington, Machias, USA
"What America does need is someone to reel in the spending (which means the democrats can't win) "
Um, yes, because the past couple years with a Republican-controlled Congress have been so focused on "conservative spending" (NOTE THE SARCASM)
Record deficits mean anything to you? Bush's response: "Whoo-hoo! Let's cut taxes for the richest 1%, so my children and my children's children can pay off all of it!"
Thanks. Really.
Nicole, Dixon, Illinois, USA
The Blairites are in a shabby position when all they have to offer is this guy. Faceless, bland, robotic. Do we really want people in high office who could only attain D grades at A Level as Milliband boasted of his attainment in physics on the Today programme earlier this week?
Jon Varey, London,
I whole heartedly agree it is a scandal that nurses pay depends upon which side of the border they work on. I would like to draw your attention to an even greater anomoly. An optometrist in England is paid £18.85 per NHS eye examination, whereas in Scotland they recieve £36 (soon to be £38), and in Wales the figure is £40. Another example of the English NHS being starved of funding.
Michael Dyer MCOptom, North Shields, England
From a purely UK perspective, I think Mr Baker misses the point.
Mr Blair truly, deeply and lovingly worships Power and Money, especially when their wielders benefit himself. Those are his guiding principles.
Mr Cameron, on the other hand, keeps his true beliefs secret. That is his strength right now. But when he becomes Prime Minister, I would not be at all surprised to discover that his secret is that he is a traditional Conservative.
Michael Smith, Southampton, UK
would not vote for either of them,both are puppets or should that be muppets?
cliff, Southampton, uk
It was thatchers conservatives who decided to call welfare recipients "customers", which is incredibly stupid or incredibly,incredibly evil.
Bill MacLeod, Denny, U.K.
It is with some derision that I read that the government's next con trick is to make nurses smile at their patients. I am a nurse working in the community for a cash strapped PCT. My colleagues and I have endured a recruitment freeze for over two years, which means that month by month we struggle to maintain a service as more and more of our colleagues move on to better jobs outside of the NHS or seek to retire before the job kills them. To add insult to injury we have been stitched up by agenda for change, which far from improving our pay and conditions of service, in many instances has worsened them. How this government is getting away with what they are doing to the health service is beyond me. Despite this most of us strive to provide a high level of care to our patients, and it is a thankless task. Smile at our patients - is that all this cynical government can come up with? Don't make me laugh!
Undisclosed, Undisclosed, Undisclosed
Since so many are feering something, I might as well chime in with what I fear.
I fear that there are no more coservatives in America! Those who are willing to look past the Patriot Act, Federal meddling in education, socialized perscrition drugs for the elderly and the turning of a blind eye to the administation's ignoring the Constitution really shouldn't call themselves conservatives or even Americans. They don't deserve to be here.
Those who are looking for a federal handout or to be protected by a benign police state should try living somewhere else.
Jim Walton, Washington DC,
Where are the "statesmen"???? I don't see a Reagan, Churchill, or anyone that has firm moral beliefs, principles and has the ability to project them and use them everyday. What is one to do? I will wait and see...
Alexandra J, Palm Springs, CA, USA
Maybe you should get out and about sometime Gerard and discover what you mean by conservative, because most rank-and-file Republicans I come into contact with in the US are scary beings and getting scarier. Conservatism there got shoved aside a long time ago by the power and the glory.
Paul McCloskey, London, England
Hobson's choice springs to mind...
Dominic Graham de Montrose, London,
"True conservatives in Britain....rightly see the country on the road to a state-controlled serfdom", Surely you can't be serious? What an absurd exaggeration.
Jamie, London,
How could your children suffer any more than under Bush. America has lost the first decade of the 21st century.
Bill, Atlanta, GA
The US economy is better then ever, not really sure what R. Bourn is talking about. Regarding the war in Iraq, that was won about three years ago. The post-war reconstruction is taking time and resources but then again, what post-war reconstruction hasnt?!?! The weak-bellied people of this world have huffed and hawed from the day that President Bush wanted to have full access for weapons inspectors how could they view the outcome of iraq any differently when they've invested so much time criticizing it. Oh and suprise, surprise, the latest military surge in Iraq has produced already! 80% drop in terrorist attacks in Iraq. George Bush will be remembered as an incredibly strong and able leader who led his nation through the worst attack by a foreign force on American soil all the while saving and restoring the US economy and preventing another terrorist attack on US territory. The rest of the world could only dream of being led by such a great man!
Kevin, Rockville Centre, United States/New York
It's the "Hillary factor"... conservatives are terrified, and increasingly motivated to vote for "anyone but Hillary." McCain seems to have lost his vigor... and Romney is an unknown factor, nation-wide... so it leaves Giuliani... the more traditional conservative candidates find it difficult to gain national and centrist appeal... Before his election to the presidency, I recall that Ronald Reagan was viewed with great skepticism by portions of the right... and now he has become a conservative icon.
Tony Francis, Wichita, KS/USA
The question isn't whether principles or polls shall prevail (polls always do), but whether in appealing pragmatically conservatives dilute their principles. Moreover, an attempt at renewing conservatism is as likely to reinvigorate as it is to retard. The problem with the notion that Mr. Baker here expresses, "a scaled-down conservatism is still better than no conservatism at all," is that it establishes precedent - succeeding conservatives may be, as a result, less conservative. Each election establishes a sort of ideological trajectory. Voters on either side of the Atlantic should certainly not forsake the good in pursuit of the perfect, but if they wish to see conservative policies enacted they ought to put forth more effort in securing genuinely conservative candidates.
Derek Andeson, Denver, Colorado, USA
It is when conservatives accept the ideas of the Left that those ideas become entrenched and real damage is done for the future. As long as the conservatives keep their heads and wait for the inevitable economic collapse the lefties create, there is a way back from the brink. It was not Atlee who made the NHS a sacred cow, but Churchill accepting it; and it is still with us thanks to him, slowly draining away the economic vitality of this nation. Global Warming and all the Green claptrap Mr Cameron has chosen to follow has the potential of doing the same for the next generation. Any conservative leader following those ideas is just making it more difficult for his successors to do away with the mistakes of the Left when the time comes to fix the economy once again. Do not forget that what propelled Reagan and Thatcher to power was not their own abilities, but the dismal failure of Carter and Callaghan.
Frederick Davies, Oxford, UK
The American economy is not spluttering. Unemployment is low, despite the last few weeks lows, the stock market is at unprecedented highs. Yes not everything is rosy--see the housing market, but the American economy is pretty solid. What America does need is someone to reel in the spending (which means the democrats can't win) and you're correct, someone to regain some diplomacy and garner more respect & cooperation from our allies. Right now, I think Mitt Romney has that experience and background and the personality to do it.
Fred Garvin, Mission Viejo, California
I think in America the Conservatives are FINALLY beginning to get it together again. Frankly, the writer was spot on in assessing some of conservatism's problems. But I think our problems are more with "the delivery", rather than with "the message". Conservatives have to remember the basic principles that we stand for, and that individual integrity is where it all starts. We need to give it some time, but 2008 is just around the corner...
Bill Sanford, Grand Rapids, USA, Michigan
I'm a thoughtful conservative, born in Kent, Cambridge grad, and in 2004 naturalized as a US citizen. Despite the low Bush polls and 2006 elections, I still feel bullish about conservatism in the US, and I like Giuliani a lot.
Cameron?
Oh my goodness! I don't think the Tory party would know a conservative if they fell over one.
Simon Tavanyar, Nashua, NH
Very well stated. In the USA, conservatives need to throw out the "purity" tests of old and realize that this is a NEW era, which doen't mean it has to go back to the bad old days of left-wing control IF conservatives/Republicans realize Rudy G. may not be perfect, but he is still in line with at least 80% of their views on key issues. Can they say the same about Hillary/Obama?
Richard B. Czechowski, San Diego, USA/CA
As one of the Christian Right, albeit Catholic rather than Protestant, it is tiresome to once again read commentary that assumes those who are proper conservatives are onlythose who worship tax rates and money. Instead, I submit, a true conservative is a social one. As a consequence, there's no place for Giuliani or Romney at the top of the Republican ticket, although I waver a bit over McCain, disliking his eliteist Leftism but willing to accept him for no better reason than he's a fellow Viet-Nam War veteran.
dave Livingston, El Paso county, Colorado, USA
Mr. Baker, in my book true conservative politics has to be resting on principles (stableness, trustworthyness, reliability, respect for international law before all). Reviewing the legacy of Bush/Blair tells us a lot about the fatal consequences if those principles are getting violated.
Rolf Joachim Siegen, Kiev, Ukraine,
It seems conservatives in Britain and America are losing out, but for different reasons, old British conservatism is suffering from a worrying trend of knifing their leaders in the back when they fail once, which is why dave cameron has sacked one of his front bench for saying racism is ok because people might not mind it much. Conservatism in America is suffering from the record of the most incomptent president in recent history. George Bush has done America no favours in domestic or foreign policy. The disaster in New Orleans showed how unprepared his administration was to face any disaster, and his foreign policy has alienated and enraged the majority of industrialised nations, even those that have followed Bush's crusade into the middle east have done so because they felt they had to in order to gain economic or political support from the US. America needs someone who will respect international organisations, and do something to shore up the spluttering economy.
R. Bourn, Hull, England
You are spot on.
I fear the leftist may win and my children will suffer for it.
James Troscinski, Grosse Pointe Park, USA