Gerard Baker
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Just as there are said to be no atheists in foxholes, there aren't too many Obama-sceptics to be found confessing to doubt about the Great Rebirth of American Democracy this week.
It's a well-established phenomenon that opinion polls taken in the wake of an election find many more people claim to have voted for the winner than actually did, so great is the desire to be a member of the victorious team.
As the Times resident Obama-sceptic, I'm especially uncomfortable. Observing the outpouring of euphoria in these pages over the past few days, I have felt at times a little like the evangelical Christian who's been invited by accident to a gay wedding.
Still, in the spirit of the moment, and throwing grumpy caution to the wind, bear with me for a while as I jump right in and kiss the groom.
Not that I've revised my pre-electoral judgment that an Obama administration and a solidly Democratic Congress represent the most significant and unwelcome leftward tilt in American politics in at least a generation. The intervention of a mere election has not suddenly made any more palatable a policy platform that includes tax increases in the midst of a recession, tough new rules on companies' freedom to invest in profitable business overseas, the re-empowerment of trade unions, a protectionist trade policy and a foreign policy that promises to place way too much trust in what may be gained through simply being liked by the rest of the world.
On all of this, I'm clinging to the hope that the President Obama who shows up in the White House will be not the Obama of voting record - as solidly to the left as any presidential candidate since George McGovern - but the bipartisan and pragmatic Obama of rhetorical promise from his books and campaign speeches. We shall see.
But after a significant election, it's only right for all who laud the virtues of democracy to find good cause to celebrate the verdict of the people. And there are at least three really good things to be said about the famous Obama victory.
The most obvious is race. It's in danger of becoming a tired cliché even before it has happened, but the significance of an African-American in the White House can never be overstated. Even casual observers of America know the terrible history of the black man in this country and it's no secret how much race still divides the US today. What happened this week will be remembered for ever.
There needs to be some realism about what Mr Obama can achieve on this front, it's true. The sheer joy evident on the black faces that celebrated in the early hours of Wednesday worried me a little. Expectations like that are going to be very hard to meet. The achievements of the Civil Rights era were far greater in legal fact than the mere symbolism of a black president, but they haven't exactly eliminated the race problem.
Still, for now, the fulfilment of an African-American dream - in significant part through the votes of tens of millions of whites and Latinos - is a simply wonderful moment worth savouring, and for the rest of the world, perhaps even worth emulating.
Secondly, let's be frank: democracy worked on Tuesday. We no longer shoot an admiral from time to time in order to encourage the others but it is an essential feature of effective rule by the people that the people should throw out a governing party when it screws up.
Accountability is not only a good thing for the nation. It's a good thing for the party that has done the screwing up. The Republicans have spectacularly lost their way in the past few years. John McCain is a great man who had a better chance than any to lead his party back from the wilderness, but the campaign never really convinced enough people that they should have much more faith in his party than they have in President Bush.
In the very long run I think history may be kinder to Mr Bush than the voters have been, but for now it's hard to argue with the proposition that changing leadership actually seems rather prudent. And if, as many fear, the Democrats turn out to be a disaster, the democratic prerogative would suggest it is at least right that the country should have a different sort of disaster from the past eight years.
Thirdly, there's this slightly nebulous and rather soppy business of hope. As much as I admire Mr McCain, it's clear that if he had won, it would have been largely a triumph of fear. Now, fear is an unfairly maligned emotion. It's not invalid to feel fearful. Sometimes fear is a wholly appropriate reaction to one's surroundings. Science tells us that fear raises the adrenalin, concentrates the mind, rouses the defensive instinct. If you weren't a bit fearful when you were piloting your Spitfire into the enemy's crosshairs in the Battle of Britain, you probably weren't going to survive.
There's much for Americans and the world to fear today. The young man who will soon be the most powerful on the planet has almost no experience of handling a serious crisis. Unscrupulous enemies may seize their moment. The threat of economic calamity presses in on many fronts.
We've heard much about the importance of hope. Hope alone won't get you anywhere. Hope doesn't pay bills or win wars.
But there's something special about an election in the current circumstances. It feels right - and something intrinsically American - that when a moment of crisis coincides with an opportunity to change, it should be hope, not fear, that is the dominant emotion. It has been that way in the past - from Abraham Lincoln to Franklin Roosevelt to Ronald Reagan.
I'm not suggesting for a moment that Barack Obama has yet demonstrated his suitability for that pantheon. But we can say this for him: just as they did in the midst of earlier periods of crisis, he has correctly identified that the genius of America is its capacity to look forward through the fog of uncertainty with real and surprising optimism.
If he can resist the temptations of his party's ideological orthodoxies, and make good on his promise to be a different sort of president, he'll have at least a good chance of giving the American people more than just the hope they feel today.
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I'm not a highly-paid political pundit, but I know BS when I see it.
Skip, Canada,
Well said !
(See my addition to your post)
"Racism in America is dead. There is nothing left a black man cant do in this country. The legacy of victimhood is over. We apologize no more. AMERICA & The rest of the world has been served notice.
b.bolt, Richmond, USA"
Nicholas, California, USA
Well Gerard, Mr Bush and free market right wing politics have been great haven't they? Illegal wars, environmental destruction, economic meltdown. The right have so much to be proud of...
If healthcare for all, fair taxes and international co-operation are "left wing" you'll see hope beats fear.
Rob, London, UK
Racism in America is dead. There is nothing left a black man cant do in this country. The legacy of victimhood is over. We apologize no more. The rest of the world has been served notice.
b.bolt, Richmond, USA
This is one Chicagoan who most definitely was not jumping for joy after Tuesday's election. I pray that he proves me wrong, but I genuinely fear for what lies ahead.
Beth, Chicago, United States
Don't forget, Obama only won 51% of the popular vote, that's 49% that didn't want him as their President. America is still a divided country.
I personally like Obama (and McCain) and wish him the best in what has to be the toughest job ever invented in the history of Man.
Andy, Manchester,
FYI - He didn't win the majority of the popular votes by much and if the economy wasn't and issue now or if the VP choice was different, Obama wouldn't have won. Just because Europe likes him as president doesn't mean all Americans are jumping up and down with joy either.
John, Tampa, USA
Obama is a person with a challange ahead of him. Moreso than most, his vision is clear and his principles are sound. He, obviously, has and will have many obstacles. The greatest of these will be the bitter and entrenched American quality of partisianship and the curse of regional racisim.
Curt, Ketchum, ID, US
No Mr Baker.I don`t feel anything but fear with this man at the helm and alot of people share my views on this matter.
Janice, Madison, USA
It's not the black man as President; its the Green Man as President I rejoice. A highly articulate, intelligent & sensible man who understands what is needed in this post Bush world. Green not in a tree hugger way but in a sensible- work with the planet because it makes sense way. Obama, youre the man!!
Alan , Newmarket, UK
The author demonstrates what fear can do to one, fear of hope itself. Name one good thing that has happened in the last 8 years of Bush administration. Obama starts at ground '0.' He may not achieve everything but he will achieve something-the best brains in the country want to help him. Great start
David P Hall, Bangkok , Thailand
Obama was everything to everyone. People heard from an eloquent, good looking African-American what they wanted to hear--and he knew what to say. All form, little substance--and for those who think running the US is like running an election campaign--standby--you are about to be enlightened.
Jeremiah , Burke, VA, USA
It was interesting looking at openess which the news in Europe covered this potentially momentous event, as contrasted with coverage in the US, where, almost right up until that moment, it almost seemed taboo to mention it. But once Obama won, its all we talked about. It truly is awesome though!
Noel, Centreville, VA, US
I'm a registered Republican, but I voted for Obama, mainly b/c I felt it was time for a major overhaul in DC. It'll be nice having a man in office whom you trust to properly handle a sticky situation, like, oh, I don't know, an enormous hurricane barreling through our country and killing our people.
Dan, Louisville, KY, USA
In this country we're always longing for the NEW. Pretty often it did turn out as the synonym for BETTER. Maybe, now this will be the case too. Don't, however, put all your money on it. An one party rule is a reason to be if not fearful, ahead of time, than, at least, not too excited.
Felix, Mountain View,
Whatever Obama accomplishes will depend heavily on civilian participation. Presidents dictate policy and direction; civilians enact action and results (election results for example)... if we do not all row together, then Obama's policies won't do any good. This is not the time for being selfish.
gherhardt, Los Angeles , CA, U.S.A.
If the "world" can "love" America only if it has a president that the "world" deems culturally relevant, I'm not sure that such love is needed here. We'll take it. But some honest and critical appreciation would be nice, as well.
Brian, Barnstable, MA , US
I am concerned that the euphoric mood of the American public will turn ugly and start looking for scapegoats if Obama's policies seem to fail. Republicans in a blue state have a very real fear of persecution if they don't "go along"; from Obama, but the petty officials who come in with him.
Gregory Baker, Odenton, Maryland , USA
I'm underwhelmed by all this cause I'm so used to black people in power in USA (Powell & Rice spring to mind) that Obama's election seems so natural.
Also with the world euphoria of electing their first black president, is it not fair to ask how long it will be before they elect a woman?
GH, Belfast, UK
His first years will be marked with disappointment for the promises cannot be kept, the figures don't (and never did) add up. If he gives in to the demands from the greens of "green power only", a Republican administration will follow in 4 years.
LAllen, Atlanta, USA
I'm a right-wing curmudgeon, and I admit no such thing.
David, Pontiac, Michigan,, USA
I continue to be puzzled by the epitaph of Obama as an "African-American." First of all, he's half white, through his mother. And if he's anything, he is the genuine "African-American" article, as his father was Kenyan and his mother American. From 4 November on, all the others are simply American.
Emiel, The Hague, The Netherlands
Finally a balanced article. Obama is not a saint and McCain is not the anti-christ. America has reason to be proud for electing Obama, let's hope he lives to his promise.
J, London, UK
Obama is already tempering the wild promises that he made on the campaign trail. Instead of "Yes we can!" he now seems to be saying "Yes we might!" He is in huge danger of overpromising and underdelivering as reality sets in. With the inbox from hell, his honeymoon in office will be be very short.
Jason, Houston, Texas, USA
Obama has a limited opportunity to effect the change that he has preached during the long and expensive election campaign. Realistically, Obama has 2 years to demonstrate his ability to turn Washington from the bitter divisiveness of the past 15 years. I wish him godspeed for the good of the US.
R. Charles Hazlett, Los Angeles, USA
I voted for McCain. We were in the Navy together. He had a tougher assignment. I attended the same High School that Jeremiah Wright and Bill Cosby attended.
Obama is the best natural politician since Bill Clinton.
We didn't know Cinton until he governed. We won't know Obama till he governs.
Dennis, Cheyenne, USA
If Obama handles governing as well as he did his campaign, then I think we will be alright. He has managed the neat trick of an "outsider" run for the White House without being beholden to every interest group on the left - his victory came from his own organization funded by millions of donors.
Jason, Dundee, OR, USA
As an Anglo-American (hi cousins!) & erstwhile southerner, I'm thrilled for Afro-America. I encourage all of my fellow hyphenated Americans to sit back and enjoy this fleeting moment of repose and unity. In January, we can go back to arguing about abortion, immigration, taxes, and foreign policy.
Andrew, Mystic, US
It will be instructive to see Obama's cabinet picks. That will be a strong indicator of whether he truly wishes to bring the country together or see it remain a nation of unreasonalbe partisan hacks on both sides.
Marco, Miami, USA
Well, I voted against Obama, and continue to be skeptical. (I use the American spelling here). Obama is a chameleon, who seems to change his stripes with the wind. But for the sake of this country, and the sake of the world, I truly hope that he works out. But I am not sanguine.
Charles, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
In a country where actors, body-builders and oil company CEO s are elected to highest offices of the nation, is it a surprise that an undistinguished lawyer with zero accomplishments to his credit is elected President?
The inevitable disillusionment with Obama will set in as quickly as was his rise.
NMB , San Francisco, CA, USA
I read the fear in your words. The consensus across US demographic groups appears rather to elect a vigorous man of impressive intelligence who has demonstrated the ability to attract skilled people to work alongside him to achieve a goal. Not unreasonable. Not delusional.
Birgite Bendixen, New York, US
We actually know very little about Obama (and, to be fair, the system made it in his interest to keep it that way). Lets hope he turns out to be what one hopes he can be, rather than what one fears...
Dave, Menlo Park, CA, USA