Bronwen Maddox: World Briefing
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Pakistan’s courts have hardly made its political crisis clearer, but the one person who has gained most from their latest decision is probably Benazir Bhutto. Such an outcome still has the support of Britain and the US, for one bad reason — that it represents stability even if not democracy; and one good reason — that it offers a chance to settle the Kashmir dispute with India and agree a formal border with Afghanistan.
This weekend was to have marked President Musharraf’s re-election — seen widely as a formality, given the majority his supporters command in the national Parliament and provincial assemblies. His opponents have long denounced the vote as a charade, because he has insisted he remain head of the army through the election, and because he would not submit himself to the verdict of the new assemblies that will be elected next year, and which may be less under his thumb than the current ones.
The court’s decision — to withhold judgement on the legitimacy of the legal challenges against Musharraf to just over a week from now — has been claimed as a victory by both sides. It avoided a direct confrontation with Musharraf, by ordering the election process halted. But it breathes new life into the opposition, disheartened by the last ruling in Musharraf’s favour.
Most of all, of course, it kicks confrontation another two weeks down the road. This repeated delay — and paralysis while waiting for the next deadline — is becoming the rhythm of the current crisis. It began six months ago, when Musharraf tried to sack Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry, but was inevitable at some point, given his attempt to secure another five-year term. The welcome surprise, for those who want democracy in Pakistan has been the strength of the courts in defending the Constitution. The threat, though, is that this long standoff will leave them deeply politicised.
The immediate winner from the current uncertainty is Ms Bhutto, half way through striking a power-sharing deal with Musharraf before her planned return on October 18 after eight years of exile. It strengthens her hand in arguing with Musharraf that a prime minister who has already served two terms (such as herself) should be allowed a third. Had Musharraf been re-elected beyond dispute this weekend, he would have been in a stronger position.
Britain and the US have backed the emerging Musharraf-Bhutto alliance as the best option going. This is short-sighted if the object is simply fear of what might follow Musharraf. Eight years of military rule is more than enough; it is suppressing the democratic politics Pakistan needs, and giving strength to the religious fundamentalists.
But Musharraf, and Bhutto, might be able to deliver the deal with India over the disputed province of Kashmir which must be the key to any prosperous future for Pakistan. Musharraf, although the architect of one of the most inflammatory military incursions over the border, has gone a long way to take the heat out of the issue since he has become President. The army still sees Kashmir as a totem, but not quite with the old tenacity.
Pakistan also needs urgently to agree a formal border with Afghanistan. Musharraf’s efforts to bring the tribal lands under control, at the cost of about 1,000 army casualties, are an essential step forward. Any leader of Pakistan needs to take these steps. If Musharraf, weakened as he is, can do that then his presidency will be valuable, although there is no substitute at this point for a return to full democracy.
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Mr. Mlk Sheikh is correct.
The most practical solution for most of Pakistan's problems is re-unification with India. That would bring democracy to people of Pakistan that was long ago promised to them but never delivered by their military masters. That would bring secularism (though not perfect but much better than current zealotry and talibanization of Pakistan). That would enable impoverished masses of both India and Pakistan to achieve better living standard with reduced military expenditure. Madness like permanently putting military on Siachen glaciers (highest battlefield on earth) will be stopped. Combined military can easily tackle the militancy and bring law and order to all the lawless regions like Waziristan, etc.
Economic growth, stable and well functioning Indian democracy, secularism and education system will all be of great benefit to people.
Let's not permanently get trapped in this "Pakistan" experiment that began 60 years ago. Treat as a scientific experiment.
Salim Akhtar, Lahore, Pakistan
I would like to comment on Benizar Bhutto,.how nice of her to say"quote'l know there is risks and l am prepared to take them'.How noble.I wonder how the surviving family members of the unfortunate people who died.Think of the choice she made! 126 people dead,because of her choice to arrive like a movie star instead of a woman who wants the right to lead those same people.Just think if she quietly returned it would have been only her at risk yet her choice put all people at risk.
Rose, Osoyoos, Canada
I feel sorry for Muslim religion. The practice of the religion makes you a fundamentalist.You have to follow Quran completely if you want to call yourself a muslim. Otherwise you are not a muslim. You can not just wear muslim religion on your sleeve and become a muslim for convenience.
Other religions do provide more flexibility; not that they are any better.
I wished that Pakistan maintained its earlier secular statehood and had kept a good share of hindus and christians in the country instead of becoming an Islamic state. It is bad to mix religion and State. If the Duo of Musharaff and Bhutto can re-declare secularism in their constitution and invite back hindus and christians who were original inhabitants of Pakistan, it will become a great country. Better still merge with India and give up any more dream of further Islamization.
Mlksheikh, California
Mlk Sheikh, San Jose, USA / California
I am in full agreement with Dr. Ahmad. Both of these people have been in power for years and have nothing to show for it. Bhutto and, to a much lesser extent but no less complicit, Sharif are both untrustworthy with corruption rife in their respective governments. Musharraf is quite simply a dictator. To argue that perhaps, for now, his brand of rule is necessary to keep rogue elements in check is short-sighted to say the least and dangerous. The Pakistanis are quite capable of ruling themselves without the outside interferences of the West, India or anyone else for that matter. To stifle the say of the people (the way I see a Musharraf-Bhutto ticket ultimately doing) will only backfire and cause resentment leading to even more of these rogue elements popping up. The Musharraf-Bhutto ticket, in short, will really only fan the fires already raging in and around Pakistan.
Samir, Philadelphia, PA
Any deal by the discredited Benazir Bhutto and Gen Musharraf on Kashmir are not acceptable. Also these deals are not worth paper, as the next one will disown it!
In India, very few trust Pakistan and its rulers. The bitterness between Pakistan and India has reached "point of no return"!
We will wait for this failed state to disintegrate on its own due to the support for Islamic extremism and terrorism all over the world! Either this Pakistan or rest of non-Muslim nations.
Regards,
Krishna R. Kumar, Udupi, India
Another call for a **return** to democracy in Pakistan. The country has had very little *democracy* since it's creation, if you wish a return to it's normal form of goverment or at least it's prevailing form then it will need to stay the way it is.
Just how long do you think Bhutto or Nawiz would last against the fundlementlists without Musharrif and the Army? I know it's fashionable to cheer for the *down trodden*, but these down trodden want control of a country with Nuclear bombs and the means to deliver them. They have already shown that they hold pragmitists like Bhutto as people to be killed in the coming Islamic fundi revolution. Not only would India be in grave danger, so would countries like Saudi Arabia and Egypt.
Considering how he started, Musharrif hasn't been as awful as most before him(including Bhutto's father), he isn't corrupt and does have Pakistans interests at heart. Full democracy can wait for a bit more stability.
Joshua, London, UK
I disagree, Musharraf & PPP (BB) would be able to resolve the militants issue, The people of country of Pakistan is worried and concern that people are getting killed by their own people. We are witnessing at Iraq, Kashmir & Afghanistan. Muslims of the world are suffering by the regime behind Indian lobby & Jewish lobby. The Taliban are suffering, because of Bin Laden protection, Pakistan is under targeted because of 9/11,& there is no correlation. The Indian are benefited, economically & as well militry/ defense, Pakistan is running proxy war on wrong front since the Reganâs era, without economical progress compare to India. The only solution is to come up on table talk and resolve the US/UK concern for all, without Killing. The amounts of money USA/UK are spending should be utilized for their people.
shawn, Boston, USA
I am at a loss to understand what has led Maddox to propose that either Bhutto or Musharraf can deliver on disputed Kashmir or in Afghanistan. Bhutto has been at the helm of affairs twice while Musharraf has ruled unopposed for eight year now. If nothing was done in those years, what has changed now that will suggest that the border issue is any closer to be resolved by either of them. The coming together of the two is merely a convenient arrangement for two corrupt personalities to stay in or attain power. Nothing could be furthest from the truth than to suggest that any good will come out of the collusion between the two.
Dr. Sayed S. Ahmad, Troy, , Michigan, USA
Pakistani nuclear weapons have greatly changed the relationship between Pakistan and the West. Now, the overriding concern of American foreign policy is to keep those weapons away from Islamic radicals and heroin traffickers. We will embrace any scoundrel who seems willing and able to do this, regardless of the effect on Pakistani society--and even if the long-term effect is to inflame Pakistani public opinion against us. The world has become a much more dangerous place.
Arthur Wilton, Newport Beach, California
Maybe Bhutto and Musharaff should get married. This will legitimise any deal as it will be done in the traditional way of tribal alliances.
Shahji, London, UK
Pakistan under Musharraf presidency can not control Waziristan or the border areas with Afghanistan. There has to be a political solution which can only be achieved by a freely democratic elected government in Pakistan. There can never be a free election in Pakistan under Musharraf's presidency.
A caretaker government has to be setup to hold election under an independent election commision in consultation with the opposition parties, other wise the war against terrorism will continue indefinitly.
These goals can be achieved by the backing of People of Pakistan, it can not be done by the Pakistan army alone.
Sooner this matter is realised by foreign countries who support Musharraf, better it is for both sides. The army under a civillian rule can very well do the necessary job they are assigned, it will carry public support as well.
Naeem Syed, Toronto, Canada
Seems quite a weak argument to me. Where is the evidence that Bhutto would help engineer a border agreement? And if the Supreme Court rules in favour of Musharraf's election victory and hands him another five-year term, then Bhutto's hand will not be any stronger. It will be the end result that counts, not the process and certainly not the delay. And if the SC rules against Musharraf, and he is removed from power - then who is Bhutto going to forge a deal with?
Colombe, London, UK
Since mid '50s,the "Doctrine of Necessity"has been the guiding light of a subservient Pakistani judiciary and Western powers in their relationship with Pakistan.In the process,the political process has been stifled and democracy disallowed a chance in the unfortunate country.Military rule was helpful in executing pacts like CENTO (Baghdad Pact)and SEATO,Afghan Jihad and the War against Terrorism.With popular will rejected,Pakistan has lost its Eastern half,the bulk of its scarce resources(including interest bearing loans)are continuously appropraited by the Military,and a democratic social welfare state has been converted into a quasi theocratic,national security dictatorship.A vibrant liberal society is embracing obscurantism,sectaianism and religious militancy.If the current arrangement continues,these traits will become stronger.I doubt if Benazir can cope with these if she joins up with Musharraf in his dictatorship.Only a free democracy can build up the strength to turn the tide.
Afzal A. Neseem, LIncoln, Nebraska
Musharraf was not the architect of the incursion over the border with India - no border exists. Musharraf and Benazir have no letigimacy of agreeing a deal on Kashmir - neither of them will be able to carry the deal - Musharraf can't in Waziristan and Benazir can't carry the army. The US is badly misguided with this dream ticket. It will lead to more trouble.
Shaffiq Mahmood, Halifax, UK