Bronwen Maddox: World Briefing
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You couldn't call Admiral William Fallon a popular man in the White House, Pentagon or US Army, although his resignation this week may have made him more so. It would be hard to call him effective, as senior army officers kept sniping in private.
But he was right on crucial points of US strategy even if he was the wrong person to run US Central Command. On Iran he was outspoken — and right — about the need for engagement and the folly of a military strike. He was right that Iraq had sucked the United States' attention away from “the five or six pots boiling over” in the same part of the world. However, he was wrong on the surge in Iraq, and that, as well as personality clashes, is what probably did for him.
It was always going to be a tricky appointment — to take a navy officer and put him in charge of Centcom, which covers Iraq and Afghanistan and relies, more than any other command centre, on knowledge of combat operations. Fallon was the first navy appointment to the post, usually held by army generals with recent experience on the ground.
It would be wrong to explain the antagonism that his appointment provoked purely by inter-service rivalry, although even these days, when the fashion is to pretend that it no longer exists, the reflex runs deep. But his lack of direct experience of the two conflicts left him with no way to challenge General David Petraeus, President Bush's adored commander on the ground. Fallon's argument for drawing down US troops more quickly, while consistent with the thinking of some generals, dissolved in the face of Petraeus's case that the surge was working and that troop strength needed to be maintained.
But it was on Iran where Fallon clashed most with the White House, arguing openly against a strike and for persuasion. His departure does not make a strike more likely; he is hardly alone, among the Administration or senior military officers, in thinking that it could have uncontrollable effects. Nor, this time, would Britain consider joining the US. It would take a lot — more than Israel's encouragement — to make an attack an attractive option for the US.
But Fallon's sudden exit will be intently studied in Tehran, as is every clue about US intentions. It is in keeping with the past eight years of American policy towards Iran — confused, full of sound and fury, and most valuable simply in keeping Iran guessing.
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Whether Mr Bush or Mr Cheney have served in the US Military or not, is completely irrelevant.
Whether "neocons" are running the White House or not is irrelevant.
The fact is, Bush is the democratically elected President of the US (whether people like it or not) and the Generals are subordinate to the elected leadership in a democracy.
Truman never wore a uniform, yet fired General Douglas Macarthur (and Truman was despised by the public too).
Lincoln fired General McLellan, and Lincoln never wore a military uniform.
The "chickenhawk" argument is ignorant and childish. Thought through to its logical conclusion, then only current or ex-military would be running democracies and some of our greatest leaders would never have led their nations.
Fallon should have been sacked, liked Richard Dannatt, the moment he PUBLICLY contradicted and criticized the elected governments policy in his interview.
He was wrong on the surge AND wrong on Iran too.
Good riddance.
N John, North Lanakshire , Scotland
Whats weird is the belief by these conservatives that an aggressive and unpredictable U.S. is good , as referred to by Bronwyn Maddox. Quite simply an aggressive and unpredictable neighbour, will not persaude the Iranians to be co-operative because there is no reason for the Iranians to assume that an unpredicable U.S. would not continue to be hostile and aggressive. To claim that co-operation would persaude the U.S. to be less hostile, ignores U.S. history.The only result of an aggressive and unpredictable U.S. will be to peresaude Iran to seek secruity that will make the U.S. back off.
There is one form of Security that has been already shown to moderate U.S. behaviour.
Anton Gray, Christchurch, New Zealand
As someone who served in Iraq for a year as a physician with the US Army, and had to deal with many dead and wounded Americans and Iraqis, I have some first-hand knowledge about the horror, tragedy, and waste of war.
Admiral Fallon, God bless him, also understands that. As a combat pilot in Vietnam, he knew that war was not something to be lightly entered into. How unlike our cowardly President and Vice President who evaded war service through Air National Guard service or countless draft deferments. I have much more respect for the draft dodgers who at least showed some courage, risking condemnation and exile, for their beliefs about the war.
I have had enough of this war. I believe that vast majority Americans have had enough of this war. They want their country and their liberties back.
John Collins, Augusta, Maine
Irregardless of the pros/ cons of Adm Fallon's departure, oil prices are already "pricing in" further instability in Gulf markets and future supplies there. Should ( or when) Bush wants to demonstrate the national security factor for his GOP's side, he will initiate a " surgical strike" already sliced & diced and ready to go within a 24 hr news cycle. Of course a cynical person would say this would happen AFTER the Dem convention in Denver............ any bets?
Byronius, Washington DC, USA
Admiral Fallon was most likely fired because he OPENLY hemmed in his superior commander, the President, not for the content of his views. As such, he was insubordinate - even if he may have been right on the substance of the question at hand i.e Iran policy
Milos Borojic, Banja Luka, Bosnia-Herzegivina
Another Clintonista 4 star falls by the wayside - and good riddance. As commander of PacCom he spent his time sucking up the PRC. As Centcom commander, he seemed somewhat disinterested in Centom's major war (Iraq). It speaks to the incompetence of Bush and Gates that he was ever given this job in the first place. One of the biggest mistakes since 9/11 has been the retention of these peacetime, politically correct flag officers. Any officer promoted to three or four star rank during the 1990s should have already been retired - Omar Bradley went straight from LtCol to BGen in Feb 1941 - Mark Clark did the same thing later that year. Patton made BGen in 1940. Eisenhower made BGen in September 1941.
The US Army already had quite a few peacetime generals at the start of WW II. Mostly, they stayed in the US to run training establishments and man various staffs. To run the war required aggressive risk takers.
Mike, NY, USA
ADM Fallon is man of conviction and honor. He led by example and he led from the front -- spending ~80% of his time, boots on the ground in theater to drive home necessary changes.
As a veteran of OEF Afghanistan (1 year) I know it's too easy for generals to fly-in, listen, take notes and fly-out without effecting change. Regardless of the inter-service sniping, Fox Fallon was highly regarded by his men for "calling the ball" accurately and fairly regardless of political demands from Neocons at the WH.
History will judge him as one of the few senior military leaders with the fortitude to tell it like it is for the sake of his country and the lives of his men (and women). He remembered what every junior officer is told - care more about the eyes on your back than the eyes on your front.
Jack, Palo Alto, CA, USA
Fallon was better for the job at Centcom because he had no experience ""on the ground."As a professional military officer with tours with interservice operations he would have enough knowledge of how the army, airforce and marines work. He does not have to know one hundred ways to kill someone with no weapon just has Petraeus does not have to know how to operate a harpoon missile system. The job of management is just that and applies to military and civil applications. A clear, new view in this situation would have benefits to any political leader with the intellect to listen.
With oil prices the way they are I don't think Iran would be too concerned about a US attack. They have said they don"t want to shut off Persian Gulf oil if war starts. That is not saying they won't! Off course if Bush wants the public to go into the next elections with oil at $200 plus a barrel then all bets are off.
Jeff Larsen, Chch , NZ
To say that the surge of General Petraeus is a success is correct. It has certified in concrete the ethnic cleansing of Baghdad, it has brought into being an armed and organised Sunni militia that will one day challenge what ever Shia government the US leaves behind (always assuming the US ever does leave).
It is contributing to the sucking up of 12 BILLION dollars a month into the mire George Bush has created in Iraq.
The Admiral knows this and knows also an attack on Iran would unleash the Shias against the occupation forces making a dire situation even worse.
The surge is a sticking plaster on a sucking suppurating wound, no more.
martyn, calvia, spain
Even if a US strike against Iran's nuclear facilities were not on the agenda, it helps the West's bargaining position if Iran fears that possibility. It was totally inappropriate for the head of Centcom to weaken the bargaining position by publicly opposing the strike option, rather than conveying his views solely through government channels.
Faustino, Brisbane, Australia