Bronwen Maddox, Chief Foreign Commentator
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Yesterday in Sharm el-Sheikh, Robert Mugabe walked triumphantly into the summit of the African Union by the side of his host, Egypt’s President Mubarak.
A day after being sworn in again as Zimbabwe’s President, after elections which he seized through violence, he won the extra trophy of a reception from the country’s neighbours that was at least civil, if not enthusiastic. At the same time in New York, US officials were rapidly drafting a new sanctions resolution to put before the Security Council. The measures, intended to punish Mugabe and more than a hundred of his colleagues, may not sound like much. But the sanctions, preventing those people from travelling widely and curtailing their ability to hold assets abroad, are the best tool for trying to prise Mugabe from the presidency of Zimbabwe. They are aimed at the regime, with the hope that they will not also inadvertently hit the poorest — the main reason that other countries have not yet clamped down on foreign companies operating in Zimbabwe. That remains a hovering possibility, although for the moment, governments have bought the arguments of the companies, mainly in banking and mining, that they provide jobs for poor people.
Even getting agreement on sanctions against the regime is not trivial. But in the past week, since Morgan Tsvangirai, leader of the opposition, withdrew from the election, there has been a leap forward in getting agreement, even from South Africa, which holds one of the two-year rotating seats on the council. The June 23 statement blaming Mugabe for the turmoil in the country had unanimous backing even though it was more strongly worded than anything South Africa had said on its own.
UN measures other than sanctions appear out of reach at the moment. The UN’s 47-member Human Rights Council is falling into the trap of its predecessor, the Commission on Human Rights, often accused of being a cover for some of the world’s most abusive regimes to avoid scrutiny of their own rights violations. Nor is indictment at the International Criminal Court at the Hague (not a UN body) a powerful threat at this point. As Zimbabwe has not signed up to the ICC, bringing a prosecution would require a referral by the council, which it is not close to giving.
At this point, too, no one on the council is talking about military intervention.
So if sanctions against Mugabe’s regime are the only immediately available option, will they have much effect? They might fuel discontent among the Zanu (PF) chiefs that could begin to dislodge him. More likely, the implosion of the economy will undermine him more effectively. Zanu (PF) leaders can see that, for all yesterday’s ceremony, he does not have long in power. As they scramble to save their own positions, the outside world’s real intervention, in terms of aid, peacekeepers or helping to broker talks between both sides, can finally begin.
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Is there some way we can blame this on the United States? That would certainly increase ms maddox's chance for winning a pulitzer for this.
If Zimbabwe's people want their children to be free, they will fight for their freedom.
Ron, Mt Juliet, Tennessee
Blah, blah, blah.
- Bonzie Smits, Kingwood, USA
No, it's because he violently took the farms away from the people who knew how to farm and gave them to his cronies who didn't. And then carried on with destroying the country's economy.
Read some history before making absurd, ignorant comments.
Mark, Kingswood, USA
One wonders at the motive of the African leaders including mbeki who continue to give mugabe approval for despotic ways. Could it be that these same leaders will refuse to relinquish power willingly if defeated? Just like Kenya's kibaki? It is not their god given right to be leaders forever!
Ian, Melbourne, Australia
the way things are going - with what the glorious european governments are ready to do - mugabe will be with us until he croaks, could be another 10 years.
but hey, if these european heroes get bored, they can still vote up UN resolutions condemning Israel for genocide and violation of "yuman rites"
alex, bath, somerset, UK
The economy in Zimbabwe looks to be already imploded and Mugabe has been re-elected despite it. We saw the Zanu party involved in depriving non Zanu voters from food and medicine. What if food shortages continue? Mass migration has not been popular in South Africa & Mbeki still sits on the fence.
Brooks,C, Jomtien, Thailand
I really do not understand the British fixation with Mugabe. When did he become such a "brutal dictator" ? Is it because he took away the land from the British settlers ? While I do not agree with Mugabe politics I think the world is left helpless because of the British colonialists/settlers mindset
Bonzie Smits, Kingwood, USA
It is sad. Had Mugabe left office after 4 or 8 years he would have been another Mandela. As it is he is just another power hungry politician who does not care about the common people
Tim, Lowell,
Until Africa gets its act in order, none of them deserve any power at the UN.
Richard, Plymouth,
Black African leaders will do nothing about Mugabe - they don't care about the African people (never have, one suspects, ever since they started selling them to Europeans). They will hide behind colonialism, slavery and globalisation as long as they can.
john problem, winchester, uk
The economy is already in turmoil. Unemployment is at 80% - so surely govs can not buy the claims of "job provision" from greedy companies. Options seem to be repeatedly quashed from Zanu leaders. The credible option currently is to take out the elite = power vacuum. This will run on and on.
Charlie Peters, Bristol, UK
JAB, Johannesburg, South Africa: The MDC didn't want to see more of it's supporters killed. Another problem was the massive re-location of their voters so that they couldn't vote.
As far as a coalition goes, it didn't work with Mugabe & Nkomo, so why does anyone think it will work with Tsvangirai?
Chris D, Edinburgh, Scotland
RLM De Villiers:
I agree things were better, but remember who invented concentration camps and treated the Boere, you and my very own forefathers, no better than the Nazi's did the Jews. Just remember the Brits are not angels... Power Corrupts ANYONE
Emile, London, UK
Can anyone explain what the MDC game plan was for conceding the election? By handing Mugabe the presidency again they have committed the country to years of deaths from disease & hunger. It would have been better to go to the polls despite the consequences. Intimidation could not deter millions.
JAB, Johannesburg, South Africa
The African Union's failure to deal with Mugabe underscores the fact that British colonialism was a force for good and Africa appears it is in need of being re-colonised. Under the British Empire, slavery was abolished and good government was introduced into despotic situations like today's Zimbabwe
R L M de Villiers, Campbell, USa
Sanctions by the West? China must be feeling like the cat that ate not only the canary but the turkey too.
haralambos, joburg,
at last someone who realises sanctions are slow & ineffective took 20yrs in sa & rhodesia -zim no food, fuel, running water or electricity already? freeze the swiss bank accounts send the 'elites' party members kids back to zim from west universities that'll hurt them, trace the congo diamonds
mary, qld, australia
He is black, the people are black, the people who are supposed to quell him are black. Same old story. Blacks can kill any number of blacks and nothing happens. Maybe the Messiah, Obama can do something?
Desmond Taylor, Houston, USA TX