Camilla Cavendish
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Sorry, Africa, but I need your next meal to run my pick-up down to the mall. Just shove your corn in my tank, will you? This thing only does 20 miles to the gallon. Don't blame me, blame all those middle-class Indians and Chinese who want to live like us. They're the reason food prices are rising. What, you're hungry? Can't you call the UN?
The moral dimensions to food and energy prices, and the links between them, are becoming inescapable. There is huge resentment about biofuels at this week's World Food Summit, even though prosperity is the main reason for higher food prices. There was outrage in India recently, when Condoleezza Rice appeared to blame its middle-class for costlier food.
Why shouldn't we eat the same as you, asked Indian MPs. We're still thinner. And why should the West suck up prime agricultural land to grow subsidised biofuels just to keep driving cheaply? It's bad enough that a high oil price makes fertiliser and tractor fuel more expensive. It's utterly irresponsible to burn food to make fuel.
The same blame game is being played with climate change. You've put more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than we have, say the Chinese. Don't tell us to cool it. Britain, according to Jim Hansen of Nasa, has a greater stock of carbon dioxide on its conscience than any other country, since it industrialised first. You lot started the first industrial revolution, a Brazilian once raged to me. Why can't you start the second? Maybe we can.
While governments wrangle, entrepreneurs and scientists are in a race to reinvent energy, including biofuels. Dot-com billionaires such as Vinod Khosla, of Sun Microsystems, and Paul Allen, of Microsoft, are ploughing their fortunes back into schemes that probably sound as crazy as Google once did. Giant mirrors are tracking the Sun in New Mexico, powered by microprocessors to concentrate the rays. Enzymes are breaking down the non-edible parts of plants to make fuel in Canada.
Algae, that green stuff in your pond, is being used to make biodiesel in New Zealand. Algae can grow almost anywhere, even in deserts. And some species grow so fast that they double in size three or four times a day. According to Fred Krupp, author of the excellent Earth: The Sequel, it would take only 47 million acres of algae to produce fuel for half of America's cars, compared with 1.5 billion acres of soy beans. I never knew pondlife was so exciting.
Algae also eat carbon dioxide at a similarly prolific rate. That makes them multitasking miracle-workers: both a fuel and a way to clean up power-plant emissions. Not surprisingly, several companies are now trying to move from relatively small algae beds to industrial scale.
Solar is another example where science and venture capital converge. Last year I spent a frustrating afternoon with physicists at Imperial College who patiently explained how to make thin films, fabrics, even paint, capable of capturing energy from sunlight. The technology was beyond me. But I did grasp the economics. Making thin films from synthetic materials will dramatically reduce the cost of solar technology.
There are still technical problems with many technologies. With algae, it is how to harvest at scale. With solar, it is how to store the energy efficiently. But the biggest challenge is no longer in the lab. It is lack of capital to get these ideas to scale. Successful internet companies such as Google were launched with millions of dollars. But building solar power plants or biofuel refineries requires hundreds of millions. That means investors taking much bigger risks, in a sector where profits are enormously influenced by government regulation.
What's the answer? You can subsidise particular industries, as Japan and Germany have done with solar. But that means picking winners. Or you can put a price on carbon dioxide. That changes the way that companies compare the costs of building a dirty coal plant with, say, a clean solar one. The EU has already put a low price on carbon dioxide, which it is gradually ratcheting up. John Doerr, the legendary investor who first backed Google and Amazon, has said that a similar cap on carbon in America would make thin-film solar technology competitive with conventional electricity in only two years. Which is why historians may come to see Monday night as a turning point.
The US Senate voted to debate the Climate Security Bill, which seeks to set an overall limit on greenhouse gas emissions, and auction tradeable permits to pollute. The coal states hate it. So does the White House. A vote to debate is not yet a vote to pass. But it is the first time that a Bill to cap greenhouse gases has moved to the Senate floor since it stopped Bill Clinton from ratifying the Kyoto Protocol in 1997. Kyoto was seen as handing an economic advantage to India and China. But this Bill would also penalise imports from countries without an emissions cap. So the unions that fear losing jobs to China and India are now in the same lobby as the greens.
Both Barack Obama and John McCain have promised similar schemes. It looks as though they will face a more sympathetic Senate than Mr Clinton. This is not because America has lost sight of its economic interests, but because its economic interests are now more closely aligned with energy security. And because the race for low-carbon profits is global. China is already the third-largest producer of solar cells, behind Japan and Germany. Denmark is the world's largest producer of wind turbines. Last year Singapore launched plans for the world's largest solar manufacturing facility, to be built by Norwegians.
Everyone wants to clean up on carbon. If we could all stop resenting each other's prosperity, we might just build an economy where the price of oil no longer matters. And where the humble algae could, at the very least, power one person to the shops without taking someone else's food off the table.
Camilla Cavendish has been a McKinsey management consultant, an aid worker, and CEO of a not-for-profit company. She is now a leader writer and columnist on The Times
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Algae has the best potential yet because it is highly efficient, and it yields an easily stored product. Geothermal is useful in some places, such as Iceland, but what would be the consequences of extracting heat from the Earth's core and essentially venting it to space on a global industrial scale?
Chris, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
This is a little off topic, but I seldom see anything written about the advances of geothermal energy, a closed loop system that generates steam from off the shelf parts (mostly) used in air conditioning. The water only has to be 100 degrees to bring the R13 to a boil which in turn creates steam.
SAH, Fairport,
Mike Donald, if you're still there. Not enough space here to go through it all. Suffice to say the IPCC used all sorts of weak excuses to ignore natural forces, and bogus "feedbacks" to bump up the CO2 ECS. PS. The IPCC report has not been peer-reviewed (choosing your own reviewers doesn't count).
Mike, Sydney, Australia
Necessity is the mother of invention or discovery. I have every confidence that we will find viable, alternative energy sources, but it will come at a price, as everything else does.
ian cheese, london, uk
Thomas Malthus identified the problem
Gerard K O'Neil offered a solution 33 years ago
Vested interests have chosen to bury it.
The window for its application is closing fast, through greed and avarice.
Dave, Chorley, UK
Chesterton said that the phrase "as dull as ditch water" is a misnomer, that it is teeming with fascinating life.
Christopher Hawtree, Hove, England
Mike, Sydney, Australia
You KNOW the IPCCs wrong? Amazing. Just like that. You studied the IPCC report and state that atmospheric CO2 is not at all bad. OK cobber lets see your peer-reviewed study showing where the climatologists got it wrong. Dont the Aussies play a game called two-up? My thoughts entirely
Mike Donald, Aberdeen, Scotland
Algae: The New Biofuel
www.nationalalgaeassociation.com
b cole, the woodlands, texas, usa
Carbon taxes don't make technologies comnpetitive. They just penalize corporations and most of all consumers, especailly lower and middle class people. Alternate energy sources are good since oil has better uses as plastics or chemicals than fuel. Carbon is essentail to life not a pollutant.
james krog, memphis,tn, USA
Carbon accounts for 3% of "manmade" "green house gases" "Manmade" greenhouse gases account for 3% of all the greenhouse effect. The primary greenhouse gas is water vapor. So manmade carbon accounts for .09% of the green house effect. "Global warming" is also occurring on Mars Mercury, Saturn.
james krog, memphis,tn, USA
That's all good, if only because we get a lot of oil from some very distasteful regimes and bio-fuels create as much CO2 (including production) as oil. However, your initial premise is highly likely to be wrong: that man-made CO2 is the primary driver of climate variability. So it goes.
Dr Robert Laundon, London, UK
Global warming is a farce, and famine in Africa is most often due to geographic position (1/3 of the continent is desert) or despotic political regimes (Somalia, etc.). That said, it is imperative that we seek alternative energy sources for reasons of global security. Sorry, out of characters.
Trey Westcot, Houston, TX, USA
High oil prices is actually a Godsend, it will help us to develop other, more cleaner, environment friendly sources of energy as until now the costs were too high compared to fossil fuel.
Naushad Haque, New York, USA
I am liking the idea of countries coming together to stay alive on earth, it makes sense. Instead of fighting each other, help each other. Solar power comes everday, we will not have a shortage on solar rays thats for sure. The algea idea is pure genious since it counteracts against carbon.
Cory, Dallas, United States
The author states " It's utterly irresponsible to burn food to make fuel."
Is it any less irresponsible to use barley and rice to make beer?
Is it any less irresponsible to use wheat to make Grey Goose vodka?
Michael Kohout, Metter, Georgia, USA
The problem is, as it has always been for years, the lack of urgency on the part of all the governments of the world. Now, instead of acting a stroke before midnight we are half-heartedly acting at half an hour past midnight. The technology is here now; it's past time to act to avert disaster.
Daniel A. Donnellan, Chester, United States
Here is a story on algae-to-fuel science being done in Minnesota (Land of 10,000 Lakes)
http://wcco.com/energy/algae.energy.independence.2.731183.html
James, Saint Paul, MN, USA
Has any of you ever heard of OTEC (Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion). It is simple, and there was a successful test plant in Kona, Hawaii, which was shut down after the tests were successful. The only by products from the process are electricity, drinking water, and table salt! web search it!
Jack , london, england
Solar storage is not such a problem but it's exponential to the size of the project. Think of how long a pressure cooker takes to stop issuing steam and then imagine a pressure cooker containing a thousand times that volume. It would still be releasing steam powwr many hours after sundown.
fred keeling, almunecar, spain
As you imply, the matter of the future supply of energy is no real problem. The problem is that the supply of energy is tied up with the reins of power and some basic politics which we don t discuss.
Henry Percy, London, UK
Mike Donald - I assure you I'm not insane! Yes, we 've had droughts, but we've always had them. No reason to think they're all now caused by CO2. The past 10yrs shows that natural forces override CO2 quite easily, a fact denied in the IPCC report. I've read it and checked it. I know it's wrong.
Mike, Sydney, Australia
Yes, making ethanol from corn is stupid and inefficient. But making ethanol from sugarcane is not. Don't write off all biofuels because of crazy American subsidies to their whining farmers.
Rowan, Oxford,
Why do people in the UK want to drive about so much? In my youth I drove everywhere there is to drive to discover that non of it is any more interesting than where I had just been. Having done all that I no longer drive anywhere because I know now that most places in UK are just really rather boring
Colin, Carmarthen, UK
Mike, Sydney, Australia
Mike - Your remarks are just plain insane. You noticed the rivers in Australia? Sorry - streams, no make that brooks, no try rivulets...
Mike Donald, Aberdeen, Scotland
Ten years ago or so we learned about very promising researchs with Algae: some species when performing photo synthesis split water and releases HYDROGEN, clean energy, for free! Where are the results? The word can afford more time for new developments? Known solutions must be applies now!
P. AZEVEDO, SAO PAULO, BRAZIL
With so many experts about I'm amazed we have an energy crisis.
Ian Burgess, Bristol,
Comments about whether this or that technology is superior miss the main point of Camilla's article, which was that what politicians need to do is set up a real commercial incentive to reduce carbon emissions; leaving technicalities to people who understand thermodynamics
Lucy, London,
Soylent Green
Steve S., Hershey, PA, USA
Lets just go nuclear and dump the radioactive waste on the moon.
Pete, Cov,
Look - if someone thinks they can make algae, methanol (in a 'shift' reaction?? more details please!!) or any other technology work, great, please do it! However as an engineer with a physics education, I know for a fact that there is only one PRACTICAL alternative to fossil fuels and its nuclear.
Pete, London, UK
The article said "Everyone wants to clean up on carbon". Not true. Those of us who have studied the IPCC report and understood where it goes wrong, realise that atmospheric CO2 is not at all bad. Clean - yes. Clean up on carbon - no.
Mike, Sydney, Australia
Where will you find 47 million available acres on which to build ponds? And, at a time when California is considering water rationing, will you divert water from agricultural, industrial or domestic use? Read Robert Bryce's new book, Gusher of Lies: The Dangerous Delusion of Energy Independence.
peter, miami, usa
well, yeah: only you would have the Society for the Protection of the Euroamericanindian Winged Manatee Penguin-crab all over you because your algae beds are endangering the ecosystem for their proteges etc. happens with dams, wind-turbines and all. Every lobby wants its place in the sun! (haha)
Pietro B, SP, Italy
Where do you get the hydrogen from? WHere do you get potassium hydroxide from? Does anyone out there understand thermoynamics?
Steve, Hessle, England
What if they find out you can eat the algae?
Do we then stop using it in cars in favour of an ever expanding population?
JonB, Manchester, UK
There was a wonderful article on this in New Scientist in the 28 May issue, featuring some sage stuff from Vinod Khosla. His comments on biofuels were particularly scathing.
It puts the dobbinish approach of our politicians to shame. Cameron should speak to Doerr and Khosla.
Martin, Birmingham,
Google was not a crazy idea. It was an obvious and simple need to be able search for info. It was just that Google won the race amongst many early contenders. The need for alternative technology is not yet clear cut. More evidence is needed rather than emotion (personally I am all for alternatives)
David Cartright, Birmingham,
Nuclear is not obvious Paul, as the problems outweigh the benefits. As for Algae, it doesn't need to be grown in ponds. Just like possible future farms, they could easily be 'grown' in highrises. Of all the green energy I've seen, Algae seems the most promising answer to most questions asked.
Ben, Warrington,
Methonol is the future fuel for cars. Harvest CO2 from power plants, or from the atmosphere using potassium hydroxide, mix with hydrogen in a shift reaction and pump it through the infrastructure already in place, for use in mildly adapted IC engines. A cheap and robust solution.
Julian, Twickenham, UK
I'm all for nuclear (especially thorium because you don't get weapons grade PU from that and there's much more of it about than uranium) but realistically it is not going to solve our problems. We need liquid fuels and alage is the obvious feedstock
Fran, Sydney, Australia
The obvious answer is to use nuclear power. Uranium is about 100,000 times more energy intense than wood, so it is much more manageable and you can leave areas of the planet undeveloped
Paul , northwich, england
"prosperity is the MAIN reason for higher food prices" - debatable in competition with exploding world population and disappearing energy sources. And "ONLY 47 million acres" is a whole lotta pond.
There sure are enormous problems yet to be overcome! But your overall drift is spot-on, Camilla.
G.Green, Bristol, UK
Why this emphasis on carbon dioxide when the science it is based on is pathetic unverified computer modelling. It is as valid to form an opinion of the world based on playing grand theft auto, maybe more so.
Energy conservation need is proven so lets keep to that. Coal is still plentiful, use it.
D Cage, Highworth, UK
If this Algae thing does work, then good. There are so many things that can be done with renewable energy. I'm all for green, but we shouldn't have to pay so much for it! After all, you can't tax water/air/etc.. And charging us for carbon? Does that include breathing?
Seetal Udeshi, London, UK,
Dr. Isaac Berzin an Israeli has set up an Algae growing trial on a US power station in Arizona. It uses the waste product CO2 from the power station to generate the Algae. His company GreenFuel will revolutionize the industry.
ryanh, Modiin, Israel