Daniel Finkelstein
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When David Ifshin died at the age of 47 he had already lived more than one life. And if you want to understand the forthcoming US presidential election and how it can be won, you could do worse than listen to his story.
When, in 1996, cancer killed Ifshin so tragically young, Bill Clinton spoke at his funeral. Warmly and well, of course. The man was born to make such speeches. It wasn't a surprise that the President came and paid tribute. For Ifshin had been his general counsel in the 1992 campaign, as he had been for Walter Mondale in 1984. He had been a good Democrat, had Ifshin.
The other man who gave a eulogy, who broke down while delivering it, was altogether a more unlikely figure. It was John McCain. But it was not Senator McCain's party label that made his presence intriguing. It was his extraordinary history, and that of Ifshin.
When a young man David Ifshin had been a radical, really quite a radical. He hadn't contented himself with opposing the Vietnam War, he had done the unthinkable, for many the unforgivable. As president of the National Student Association in 1970, he went to Hanoi and urged American troops to turn against the Vietnam War. His remarks were broadcast over Radio Hanoi. And Radio Hanoi was broadcast in the prison cell of John McCain.
Mr McCain had been taken prisoner by the North Vietnamese when his plane was shot down. He returned to his country a hero. He had been crippled by the crash, he had been tortured by his captors and yet, when offered early release to serve Vietnamese propaganda purposes, he had refused. How could he ever forgive a man like Ifshin?
And yet he did. The young radical Democrat never repented of his opposition to the Vietnam War, but he came to regret his broadcast bitterly. He came to understand his country's big heart, its generosity. And so one day, at a Washington event, Ifshin approached Mr McCain and asked to be allowed to apologise. Mr McCain decided to let him. And extraordinarily the two became friends, campaigners together for human rights in Vietnam. Said the senator: “I realised he had not been my enemy, but my countryman.” He added: “His friendship honoured me.”
A friend of mine was with John McCain when Ifshin's wife rang to say that he had died. The senator spoke to her, then told his office to hold any further calls. For an hour he sat and reminisced about the lives that he and the young radical had lived, and how their different paths had finally come together. And my friend realised that here was the key to Mr McCain's appeal. Not just his humanity, but his ability, alone among his contemporaries, to heal the wounds of the 1960s. If he is going to win the presidency, it is upon this ability that he will rely.
For I believe that the winner of the election, a contest that might be a squeaker, will be the candidate best able to escape the legacy of the Sixties. Every election since 1964 has replayed the arguments of that decade; this is the first that can go beyond it. And the winner will be the candidate who grasps this.
The conventional view of modern US politics is that it began with Ronald Reagan. More specifically, that it began with the actor's televised speech in support of Barry Goldwater's doomed presidential bid. The idea is that Goldwater invented the modern conservative message, and Reagan became the messenger. Between them, message and messenger swept all before them, crushing any liberals in their path.
A new book at present garnering rave reviews in the US, Nixonland by Rick Perlstein, sees things rather differently. It views the current Republican coalition as the creation not of Goldwater and Reagan, but of Richard Nixon. Nixonland tells the story of how that strange, resentful, angry man built a political movement in his own image.
His was the idea to unite those in the South, resentful of the successes of the civil rights movement, with the strivers and the straights and the patriots in the North, who abhorred the excesses of the Sixties, and who wanted order, not chaos. Together these people formed Nixon's “silent majority”. These groups remain at the heart of the Republican coalition.
It was fantastically successful. In 1964 there was a Democratic landslide, in 1972 a Republican one. Nixon's movement has served his party well since then. Mr McCain will be tempted to try to ride it to power. A negative campaign against Barack Obama, suggestions of cultural and economic chaos, strong hints that the Democrats are peaceniks and dropouts. Mr McCain can even do the explosions of anger.
This would be a tragic error, a waste of one perfectly good John McCain. This is a man who missed the most turbulent years of the 1960s while in jail. He can rise above it. He can be the generous, positive, honourable man who never forgot his experiences but was able to forgive Ifshin. That's the McCain that wowed the press when he ran in 2000. Many of the correspondents were anti-Vietnam protesters and they particuarly valued their engagement with the war hero.
Time moves on. As the conservative author David Frum never tires of pointing out, there is a limit to the number of elections that conservatives can win fighting the memory of hippy leaders and 1968 rioters on the streets of Chicago. Nixon's coalition is growing old and dying. Mr McCain needs to create a new one. He has to decide if he wants to.
He is not, however, the only candidate who needs to escape the 1960s. For if John McCain must avoid becoming Dick Nixon, Mr Obama must avoid becoming George McGovern, the man whom Nixon destroyed in 1972.
Since McGovern's defeat, there have been only two Democratic presidents. Both were southern Democrats, running on relatively conservative platforms. There hasn't been a victorious northern Democrat since JohnF. Kennedy and there hasn't been a successful candidate campaigning as an out-and-out liberal since... well, since ever. It is not just because he is African-American that the election of the Illinois senator would be a revolution in US politics.
Just as Mr Obama has brilliantly risen above America's race politics, so he must rise above the generational politics of the 1960s. He must avoid being seen as the leader of a ragtag army of dreamers and pacifists, of people who wish America was someplace else. As Nixonland makes graphically clear, the chaos and extremism of the Left in the 1960s was not just a figment of Nixon's imagination.
There is a good and bad McCain, a good and a bad Obama. This election can plumb the depths or reach to the sky. Who soars, wins.
daniel.finkelstein@thetimes.co.uk

Daniel Finkelstein is a weekly columnist and Comment Editor of The Times. His blog, Comment Central, is a personal round up of the best political opinion on the web. Before joining the paper in 2001, he was adviser to both Prime Minister John Major and Conservative leader William Hague
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Nixonland was spawned by the 'cold war', hard on the heels of WWII. Different ball game now.
cfsm, Rosebery,
To Jenny: You mean Europeans have no right to an opinion about your elections? Funny, you seem to have an opinion about ours. In fact the US often has opinions about foreign regimes. (You're off the subject anyway. Go on a thread about the EU, where who knows, I may actually agree with you)
joe, birmingham, uk
Anyone who speaks of 'Biblical Prophecy' as if it was some kind of Divinely ordered historical reality, rather than a literary fiction of purely human origin, is a nincompoop of positively stone-age proportions - get with the 21st century, Nancy (or at least catch up with the 18th!)
Billy B
Bill Borland, Glasgow, Scotland
Obama would withdraw troops in Iraq without concern or regard to whether violence increases. McCain would slowly and carefully withdraw troops. Both men would "end the Iraq war" from the American side. Obama would recklessly leave a war raging in the wake of his withdrawal. Save Iraq,vote McCain
JohnF, Los Angeles, USA
Just want to reiterate and continue to try and put down the falsehoods about Obama. He does recite the Pledge of Allegiance, he sings our National Anthem, he swore into office on a bible, he is a Christian. Do not fall for the lies by those who would continue to try and divide us. Do research
Zach Braff, Pittsburgh, USA
I don't think Obama needs to worry about "being seen as the leader of a ragtag army of dreamers and pacifists." Why? Well, I don't think he is. Obamaphiles may dream big, but one thing that inspires them is Obama's practical side, his desire to work with the system we have-changing, not overturning.
Marc Elliott Levy, Washington, DC, USA
I am a Vietnam war baby who strongly support Obama. A vote for McCain will mean a continuation of Bush's policies and the degration of American power. Do we want change for the better or do we want experience for the worse?? Those are our two options in this election. Obama is like JFK. GO OBAMA!!
Michael, Morristown, USA
How true of Americans are we when we would actually want to put a person in the White House who won't even say the Pledge of Allegiance or sing our National Anthem.WoW! really patriotic aren't we. We must also realize how all this is part of the fullfillment of Biblical prophecy. Ask God what to do
nancy, Antigo, USA
People, people, too much of nothing is no good!!! It is simple to pick who you want as president of the USA. If you're secure w/your finances vote for McCain and if you have one doubt for Obama. McCain, "Pride gos before the fall of the USA". Be smart this time and vote Obama.
Mimi, Jersey city, USA
Had Ifshin been a chicken hawk I doubt McCain would have ever been pal's with him.
As a Viet Nam Vet I am repulsed by chicken hawks.
We have chicken hawk Cheney running the show and look at the mess we are in.
Obama needs his chance.If he can't cut it ,it will not be any worse than this bunch.
Peter Talas, Haverhill Ma, USA
Voters won't vote based on nonsence like McCain's age or Obama's flag pin. Not to insult this article, but I don't believe that the history of politics is a major issue in this campaign. The only Presidency that most people remember is Bush's, and that will of course work in Obama's favor.
Ben, Pennsylvania,
I finally figured out what Obamabots mean when they say heal and live in tolerance. They mean that we can finally throw the race card out the window and that its all equal now so no more hard luck story just because of your color. I wish the race card would go out the window too but not like this.
Josh, San Antonio, USA
I think Obama could appeal to everyone open enough to understand that the hatred we carry will not help the future. To make the United States as great as it can be we the people need to unite and work together. I know it sounds simplistic, but it is true.
Judy Hoffman, San Jose,
To Jack of Chatham, careful of your labels...some of us boomers were 'later boomers' born in the sixties and raised in it's tide. So, we've got memories of what soldiers were like coming home and what the news showed on the grainy early TV screens.
Beth, New Jersey, USA
Where have these people been during their history lessons when they say that liberals in the usa have never won an election running as a liberal?... The first that comes to mind is Harry Truman in 1948, the second Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Then how can you overlook Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, 194
stephen lee byrd, santa barbara, california, usa
What point is this article meant to articulate? There is good and Bad in everyone. That is what makes us human. Being a prisoner of war does not make you a better man than the one who didn't. What we have to start discussing is policy. No more sob story or empty associations.
Antoinette, Los Angles, USA
Excellent article. I supported McCain in 2000, but it's true, that man is gone. Another four years of economic mismanagment and war will undoubtedly sink us. Obama's candor is his greatest weapon. I hope he will bring renewed faith in our gov.'t, a faith the current administration has destroyed.
Colin, Boston, Massachusetts,
People in my country do hunger for change: they tire of the old broken promises, the corruption that power seems to bring, the same nonsense with "earmarks" and the enormous waste in government spending.
But Obama is not the man to do this. He is a radical, posing as a healer. He will lose.
Thomas Malone, Minneapolis, USA
The Longhairs and Shorthairs of the Boomer generation will never forgive each other for what they were doing in '68 and will carry that hatred to the grave. Obama's appeal is to those not even born then. We'll see if enough turn out.
Jack Cerf, Chatham, NJ, USA
Obama is a slick politician from Chicago. A town known for its sleezy politics. I want change, but a conservative one, not like Bush or Obama and i dont want experimental social engineering like the disasters in Europe. As an American im Proud Obama has this chance. I just wont vote for him.
William, Atlanta, USA
Were John McCain not running for President, he might still be the man who forgave David Ifshin.
He is no longer that man. His 2000 run, destroyed by Rove and Bush, was his moment. He is now too old, too befuddled and too angry .
Obama will win and bring some, but not enough, change.
Christopher, Miami Florida, USA
There are more surprises ahead if we can put behind us the failed policies of manufacturing, processing, packaging and transporting that has brought us to world problems: energy crisis, food crisis, pollution, and disease; make a retirement lifestyle of food producing plants and animals for freedom.
Marie Devine, Kansas City, Missouri, USA
To Europeans, look to your own corrupt and fascistic government (the EU) and deal with it. You have no say in our elections, and never will. Why are you afraid of letting your citizens vote on the Lisbon treaty you seek to enslave them with?
A proud Obama supporter.
Jenny, Grand Rapids, MI, US
Excellent article - the US at its very best.
But Mr Thomson - shifting left isn't the answer - it will just re-ignite the culture wars of the past. And citing the UK isn't encouraging given public hostility to the Labour Govt and its policies and the forthcoming electoral meltdown.
Mark, Berkhamsted,
It is true that no Northerner since Kennedy has won the race and no out and out liberal has ever done so. However Obama offers America and the world the opportunity of a LIFETIME TO CHANGE COURSE, to heal, and to live in tolerance. McCain will have a tough time matching this, despite his humanity.
LAKSHMAN PARDHANANI, GOA, India
The healing of the 1960's and Vietnam are most important for America. It has dominated our politics and culture for 40 years. Whether it's the "maverick", or the "first ever" who becomes the Pres, the schism must be closed for America to fulfill our image of ourselves. Either candidate can do it.
Musgrave, Fort Myers, Florida
Good article. Nixon set off a generational shift to the Republicans that is running out of steam as the US greys. Like it or not, the US is shifting away from the Republicans as the population looks for answers to today's pressing issues. That involves a shift leftwards as in 1997 in the UK.
William Thomson, Hong Kong, China
As I have written before Obama is truly the wrong man at the wrong time(no time would be right).
If a man cannot admit his mistakes how can he truly be a leader of men.
You only have to look to the recent past to know what this sort of leader inspires -chaos and disharmony everywhere.
Prudence Eely Bond McGuire, London, England ,UK
McGovern in later life tried to become a small businessman (an innkeeper). He failed and surprisingly blamed his failure on too much government regulation. He apoligized for his earlier misunderstanding of governments role. The difference between him and Obama is that Obama would never apoligize.
Christopher Marks, boca raton, usa