Simon Jenkins
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Exit with honour has for some time been the British Army’s mission in Iraq. The phrase would be murmured over a late-night whisky by Sir Mike Jackson, the former chief of the general staff, on his regular visits to Basra. Here was another fine mess in which idiot politicians had dumped his soldiers and from which they had to be extricated with reputation intact.
Last week’s report that Tony Blair’s troop reductions followed an army ultimatum that enough was enough in Basra rang true. When I first visited Basra three years ago it was a time of hope. “British rule” was working and clearly welcome. The Shatt al-Arab hotel murals record the glory days when this was an Imperial Airways stopover and George Orwell could imagine Basra as the hub of an air-based new world order. Troops patrolled in soft hats and visitors could roam free. Even public services were improving. There was no sign of the northern Mahdi army.
All this success was blown in three years of Blair’s humiliating subservience to Pentagon policy in Baghdad. Even supplies had to be bought from Halliburton rather than from local contractors. A handover to Badr militias that could have insulated the south from Mahdist infiltration was aborted by Washington’s still-futile attempt to invent a new Iraqi army and police corps. “Good Iranians” gave way to bad Iranians. Civic order is a fond memory. Basra’s streets are so dangerous that the British have suffered 70 killed and wounded in the past three months of Operation Sinbad alone. The army has in effect retired to base and must demolish entire police stations to curb police terrorism.
Only the fantasy world inhabited by Blair and Des Browne, his defence secretary, can now claim the four-year British occupation of Basra a success. A country that can be patrolled only by air or in armoured columns is not controlled, let alone governed. Blair promised last week “to publish a plan to develop the port of Basra later this year”. This is outrageous. Where was that plan before the invasion? The one happy note is that when the British leave the Shi’ite south, it should at least be spared the fury of the Shi’ite/Sunni conflict in the north. Mere gang warfare will ensue.
The most serious threat, Blair’s poison pill to Gordon Brown, is what happens when one of the militias challenging for power in the south decides to evict the hapless Iraqi 10th Division from the British bases being vacated, to get their hands on their armour. Does Britain race back in? Or does it join the “virtual interventionism” of most of Nato in Kabul and stick to barracks? This is a wretched predicament in which to place soldiers. Swift withdrawal from Basra must be sensible, so the army can concentrate on “exit with honour” from Afghanistan.
Last week’s decision has given new impetus to the Iraq blame game. Pundits vie for comparisons with the Dardanelles, Crete, Khartoum or Afghanistan. Such efforts demonstrate only that in matters of war politicians remember nothing and learn nothing. What is extraordinary is to watch the same mistakes made in Iraq — basically waiting on policy dictated from Washington — being repeated in the Helmand desert. Browne and his defence ministry profess confidence in their press releases while commanders scream for reinforcements. To expect a British cabinet to remember Crete or the Dardanelles may be asking a lot, but they seem unable to recall the day before yesterday.
With the collapse of parliamentary scrutiny the prime minister answers for his actions only in press interviews. Last week’s encounter with the BBC’s John Humphrys was another eerie voyage to planet Blair. The response to any bad news was, “Well, Saddam was a murderous, bloody tyrant”, and to any criticism, “Well, yunno, I disagree.” Blair regards the laws of cause and effect as inoperable in his case. Remove the framework of government from a nation and the consequence is “not my fault”. If the ensuing mayhem leads to tens of thousands of deaths it is “not my fault”.
If too few troops are sent to restore order and thousands more are killed, responsibility is still denied. Blair no longer seems to believe that conquering, in his war on terror, is about governing, at least when the news is bad. Responsibility is a will-o’-the-wisp, to be grasped for a soundbite and then set free. Criticism is a job delegated to history.
Others are less patient. The latest attempt to trap the prime minister over Iraq is the demand for an inquiry, repeated last week by two former foreign secretaries, Douglas Hurd and Malcolm Rifkind. But while such inquiries may have specific relevance, for instance into equipment or force levels, they are inappropriate in allocating political blame. They are certainly not going to trick ministers into that interviewer’s dream, “an apology”.
Blair has already staged three inquiries into the preliminaries to the 2003 invasion of Iraq: Hutton, Butler and a charade staged by the parliamentary security committee. He won each of them, with help from his friendly MP, Ann Taylor, now a life peer. But he won for a good reason. The inquiries were viewed by the media as hanging committees, which is not what public inquiries are for.
Lord Franks’s report into the Falklands war was widely seen as a whitewash of the Thatcher government’s failure to deter the Argentine invasion of 1982. That failure was unquestionably culpable and, had the islands not been recaptured, would have been cause for Margaret Thatcher’s resignation. Yet Franks exonerated her.
When I subsequently asked him why, he declared that it was not the job of public officials to do democracy’s job. It was to find facts and let the public reach its own conclusions. (This failed to explain his exoneration.)
I believe Franks to be right. It is hard to imagine an inquiry that would have made Blair resign over Iraq. If Hutton or Butler had concluded that Downing Street had “cooked” prewar intelligence on Iraq and, plague the thought, tried to scare the British people witless to justify going to war, Blair would have shrugged and said, “I guess you just can’t stop Alastair being Alastair.” As it was, Hutton and Butler behaved like Franks, as dutiful courtiers. The constitution should find other ways of calling government to account.
The most obvious dog that did not bark over Iraq was the cabinet. Almost all Blair’s predecessors regarded themselves as vulnerable to their cabinets. In moments of crisis this is the body that supports or topples a prime minister. It is the central institution of government, composed of the leader’s friends, rivals and potential successors. The party in parliament takes its lead from this oligarchy, as does the party in the country. So tight has the cabinet remained under Blair that it has held a hostile Labour party loyal to his Iraq policy. This phenomenon undoubtedly fed Blair’s sense of omnipotence.
While too much can be made of Blair’s impact on the constitution (or that of any prime minister), his electoral supremacy undoubtedly altered the dynamics of accountability. With the support of ministers and MPs his only challenge came from Brown, which was manageable. No prime minister, perhaps none since Walpole, has been so free of plots and threats to his position as Blair. He could do anything he liked.
There is thus no “blame for Iraq” to investigate. Blair claims the credit and takes the blame. Britain elected a prime minister with so strong a majority that he could overwhelm the normal checks placed on his office. At home he had nothing more urgent to do than press on with Thatcherism in the public services, but his craving for a world role led him to fall for the vague and seductive ideology of global neo-conservatism. It was an ideology that also captured the office that Blair so admired, the American presidency under George W Bush. From then on he was at the mercy of decisions taken in Washington. His inability to influence those decisions astonished those around him. In none of the 20 books on Iraq on my shelf do Blair and Britain merit more than passing references.
From the earliest stage of Blair’s bid for the Labour leadership, his aim was to establish absolute control through the leader’s office. Command, delivery, target setting, “Napoleonism” were the orders of each day. Centre was always right. What Tony wants always ruled.
The greatest irony is that the one policy that has wrecked his legacy is the one over which he sacrificed that control, Iraq.
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i have only just came back from afghanistan on friday past. and have read my brothers comment just now. i agree whole heartedly with all he has said, and would like to add my own opinion to my brothers views. for a start i just need to reiterate what too few people have been saying, and that is to get behind us 100%. gone are the days when the whole country is in full support of us, and we know this, but most people need to forget about how well our rifles are performing or how good our radios are. what we all really want is recognition from the public as a whole. then it would not matter if we were fighting with bows and arrows! we would still be doing the job we have volunteered to do, it is a great honour for most of us to wear our uniform, but that honour would be so much more satisfying if we had the understanding of joe public! ''To be prepared for peace, we have to be prepared for war!'' Gen Patton.
From Airtrooper Big Mac. 9 Regiment Army Air Corps.
karl mcmeekin, thirsk, north yorkshire
"In order to enjoy the joys of liberty,we must undergo the fatigues of supporting it" Thomas Paine. Read it and weep you weakminded anti-war mongers. To enjoy the liberty of the quality of life that we have today in the West,men must go to war. Cause and effect. Get over it or at least let our brave soldiers,my brother included who is currently in Afghanistan,get on with their job of keeping the rest of the freedom loving western world free of armed terrorists roaming our streets! Support them,its the least we can all do.
Robin McMeekin, Portrush, Northern Ireland
The disaster in Iraq is but one of Blair's sins.
The disaster in Afghanistan preceded it. No more a just war than Iraq, but a concerted effort by all the highly place drug dealers in the world to get the Taliban out of the way and get the opium flowing again.
Apart from big-time heroin dealers like George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton, the West cannot survive without opium.
Find me one person in the UK who has not at some time taken a dose of an opium derivative, prescribed or otherwise.
No army today would take one step toward action without huge numbers of medics carrying large quantities of morphine.
Ever since the British Empire seized Bengal for its opium crops, this magical medicine and its derived damaging drugs have dominated world politics -- even more than oil.
Cashel Boylo, Los Angeles, California
Whilst it is fair to blame Blair for Iraq or even half baked constitutional reform he is not to blame for mass immigration; the British Electorate have only themselves to blame for voting in a referendum to stay in the EU; the greatest disaster to befall Britain since Hitler.
Ronnie Ince, Stone, Staffordshire
Simon. I think it is the pseling error. It is the Water loo That had all the pipes burst and Mr. Tony Blaire is holding on to the hose pipe that is dry only sand and blood in this. Well done. Thank you. You know how to to tackle the guys where did you leran SUMO
Firozali A Mulla MBA PhD, Dar-Es-Salaam, Tanzania
WOW!! Thank You!! Good Journalism is an endangered species & one rarely see,s it in public these days,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, What Does the P.M. have to say..........Good Morning Sir, How was your nap?? Did you have any bad dreams?? No, all the dreams were good ones, but this wake up is a bad one. Don't worry, George has a message from N01. for you. He is quite pleased with your latest question time performance. He say that the glory of the emterprise is about to dawn........................he said......................
Thomas Ward, Katama, U.S.A.
Every word of your article is true, Simon. Many parts of Basra are even now no go areas for the British Army despite Operation Spinbad. So much for the rosy picture of 'Let's go while things are going so well' - Blair's fantasy strapline for his own exit and ''legacy''. The link says it all:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=7565602&ft=1&f=3
Tony, Glasgow, UK
So you are still playing the same old record, you obviously don't seem to learn from history because you are stuck in groundhog day. Iraq is not the new Waterloo, in fact it is the new nothing, it is a unique in many regards situation. It is amazing how such opponents of the war take the moral high ground and point to the horror and death that has happened in Iraq since the invasion. I don't seem to remember you carping on, day after day after day, about the deaths of the hundreds of thousands of people under Sadam's regime. You turned a convenient blind eye then didn’t you! Was it out of sight out of mind, or did such deaths not present you with any pertinent political daggers? The hypocrisy of antiwar campaigners amazes me, they want a safe and peaceful world with the freedoms they love, yet are not prepared to do, or let others do, what is necessary to achieve it. Yours is a dangerous and unworkable ideology immoral in its naivety.
J W Randall, Edinburgh,
Good article
tom, London, UK
Is there anything really left to discuss on Iraq from a British perspective anymore, except, how many more young service lives will be wasted and lost and the cost both emotionally and fiscally to the British people?
Who cares about exit with honour. Bring them all home safe NOW!
The outcome will be the same regardless.
FS SUMMERS, LONDON,
Mr Jenkins is certainly correct in saying that, during his tenure, Mr Blair has continued to persue Thacherism in the public services at home.
I feel, however, that Mr Blair's motives for allying himself to the American cause and going to war in Iraq owe less to his own 'craving for a world role' and more to his honestly trying to maintain Britain's elevated position on the world stage.
Ever since the British Empire was at its height, Britain has punched above its economic weight internationally. It is my feeling that Mr Blair's decision to support the US in Iraq was his own clumsy attempt to preserve or even better this international standing.
In the future, as we look back on Mr Blair's foriegn policy in Iraq, it may be a little unfair to see him as hungering after a position of Napolionic statesmanship. I think we can probably absolve him of that kind of personal scheming as regards foriegn policy. More likely his decisions have been clumsy and basically, a bit crap.
Paul Goatman, Derby, UK
Mr. Jenkins believes that Saddam's departures, free elections and the writing of a Constitution are failures. To me such thinking is sad.
jai khosla, New York, new york/usa
Simon Jenkins writes: "Britain elected a prime minister with so strong a majority that he could overwhelm the normal checks placed on his office."
Is this not the crux of the problem? We need to separate election of the executive from election of parliament. Only then will our democracy have an adequacy of checks and balances, and the necessary lack of "pre-eminence" of any one part of the establishment.
Roll on a directly elected executive prime minister under a constitutional head of state.
Best regards
Nigel Sedgwick, Beaconsfield, UK
There is of course one event which is unmentioned by Simon Jenkins. Just what would be the state of the Parliamentary Labour Party today if Robin Cook had not met an untimely demise on a Scottish mountain? I have the feeling there would be a serious challenger to Brown, uncontaminated by Iraq. Besides, I disagree that Iraq is "the one policy that has wrecked his (Blair's) legacy". What about half baked constitutional reform? The threatened breakup of the UK? Unwanted and unsustainable mass immigration?
Richard Marriott, Kidderminster, England
Can't fault your arguement. What I find incomprehensible is that policies that have failed are being repeated vis-a-vis the Middle East, see now even with Iran. What is it with this Government and their narrow, amoral conceptualisation of the national interest. They have endangered it and brought us into disrepute yet still Blair wants to carry on as if he's right. The impact of his refusal to accept blame and the denial to the British people of their 'pound of flesh' for his betrayal through democractic accountability will be felt in growing radicalisation - and not just of Muslim youth. Upset about anything, take direct action, you will only be charged with terrorism if you happen to be Muslim and you are upset with foreign policy. That too is Blair's dangerous legacy.
papertiger, Bromley,
Chirac told him so: but as usual, all what is said to a British by an arrogant French is to be disdaigned...
Right from the beginning, the SDECE knew exactly what would happen, except the generalisation of suicide bombing that surprised finally everybody. Irak, like other Arab countries, have to be ruled by a strong man: who can be so stupid to believe that democracy can live in those countries with so many different tribes, with such different religious minds... Yes democracy that allows big firms to buy the essence of a country and ruin it after several shareholders greeding decisions...Surprising from England that had the experience of the country by creating Koweit...,
FRANCOIS, RIGA, LATVIA
I believe it has been a fisco from the beginning and I do feel sorry for our troops but also for the Iraqi civillians caught up in this horror show. As Simon Jenkins points out in his excellent article Blair has far exagerated his role in the whole thing, I remember Rumsfield offered us a way out pre-invasion and simply said that the USA would continue without us , Blair had to stand shoulder to shoulder with Bush on the invasion but as soon as that was accomplished he should have angled a way out for our troops having seen the looting etc. and a complete lack of planning .As a result we are still stuck there and Blair still refuses to accept any responsiblty other than to say the overthrow of Saddam and freedom for the Iraqi people were his real objectives and the weapons of mass destruction of no real importance, and yet he denied it was about regime change before the illegal invasion.He must think that we are all as deluded as he obviously is, the sooner the man goes the better.
william beeby, dover, england
I was chilled to read that Blair will be handing over battle tanks to those remaining in Basra when we leave. Say it isn't true!
Brian Lewis, Manila, Philippines
How can Blair state that "bringing democracy to Iraq" was worth the bloodshed that followed when he so overtly ignores his own democratic process in Parliament and in Britain?
Caroline Kennedy, San Jose, Costa Rica
I am sure that we wont get reasonable, balanced international policy until we abandon this meaningless word democracy. Probably not even then, reading your description of this mess that surrounds the middle east, but it is worth trying.
Henry Percy, London, UK
I don't understand your title? Waterloo was a great British & Prussian victory, I don't think Basra will be.
Afghanistan might well be though!
A STANDLEY, Doncaster,
I think that Terry Daly misses the point. Our democratic system has its flaws which allow a Prime Minister with 'so strong a majority that he could overwhelm the normal checks placed on his office'. With half the people in society disengaged from politics such a majority can be had from a minority of the electorate, this should not be considered a mandate and without the normal checks what is there to control the excesses of an individual?
Andy Northridge, Maidstone, Kent
Well, at least you can say that Blair has a 100% record as his legacy. Along with the invasion of Iraq there is not a single thing his government has made a success of. NHS, Education. Immigration, Law and Order ect ect ect
D Case, Newquay, uk
A further comparison with Walpole's government is that this has been the the most venal and corrupt since the Norfolk apple eater commanded the Commons for some twenty years. Thank God Blair is going after ten !
David West, Templecombe, Somerset
To suggest that democracy in Iraq is working is a sick joke and the spin that its a success has been perpetuated by Bush & Blair to try and legitimize an illegal war. Democracies in the west were formed from within those counties, by the common people and have never been imposed from outside. The only case where external force was used with success required the partitioning of the Balkans to halt a civil war and and allow ethnic boundaries to define the new member states. Exactly the same could work in Iraq if Bush/Blair had followed the same route but trying to mix three ethnic groups was predicted not to work, is not working and certainly will never work. Reading the comments from Terry Daly suggest to me he's on planet Blair along with all the other neo-cons who are in denial over the reality of Iraq today. There is a civil war going on, the US/UK allowed it to happen, were unable to stop it and for the record, Britain pulled out of Afghanistan once before as it was ungovernable.
Mike, Denia, Spain
The last comment was ironic right?
Its cut and run or stay and be pushed. The invasion supporters got there war and the Iranians got handed thr gift of a broken western army with its strength evaporating.
Terry there are a lot of vacancies in the army at the moment you could join up? or how about pay some voluntary tax for this war and sell your house to buy the troops some gear?
Jeremy, Stockbridge, Hampshire
Liberals should decide amongst themselves whether they think it was right for British troops to be deployed in Bosnia, Kosovo, Sierra Leone, Afganistan and Iraq. I believe that it was morally right each time, that British troops have saved thousands of lives by interposing themselves between factions who would otherwise have slaughtered each other, that the individual British soldiers who undertake these thankless tasks are true heroes. In Iraq, it is better to have tried and - possibly - failed than not to have tried at all. Maybe the locals will pull back from the brink after we leave...the reputation of the British Army will be intact.
Len Angel, Motueka, NZ
Spot on! The media compares Iraq to Suez, a pathetic little 6 day misadventure. Mr jenkins is correct. It is comparable to the First World War, the Dardanelles etc. Iraq is lost and Afghanistan will go the same way. Those who refuse to study history will suffer the consequences. Unfortunately, we will all have to live with the consequences of a Middle East in disarray, speeading terrorism and other side effects from the assymetric wars we have been pushed into by a criminal elite in Washington and London. .
oldasiahand, Hong Kong,
Only Jenkins and his fellow liberals dare to claim that establishing democracy in Iraq is a 'failure'. You won't get the democratic majority in Iraq joining in with Jenkins and his ilk, that's for sure.
Come to think of it, you won't get the democratic majority in Britain doing so either, if the last General Election is anything to go by. ' Britain elected a prime minister with so strong a majority that he could overwhelm the normal checks placed on his office', writes Jenkins, with barely concealed contempt for such action by his fellow countrymen.
No wonder Jenkins and the rest of the liberal minority want to cut and run from Iraq and Afghanistan. Democratism is the last ideology these craven democraphobes want spread around the world. That's because liberalism, like Islamism, is contemptuous of the will of the democratic majority. Oh, Churchill, thou shouldst be living at this hour!
Terry Daly, London, Great Britain