Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Welcome to Gazastan! This is how the Arab media greeted the seizure of control by Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Although some have blamed the fighting on “the international community”, Israel, and even George W. Bush, what is happening is prompted by intra-Palestinian political rivalries. The fighting has three causes: immediate, medium-term and long-term.
The immediate cause is the desire by Hamas to bring the security apparatus of Fatah, its rival group in Gaza, under its own control. Months of negotiations with the help of Saudi Arabia failed to persuade Fatah to put its security forces under government (which in practice meant Hamas) command.
To Hamas, Fatah’s security machine, led by Muhammad Dahlan, is little better than “the Zionist enemy”. Dahlan, for his part, knew that, without his machine, he would have little chance of making a bid for the presidency when the incumbent, Mahmoud Abbas, is forced out. Dahlan ran a lucrative protection racket in Gaza, set up by the late Yassir Arafat and his family, to bankroll Fatah.
Having expelled Fatah, Hamas takes over this protection racket. Despite a $250 million cash gift from Tehran, Hamas has been short of money for almost a year. Thus, seizing control of Arafat’s business empire in Gaza will be a godsend.
The medium-term cause of the fighting is Hamas’s desire to push the wooden nail into the heart of the Oslo accords, the “undead” that haunts Palestinian politics with the elusive prospect of a two-state solution.
Fatah bought into the two-state philosophy in the 1990s. It regards Gaza and the West Bank as pieces of a jigsaw that, put together, would make an independent Palestinian state that would exist alongside Israel. The constitution of Hamas, however, commits it to the creation of a single state. Gaza and the West Bank are regarded as bases from which the struggle for the liberation of the entire mandate of Palestine, that is to say the elimination of Israel, is pursued for as long as necessary.
The longer-term cause of the duel is the deep ideological divisions in Palestinian society: Hamas is religious, Fatah secular. Hamas is pan-Islamist, Fatah Palestinian nationalist.
Although Gaza has been Hamas’s principal base for a decade, the presence of Fatah’s armed security networks prevented the pan-Islamist movement from reshaping the enclave according to its radical ideology. Hamas is part of the Muslim Brotherhood, an international movement dedicated to creating a single global Islamic state. For it, Palestine is no more than a small corner of Dar al-Islam (the House of Islam) that must one day defeat Dar al-Kufr (the House of the Infidel) to unite mankind under its banner.
In a talk to students at Tehran University a few months ago, Ismail Haniyah, the Hamas Prime Minister fired yesterday by President Abbas, cautioned against “the trap of nationalism”, which he described as a “Zionist-Crusader conspiracy” to divide Muslims across national lines. To be sure, Haniyah wants a Palestine as much as Dahlan does, but not just any old Palestine. Haniyah wants a Palestine that covers the entire 22,000sq km of the old British mandate, not the 5,000 sq km of Gaza and West Bank that Fatah has accepted. He also wants an Islamic Palestine in which Sharia, not Western-style law, is in force.
Having won the general election 18 months ago, Hamas launched a drive to “Islamicise” Gaza, forcing women to wear the hijab and men to grow beards. It burnt down the last beer factory in Gaza and banned the sale of alcoholic drinks. Bands of youths calling themselves “Brigades of Enforcing the Good and Combating Evil” raid homes in search of alcohol, Western music and videos, unIslamic T-shirts and other “sinful items”. Young men and women found together in public, or even in private cars, are stopped and interrogated to make sure unmarried couples do not violate Sharia rules.
Hamas is convinced that time is running out for Israel and that, with Islam experiencing a global renaissance, the chance of victory against the “Infidel”, in this particular corner of the world, is rising by the day. Exclusive control of Gaza will enable Hamas to devise a low-intensity pincer war against Israel with the help of Hezbollah in Lebanon, supported by Iran and Syria. Hamas is also encouraged that, for the first time in two decades, several regional powers, including Iran, Syria, and Libya, support its “one-state” strategy.
Fatah’s analysis, however, is based on the assumption that the longer the “two-state” solution is delayed, the smaller the chances of creating a viable Palestinian state.
By expelling Fatah, Hamas will have exclusive control over an area that accounts for almost half of all Palestinians in the occupied territories. Fatah has retaliated with “cleansing” operations against Hamas supporters in the West Bank. As things are shaping up, Gaza could end up as Hamas-land while the West Bank becomes Fatah-land. And, that, if anything, looks like a three-state scenario: a Jewish one in Israel, a secular Arab nationalist one in the West Bank, and an Islamist one in Gaza. And that means bigger troubles ahead.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
If the local people were allowed to settle their own boarders, it might have been according to the Faisal Weizmann agreement from 1919. Later Britain added the rest of Jordan to the mandate, and Faisal refused to accept it. If not Israel might have be approximately post 1967 but including east bank of Jordan as well.
Trond, Oslo, Norway
Israel is Nuclear nation launching it's sattelites, leading the world hig-tech r&d, selling diamonds,weaponry systems worldwide.
Do you know that Pentium's been engineered & made in Israel? having cutting edge medical services and so on. Did I mention the army? And devoted jews from all over the world coming in and building a country... and the thing arabs cannot understand is that Israel for us is the only home the divine idea th dream we'll fight and die for. God gave them blessing
Miserable arabs of territories. no hope for them. today - hamas robbed and burned Arafat's house stealing it's belonging's togehter with his golden medal of Nobel prize.
all these years - no building just fight, rob, burn hatred education suicidal bombings. there's no future for them.
chaos & balagan.
hope one day a collective change in the state of mind of arabs will lead them to the conclusion that this's time to move on, recognize israel, start to educate, build, develope their nation.
Ian, Jerusalem, The State Of Israel
It's somewhat chilling that apparently civilised people like Jon Livesey see such a human tragedy first and foremost as a confirmation of one side or the other's propaganda. Isn't that an interpretation best left to those standing on tables and waving AK-47s?
This is really just confirmation that if you brutalise people for long enough, they turn into brutes. As if the world really needed another such confirmation.
To count individual grievances in the process of brutalisation and assign them to one or other tribe is to join in the game of pretending that the bloodshed serves some purpose. It doesn't. The squabble may date all the way back to the Bronze Age, but it's still just a squabble between a handful of small and interbred tribes, which can only end when those on _all_ sides who think they have a vested interest in violence are treated with the contempt they deserve.
Ian Kemmish, Biggleswade, UK
Inshallah to Hamas, there will be no 2 state solution. 5 million Jews surrounded on 3 sides by 400 million Arabs, Hamas sees clearly the only inevitable end result, an Arab dominated Palestine, from the river Jordan to the Mediterranean. This is how it has been for centuries, when the money from the west dries up, this is how it will all end.
In 200 years there will be no Israel and people will be wondering what all the fuss and bloodshed was about.
akram, London,
hamas was voted in by the people of palestine. i believe after years of corruption and misrule ,they wanted the change for the better.i assume when the people voted for hamas they knew the kind of society that would develop once hamas started to rule.maybe it is diffcult for the western media to understand life without beer,western music and unislamic t shirts,.why trivialise the whole struggle to there materialistic views.
im not a muslim .i dont agree with thier ideology but i believe there is a huge lack of understanding about ,middle eastern societies.people reading your column might think that life was wonderful under fatah ,with a few people who have stolen money and living lavish lives ,whereas the rest of the population continues to struggle everyday,giving their lives to what they beileve is right.
manoj, ramala, palestine
I always chuckle when anyone refers to the, "Middle East peace process". There is no peace and there will not be. The worst is yet to come and will be coming for a long, long time.
Bruce Northwood, Washington, D.C., USA
In my view you only have to look at a map and be aware of the population figures to see what the root cause of this whole unpleasantness is: not enough space.
What the Palestinians need to do now is reclaim huge areas of land from the sea, as the Venetians and the Dutch did centuries ago, to free up some space. Come to that, why not negotiate a purchase of a sizeable chunk of Egypt adjacent to Gaza (and not heavily populated) - remember the Louisiana purchase? - there are precedents - I'm sure the US and the EU would stump up the price.
Then they can have mini-referendums on who wants to live with compulsory beards and headscarves, and who needs a stiff gin and tonic come sun-up and divide themselves around accordingly . PROBLEM SOLVED !!!!!
RIV
Riviere, Oxford, UK
If all of this is correct, then it would seem to afford ample reason to disarm Iran -- the pricipal funder, supplier, and 'moral' supporter -- in full. Break Iran and break the back of this lunatic movement in an instant. Is not everyone aghast at the thought of these 'virtue police' running about ensuring all wear beards or headscarves, not drink alcohol, & cet.?
Maynard, Oxford, UK
So,
Knowing all this, why does the EU consort with and support Hamas, knowing that they want to commit genocide in Israel, export terrorism to Europe and install an Islamic world order under Sharia law?
Are you folks that suicidal, or just very dense?
G S, alexandria, USA
Anir,
A correction to your analysis. The old British mandate of Palestine included (Trans)Jordan whcih was ripped away by Churchill in 1922 and given to the Emir Abdullah. Abdullah initially wanted to call his kingdom "The Hashemite Kingdom of Palestine" but was blocked by the British. Israel (pre-1967)actually constiutes about only 10% of Palestine.
Dr. Simon Barak, Midreshet Ben-Gurion, Israel
"But they're culpable too, as they always have been."
It's funny. When inocents are killed in Israel by missiles it's murder. When innocents are killed in the Palestinian territories they are getting what they deserve.
It strikes me that there are some pretty unhumane supporters of Israel as there are of Palestine.
The word empathy should be explained to many of the sofa fighters of this conflict.
Pedro, Odivelas, Portugal
We cozy up to Pakistan which is ruled post-coup d'etat so why not Hamasstan?
Tariq, ashford,
Of course the 'Left' has been quick to jump on the let's blame Israel bandwagon, ignoring the facts. Hamas would have used any money, currently held by Israel, in its efforts to eliminate the Jewish State and the political suicide of an Israeli government assisting in its own destruction. Until we recognise that falling into the trap, so beloved of Arab and Islamic regimes and their supporters, of blaming anyone and everyone but themselves, for their constant failures and ineptitude, we will never solve any problems in the Middle East.
Jonathan Klineberg, Truro,
I think that things may not be as bad as you think for Israel and the West. The scenes of extreme violence that have been broadcast in the past days have finally exploded the claims that Palestinians are peaceful people suffering under the Israeli heel. The clarity with which Islamic divisions have emerged and the treachery of the Hamas attack - after multiple cease-fires to which Hamas voluntarily agreed - have removed the pretexts that have been so useful to anti-semitic elements in the western press.
Israel is now faced with a situation which superficially presents more physical danger, but its position is immeasurably strengthened by the discrediting of western pro-Palestinian advocates. In the past they were able to present Palestinian attacks on Israel under a guise of anti-colonialism, but now they will be forced to deal with the fact that future attacks will come from an openly terrorist organization Palestine has finally had its Night of the Long Knives.
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/US
Amir,
The problems go on and on, don't they? It was a smart move by Ariel Sharon to have Israel withdraw unilaterally from Gaza. Now it's clear to the world how the Palestinians run things, left to themselves.
From before 1948, the Palestinians have been the pawns of evil forces in surrounding countries. But they're culpable too, as they always have been.
I think Israel is likely to leave Gaza and the West Bank pretty much to themselves, responding only when Israel is attacked. So things will go on much as they are.
With Hamas in control in Gaza, possibly there'll be some disaffected Fatah people in Gaza willing to collaborate secretly with Israel against Hamas.
Kookaburra, Blackwood SA, Australia
The three-state solution
S.W. Massil, London,