Iain Duncan Smith
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Britain has sleepwalked into a fierce military engagement in Helmand province in Afghanistan, blind to the strategic consequences of doing so. When we first deployed troops in the province, the Defence Secretary at the time said he “hoped” they would be out without firing a shot. Since then, our troops have had to be reinforced and now find themselves holding the line between the Kabul Government and the Taleban.
The British Army is fighting a war on two fronts with resources depleted by defence cuts. Not surprisingly, the military chiefs decided something had to give – and the powers that be chose Iraq. The Iraq war is unpopular at home and the pressure for more troops and equipment in Afghanistan grows daily. Afghanistan v Iraq: it’s a “no brainer”. Or is it?
Of course, supporting the fledgeling democratic Government in Kabul is important; but Iraq is much more strategically vital. It is galling that after all the hard work our forces have put in to stabilising Iraq, their withdrawal should be seen by the world as a retreat. But by failing to get the balance of priorities right between Iraq and Afghanistan we have only ourselves to blame.
The UK is America’s most capable ally in Iraq. Other Western nations such as Germany and France steadfastly refuse to be involved militarily, citing their opposition to the war – although the recent foiled bomb plots in Germany show that that cuts no ice with al-Qaeda. However, France and Germany supported the Afghan war and, given our commitment in Iraq, their forces should now be deployed in Helmand province, not ours. Yet they won’t do their bit. The British Government should have been raising merry hell with them every time our ministers meet, telling them their failure to face up to their responsibilities is shameful. Yet little seems to happen.
It is strange that, at the moment General Petraeus is demonstrating that the surge in US forces is yielding results in Baghdad and beyond, the British seem to quit the field. It sends all the wrong signals to the insurgents and Iran, which stands to gain enormously from the British departure. This is a strategic mistake at a time when we are trying to apply international pressure on Iran to stop developing nuclear weapons.
The problems in Iraq are great but the rewards for success are also huge. Al-Qaeda has thrown everything into Iraq and to show it can be beaten would send shockwaves around the world. A democratic Iraq is a challenge to the violent ideology of militant Islam, and would stabilise the whole region in a way Afghanistan cannot. After all the superhuman effort over the past few years, a precipitate British withdrawal, which has its roots in our appallingly underfunded and undermanned army, makes no sense.
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The problem with Germany, if it is a problem, is they have a constitution which we forced on them after World War II. It prevents them going to war without the full backing of their ministers. They will not provide that backing - so do not blame the population as a whole.
We do not have the authority anymore, after the Iraq fiasco, to go round telling other countries what to do. We made a mistake in Iraq and it is hight time we admitted it so we can move on.
Richard, Plymouth,
In the case of Afghanistan, honestly ask yourself: If we only think in terms of the âTalibanâ label, do we understand what may be a far more complex situation? Can the western backed and funded Kabul administration, whose writ barely extends to the limits of the city, gain effective control of the country if it is seen by many there as a foreign imposition? Can air strikes on guerilla forces blending into the population that also kill large numbers of civilians on a regular basis, crush or inflame the will of the armed resistance? Can infrastructure projects engender Pashtun acquiescence if they see things in terms of foreign armies forcibly and fundamentally changing their culture? Can Pakistan forcibly alter any part of this equation if it is increasingly seen by Pashtun on both sides of the Durand Line as a western proxy and cannot even control its own ungoverned areas where of course, most Pashtun reside, not to mention bin Laden? If Afghanistan is the Good War, exactly how and when can we win it?
Tarquinis, Seattle, USA
Mod
The German and French refusal to join in Iraq had a lot to do with their largely pacifist populations and significant financial ties to the Hussein regime. I do not recall any mention being made that joining in Iraq would make Afghanistan a failure. That notion seems a bit absurd. The idea that two medium sized countries with medium sized populations and no viable militaries cannot be pacified by the world's most capable militaries from its wealthiest nations does not make much sense.
What your callous assessment overlooks (as well) is that there will quite likely be grave consequences for the world including France and Germany should the current effort in Iraq fail. I was not at all for the initial "adventure" in Iraq. That however is quite irrelevant to my position today. Whether we should have gone or not has nothing to do with the interests and very real consequences that have come into play now that we are there.
John-Michael, Springfield, IL
'roots in our appallingly underfunded and undermanned army. hype hype hype'
Rubbish!
JJ, London,
Ian Duncan Smith is absolutely right about Iraq, we should stay there for as long as the Americans do. But he is wrong
about Afghanistan, we need to stay there too. If we withdraw
Al Quada will open a new front somewhere else, we are in a
war situation and need to win. Britain has 36 infantry battalions, 3 Marine battalions, 6 tank regiments- a total of
45 battlegroups and yet we are told the army cannot maintain
3 battlegroups in the field in Iraq and 4 battlegroups in
Afghanistan at the same time. Britain has 108,000 soldiers
and marines and we are told we cannot maintain 13,000 of
them in Iraq/Afghanistan. SOMETHING WRONG HERE.
Roderick, Hampshire, England
Does Mr Duncan Smith not appreciate that wars must be fought on more than one front on occassion. Al Qaeda's defeat is dependant on more than efforts in Iraq. Two principal hubs from which Islamic extremism is encouraged and spread are Iran and Pakistan directly and through third party countries such as Syria and Afghanistan. Containing the threat from both countries is essential in defeating militant Islamic terrorism. Should we withdraw from Afghanistan, extremist Pakistani and Iranian elements would undoubtedly strengthen their influence in Afghanistan and undo much progressive work.
Afghanistan has been a pawn in the great game for almost 200 years. Since the Soviet withdrawal of 1989 and its stategic redundancy in global politics the country has torn itself apart and has since festered as a hot bed for terrorism and narcotics production. It is endemically damaged after 27 years of civil unreset, desert it now and turn the clock back to pre 2001.
Charlie Tryon, Kabul, Afghanistan
The answer is pretty simple. If "...the British Army is fighting a war on two fronts with resources depleted by defence cuts...", then obviously the solution it is to reverse the defence cuts and build the military up so that it can fight a two front war. Problem solved.
SJ, Palo Alto,
We first attacked Afghanistan because of the 9-11 horror and we should have concentrated on it until we eliminated al Qaeda and OBL. The Iraqi "Fiasco" created by Cheney, Bush, Rumsfeld, et al, sucked the Brits in and they are correct to leave Basra and Iraq in general. If we only had the good sense to follow their lead. Iraq is a lost cause, illegitimately started and will never be resolved to the satisfaction of the US oil interests.
W. Skudder, Tucson, AZ, USA
Some contrition on Iain Duncan Smith's part over the Iraq debacle would be welcome. Iraq has been the worst British foreign policy disaster since Suez, and it is one that Duncan Smith played a significant role - as one of Britain's the most prominent supporters of the invasion he was being feted by George Bush and the Neocons long after being replaced by the Conservative Party.
Until those who got us into this Iraq nightmare can explain where they went wrong and what they've learnt, I don't see how they've got anything credible to say about foreign policy. Why we should listen to them again?
John Spence, London,
Given that Basra has been suprisingly peaceful since the British troops moved to the airport the experiment has demonstrated that it is in fact the occupying troops that the people there are fighting.
We claimed we weren't there to occupy Iraq, if that is so, eventually we must leave, so we should move back to bases away from the towns, until the Iraqi forces have established themselves moving back if necessary, then leave the country.
"Al Quaeda" seems to be a catch all for "muslim fighters that want to fight the Americans", rather than a distinct organised force, as such, the middle east is always going to be "full of Al Quaeda" because that's where the muslims that want to fight Americans are.
JonB, Glasgow, UK
Since France and Germany argued against the invasion of Iraq precisely because it would lead to failure in Afghanistan (as well) I think they are now perfectly justified in watching the UK and the US stew and suffer.
Mod, London,
The opposition in Iraq is far too strong with far too much local support for the US to win. The best they can hope for is an Iraqi administration that manges not to be an Iranian puppet.
In Afghanistan, if the US would only stop bombing poppy fields ( a tall order I know but one can hope), the Taleban would not be an insurmountable foe.
Furthermore, both the US and UK armies are at breaking point. Iraq is simply too big a consumer of military resources.
Eddie Reader, birmingham, uk
Bang on.
S. Hecht, Houston, US
I expected more thoughtful opinion from Mr. Duncan Smith as ex-Tory Leader. It seems that Mr Smith neither knows Iraq nor Afghanistan. As an Internationa Relations Student , I think It,s very reasonable and strategic priority for Britain that British forces quit from Iraq and Afghanistan both at same time. It is very probable that Britain will engage with increasing powerful Iranian in these two vountries and its situation get worse.
Best
Mehrab, London,
You are the last Tory leader I remember liking.
Fernandez, San Francisco,