Tim Montgomerie
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Critics of George W. Bush's Middle East policy are hoping for a change in direction once America's 43rd President has left the White House. The foreign offices of Europe all hope for more multilateralism. More realpolitik. Less sabre-rattling.
The critics have a problem, however. In reality, Team Bush has largely been following European approaches to foreign policy for most of the world's troublespot nations.
Take Pakistan. The “realist school” couldn't honestly disapprove of any aspect of Bush's dealings with Islamabad. American taxpayers have financed a military dictator in the hope that Musharraf will suppress the fundamentalists and provide logistical support for Nato operations in Afghanistan. Has this worked? No. Islamic militancy is mushrooming.
Musharraf has often bargained with the political patrons of the madrassas in order to stymie his democratic opponents. If he falls, the Pakistan people may see America as the nation that propped up the regime that introduced martial law and warped the constitution.
It's all too reminiscent of its relationship with the Shah of Iran in the 1970s. When it comes to present-day Iran, Team Bush has been patiently multilateralist. Washington allowed the years to pass as Europe promised to negotiate an end to Tehran's nuclear plans. As it became obvious that the talks were failing, the Americans turned to the United Nations. Russia and China have vetoed any significant action.
Something akin to neoconservatism has only really been pursued in Iraq. Even the keenest supporters of the war readily agree that dreadful mistakes have been made. Nonetheless, the tide is now turning. Violence has halved. The progress of the “surge” is increasingly apparent.
Rushing to judgment is hardwired into our 24/7 news culture, but it probably won't be possible to evaluate the mix'n'match Bush foreign policies for years ahead. The bungled road to a democratic Iraq has been far too bloody but it's now perfectly sensible to believe that Bush's pre-emptive war may have sown the seeds for what could be the least troubled nation of the region in a decade's time. The multilateral approach to Iran may leave us with a nuclear-armed Tehran terrorising Israel and holding the world to ransom over oil supplies.
When it comes to foreign policy the next US president has to remember that America is most effective when the world's only policeman is seen as strong, as in the immediate aftermath of the Iraq invasion. Libya disarmed. The Khan nuclear exchange programme was exposed. Syria withdrew from Lebanon. Problems multiplied when America looked unwilling to commit necessary troops to finish the first battles of the War on Terror. A weak America, tied down by do-nothing multilateralists, is the last thing our dangerous world needs.
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<b>America is insolvent and cannot afford to keep its empire. </b?
What empire are you referring to? Guam, USVI and Puerto Rico? I agree we should leave Germany and SK today except we're under treaty obligations to stay. If we have this vast empire I'd at least expect some tribute from our vassal states.
bandit, Boston, MA
"America is insolvent and cannot afford to keep its empire." Liberty Searcher, Redhill, UK
Just a wee bit of transferrence. To inject a few facts into your argument: America does not have an "empire", and we are far from insolvent.
suzyque, Fly-over Country, America
America is insolvent and cannot afford to keep its empire. The US government funds its extravagence by printing money and going further into debt. This in combination with soaring medical care costs and social programs is a terrible inheritance for the young people of America.
The same problem exists in the UK, but unlike America where political activism is growing (Ron Paul's online popularity being an excellent example), young people in the UK are too absorbed in Big Brother, X Factor and all the other drivel they are constantly fed, to realize our government too is stealing their future prosperity to pay for today. Tragic!
Liberty Searcher, Redhill, UK
You are absolutely right!
I've no doubt this will draw the moonbats out of their anarchic dens to decry you.
Fernandez, San Francisco,
So you are saying, in effect, that George W Bush didn't kick enough ass? Who are you encouraging - the Islamofascists or the neocons? It appears to be that we have now nothing to choose between the two, and the rest of the world is lumbered with two stags locking horns during the rutting season. I for one will back neither and say a plague on both their houses. This article looks like an oblique request to do Iran, a call to arms, a flattening of Iran for daring to do what the US and the UK have done for years; possess nuclear weapons and threaten other countries (but not Israel). I'm sorry but I have no more desire to be ruled by US-style 'democracy' and so-called free-market economics than I do being dictated to by some so-called Muslim 'holy warrior'. George Bush has done enough damage already, not only in the Middle East, but in Africa too. Please don't encourage him any further.
Bob Ericson, Tewkesbury Glos,
Stephen Rothbart, Prague, Czech Republic
Mr Rothbart, can I copy and paste your words in as many blogs as I can here in the United States?
I do not think any of us Americans ( I do not know if you are one) could put so much meaning into so few words, so can I, can I, please, please, please (now I am begging...).
I will paste it giving you credit.
Thank you
The Enforcer, Port Chester, NY, USA
I wonder how much the Iraqi war was about saving the credibility of the United Nation as an institution. A nation that will not secure its borders will stop being a nation. A political institution which cannot enforce its dictates becomes a joke. The United Nations had become a long running joke to Saddam because he was buying off UN ministers. His friends in France, Germany and Russia were well on the way to overturning sanctions.
I wonder if this war was a good use of President Bush's political capital after 9/11. Is the United Nations worth saving? Proceeding to war to enforce UN sanctions against Saddam seems foolhardy. This war made America no friends, even at the UN.
Partly, this is because many people resent a victorious America. They want us weak and willing to do their bidding. They want us to give up sovereignty, not export our economy and culture. The tyrants of the world are self limiting. An exultant America would not be. Many people will hate it when we win in Iraq.
Louis wheeler, Reno, Nevada/ USA
Good, concise analysis of the impact of Bushâs adventures in foreign policy. Itâs an assessment I see and hear more of lately in the U.S. media, one that gives one hope. My greatest fear has been that we would have to actually experience multilateralism and the Democrat vision of foreign policy before its weaknesses and folly would be revealed, hopefully before we were all blown to bits, but the tide seems to be turning. Bush, of whom I am not a great admirer, must be given credit for âhanging toughâ in the face of horrific opposition and vile personal attacks.
Joan, Virginia, USA
Joan Lewis, Arlington, Virginia
Bush made terrible mistakes, but so did Churchill, who was later credited with saving Europe from Nazism.
But like Churchill, Bush recognised a problem and tried to deal with it from strength, and like Churchill he was regarded by everyone as a war mongerer.
During all this, Europe, the UN and the liberal medias of the world, aided by Hollywood and the bitter defeatism of the Democrats in opposition and now in Congess, have indicated to the fanatics who have highjacked Islam to wage war on all of us, that they need only wait a few more years, and the world's policeman will revert to being popular again by doing nothing.
This is what Clinton did during his term, and why everyone looks back on him with fondness. And it's what will happen when/if the Democrats get back the Presidency.
Why should anyone take the US seriously when they can believe, just from watching CNN or the BBC, that once Bush and his supporters are moved from power, they can dictate the agenda again?
Stephen Rothbart, Prague, Czech Republic
You must be a very lonely man in this world of political liberals, but you are absolutely right!
Jack, London,
"American taxpayers have financed a military dictator in the hope that Musharraf will suppress the fundamentalists and provide logistical support for Nato operations in Afghanistan"
America has done this time and time again- admitedly it has usually deposed a democratically elected leader first - but this is american tactics. As long as the result is (at least temporarily) a client state of America it is percieved as a benefit and the actions justified. and no this isn't an attack on america it's a statement about rule and control. these are independent nations who should not have to bow to anyone. if america continues to go around poking bears with sticks, expect it to be bitten.
john, sydney,