James Cameron
Star musicians and your favourite Times writers at the Albert Hall
How do you make a tree worth more alive than dead? This question will certainly not be put so simply but it is one of the main ones occupying the minds of those gathered on the Indonesian island of Bali this week for the UN conference on climate change.
It is a question of vast importance to the world and if an answer is found then we will have gone a considerable way to combating climate change.
Bali is an apt venue. When you include emissions from deforestation, Indonesia ranks third in the world league table of carbon emitters (the US claims the top spot and China is second) and the cause of most of its pollution is the burning of rainforests, responsible for 85 per cent of that country's emissions. Worldwide deforestation is responsible for 20 per cent of all carbon emissions. This is more than that of all the transport on the planet and second only to the production of energy.
We have all seen those disturbing images of ravaged blackened hillsides and heard the stories of some lumber companies and their rapacious ways. The rainforests of the world, while still huge, are being cut down at an alarming rate for their timber and for their land.
Once it is cut down it is mostly gone for ever. And with it goes its brilliant natural ability to store and get rid of carbon, its ability to make rain and its ability to foster a bewildering array of wildlife whose functions we do not yet fully understand. As was said recently, it's like burning down a library without having read the books.
This is why the preserving of forests is high on the agenda among the swaying palm trees on Bali. Stop the forests being cut down and emissions targets are more attainable. In fact Sir Nicholas Stern said in his ground-breaking climate change review this year that forests offer the single largest opportunity for cost-effective and immediate reductions in emissions.
So let's go back to the question: How do you make an economic opportunity out of an environmental necessity? How do you stop the chainsaws that either make way for cattle — an inefficient way of feeding a growing population — or for thousands of acres of palm oil plants to feed the developed world's insatiable appetite for oil-based products?
It is no good just telling developing countries, and human beings like us with the same basic needs and many of the same wants, that they have to stop trying to make a living. We have to make it worth their while to hold on to to their forests — which the Prince of Wales describes as the greatest global public utility — and make it worth our while to help them to do this. There has to be an investment case for conservation and intelligent use of forested land.
Put simply, we have to create wealth worth having. There are various ways of doing this. Brazil has been successful in cutting deforestation by more than half by the implementation of strong laws, which has involved locking up illegal loggers. By increasing the sustainable use of forestry — selective logging — the Brazilians are thinking long-term for their benefit.
Another way is the use of overseas development assistance to pay for maintaining existing forests. This is Brazil's preference to help it to deal with the remaining issues of deforestation. It is also one of the ideas behind Guyana's extraordinary scheme to lease its rainforest to the UK in return for economic aid.
The third way is to use the international markets, with their access to more than enough private capital. This is necessary because public sector money will never be sufficient, private money acts quickly and we are running out of time.
The market mechanism already exists to take pollutants out of the air as part of a cap-and-trade mechanism. For instance, a Chinese cement factory that emits pollution is given the technology to reduce pollution and in the process is given credits that it can sell to companies in developed countries who have yet to reduce their carbon emissions. The world's atmosphere gains (and there is only one) because without this process the Chinese factory would continue polluting.
This market, with a framework created by governments imposing strict limits on carbon emissions, has created a price for carbon that is high enough to persuade money to flow to the right places. This price penalises excess use of carbon, for instance in the inefficient production of energy, and rewards reductions.
What needs to happen now is for there to be a recognition of the carbon value of forests, not only in their ability to preserve carbon but also in their value as ecosystems providing, for instance, water and biodiversity.
The risk is that while there is an enormous supply in terms of forestry that requires saving, the demand is at the moment weak because neither the Kyoto Protocol nor the European trading scheme recognises what is called “avoided deforestation” as an issue that can be dealt with under existing rules and because we haven't set tough enough targets.
This will involve intense and complicated negotiations and the Bali conference is the place where they will happen as a precursor to a new climate change protocol that the world needs to sign up to in two years' time.
Many other things are up for discussion as we attempt to get to grips with climate change. The Bali conference is a remarkable experiment in global policymaking and it must succeed. In the end it may come down to putting a price on a tree.
— James Cameron is vice-chairman of Climate Change Capital
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James Cameron is right to point out that we need to make it worthwhile for the Jungle counties to keep their ecologies intact. We pay oil rich countries for their oil, is it time for us now to pay jungle countries for their oxygen? Oxygen is the forgotten but easily quantified commodity in the equation, every mollecule of carbon takes out two of oxygen, therefore to the motorist it has twice the value in the engine. The raw material cost is one barrel of oil and two "barrels" of oxgen. This should be paid into the bank accounts of the Jungle governments. Jungle ownership and protection would very quickly get sorted out. New jungles will appear all over the place. Monitoring from space is very straightforward. Nobody needs carbon but everyone needs oxygen, and it will soon be in very short supply.
Bill Baber, Edinburgh, Scotland
Will I be censored for Political Incorrectness if I mention that one of the greatest incentives to cut down natural forest is the damn silly European ruling that 'we' have to use 20% biodiesel?
Where exactly do these eco-fascists think all the land to produce palm oil diesel fuel is going to come from?
Mike Bibby, St Albans, England -not EU
Oh I am so glad you mention Bali for I was wondering if the Times had a news blackout on the event. Certain papers of certain political tendencies appear to hold their readers in the dark when it comes to the destruction of the natural world or maybe it is because there is consensus amongst their influential readership that making money is so much more important than anything else such as a functioning society and the beauty of the earth.
The most gluttonous societies (US and UK) who indulged in most consumer spending - and are now most indebted also are reeking most damage on the environment. Please Bank of England do not allow this to continue by lowering interest rates.
I'll leave you with one quote you may ponder: "In the long run, rich people do not secure their own interests and those of their children if they rule over a collapsing society and merely buy themselves the privilege of being the last to starve or die".
[From Collapse by Jared Diamond, 2005
Esther Phillips, Leatherhead,
Yes James, Bali is truly apt. 15000 delegates. The hypocricy is mind blowing.
davidG, Carshalton,
We have a problem in the capitalist economies, the availability, efficacy and arguments in favour of manufactured goods are far more prevalent, closely argued, observed and give a lob-sided sense of worth. No one advertises on behalf of non-GM or non-processed food, no one owns it. In a straight race between a GM cabbage and an organic cabbage the former has a head start, a campaigning team behind it and billions of promotional cash. Up to now (prior to this article) a forest has little but cash sentiment behind it, while the agricultural and development markets present a commercial analysis with definite monetary gain, a business plan, immediate cash. Whatever the true value of naturally occurring produce, trees or crops, they have little or no capitalisation behind them and are therefore easy prey for the commercial market. Staffordshire CC is selling its farms, saying that the land is more valuable developed; food is 'healthier' only by intervention, shape sells better than taste.
Malcolm Turner, Alsager, England
The difficulty I have is that you're assuming people behave rationally. As previous lethal environmental crises such as the Mayans or Easter Island show, people in general don't do that. Perhaps as resources get scarer (or in the case of carbon, we're more and more reminded of the harm involved), the social cachet conferred by conspicuous consumption actually increases.
Yesterday on TV, for example, we had people insisting on their right to concrete over their gardens, oblivious of the consequences for their community in terms of flooding risk. Yet it's hard to think of any greater financial impact that losing your house. If money worked anywhere, it would work for those people.
Ian Kemmish, Biggleswade, UK
Interesting article James.
There are a few problems with an aid / tree swap in developing countries:
1. aid money goes into national coffers (where it is diverted to many causes - not all transparent).
2. only a small amount trickles down to forest adjacent communities - the ones doing the chopping - which will probably not be enough to halt the forest clearance.
3. illegal timber harvesting (half of all deforestation in Indonesia) will continue regardless of whether the government is being paid as forestry officials are easily bribed to allow the ublawful.
4. rising opportunity costs of forested land. Urbanising and growing populations increase the yields associated with agricultural land - which the carbon price will have to beat.
The problem is a little bigger than the simple creation of a market - and whilst the carbon price is still low, thanks in part to dodgy offsets from hydroelectric schemes, there are still better alternatives for land use than carbon.
Mark, Kampala, Uganda