Stefanie Marsh
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As nobody buys the papers at Christmas time I'll assume that it's now September 2008 and you're bored at work and you've come across these 950 words by accident because you've just typed some combination of the words “housing market”, “Ryder Cup” and “celebrity bum cleavage” into Google.
And, yes, you've been lured here from the future on false pretences - what with the internet, we journalists have to work extra hard these days at boosting our readerships - and, no, I don't claim that this is more important than the fact that your two-bedroom is worth less than a garage door in Haiti, what with house prices having crashed in April. All I'm saying is, this is your opportunity to take part in a unique sociological experiment. It'll take just a couple of minutes. If you'd like to play Prediction Watch, scroll down now.
Precisely because you'll have missed the papers around Christmas and new year you will be unaware of the prophesies about 2008 that were spouting from various professional futurologists at the time. I'll summarise them for you now, in a written version of the time capsules city councillors regularly have buried in plinths as a means of communicating with future generations or aliens in case of an apocalypse. Then I'll forecast my own prediction and you can tell us who turned out to be right.
Here goes. 2008, according to the experts, will be the year of: the colour blue; the potato; the frog; the rat; the grumpy old man; the YouTube presidency; the linux desktop (no idea); the spaceship; the super-mini SUV; the Boy Scout; economic 9/11; philanthropy; premiumisation (something about bottles of Evian water sold in triangular bottles but only in hotels); see-through clothing; the organic chicken; scarves; and something called the vicarious consumer who is the kind of person who can't be bothered to watch films or read books so reads reviews instead.
But according to me 2008 will emphatically be the year of the disgruntled former anti-smoking campaigner. Just look at him now, from your vantage point in September, meddling, irritable, prone to taking up any cause that comes his way because of the catastrophe that befell him in 2007 - when smoking was banned in public places and overnight his raison d'être evaporated.
The anti-smoking campaigner can't simply fade into the background just because his work is done, he would be bored. Already in mid-December 2007 there was talk of banning smoking in cars, but I fear that's not going to be enough of a challenge. The cars debacle will have been sorted by March 2008 on the grounds that a child might catch sight of a person smoking through a windscreen. Next there'll be a march on car manufacturers to ban the little cigarette icon on car lighters - which will then be replaced by a picture of a decomposing corpse.
By July they'll have banned lighters. August it'll be the turn of matches. But what about the murky business of gas hobs? I predict they'll be toast by September. Fireplaces? Why of course! Ban A Bonfire This November; it'll be a campaign both topical and popular with the anti-fireworks-and-save-the- hedgehogs brigade.
Meanwhile, former anti-smoking campaigners, envious of those working on juicier national health issues and led by Sir Liam Donaldson, will organise a putsch within the ranks of the responsible drinking and anti-obesity campaigners. The moderates will be ousted. Donaldson who said in an interview in 2007, “let's get the cigarette out of Kate Moss's mouth”, will arrive at the model's Primrose Hill mansion with state-sponsored reality television crew in tow and ceremoniously remove the cigarette from her gob; snatch the alcoholic drink from her hand; wrench the irresponsible boyfriend from her arm too, lest their much-publicised union encourages irresponsible relationship habits in young and vulnerable people. Food will be forced down her throat so that she will no longer be a pin-up for anorexics.
If, as a result, she gets fat she'll be forced on to a diet devised by Rosemary Conley fatness having become a particular thorn in the side of former anti-smoking campaigners on account of the number of people who will have grown porky for having substituted food for cigarettes since the war on tobacco was won.
Not that I love smoking, mind you. I hardly do. I'm smoking one now out of solidarity with myself but only out of principle.
And I'm doing so because last month I was at a party and one of the people there asked me whether it wouldn't be possible for me to light up my cigarette outside in the bucketing rain, which I wouldn't have minded as much had the party not been my own and had I not held this, my own party, in my own apartment. And it made me think, a) This country has turned into California but in all the wrong ways. b) Couldn't we put these new-found evangelical tendencies of ours to some better use?
Why this emphasis on banning things at all? When it comes to the outrageous little things affecting our daily lives - the cost of public transport, the state of our schools, the price of food, the state of our hospitals, there isn't an angry mob in sight. We are not angry enough. Aren't there equally useful things to do with one's life than attack the foibles and weaknesses of the individual? There is life after a smoking ban. In 2008 we'll see what that means.
Stefanie Marsh almost climbed Everest, even though she is a smoker
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Great article. Isn't there some way fro everyone who thinks this nonsense has gone way to far to get together and invite the politicians who voted for these inane laws out into the metraphoric weather and invite in others who'll be more reasonable??
chris, New York, USA
I just read an article about the NHS banning treatment for smokers, drinkers and the obese. I assume that these people will have their taxes and NI contributions returned to them. This "ban" mentality is like a sickness, and it seems to be spreading. Don't like something? Let's ban it! People are to be treated like belligerent children, rather than adults. All this is supposed to be for our "protection". Well, I don't want to be protected! I left that behind when I left home when I was 18! Am I the only person in the country who objects to being treated like a retarded 12-year-old? Compared to 20 years ago, most things seem to be banned now. I think that's why people sometimes act in an irresponsible way. It's no longer about self-control or personal choices, it's about being told what to do by a higher authority. Not only what to do - but how to think and feel. This is too much like 1984 for my liking. People will rebel against all this - and so they should.
Cathy Lintern, Ryde,
I was shocked when my 72 year old Aunt told me recently that her son has persuaded her that she should smoke out side her own house when he visits her. I shall be having words with my cousin when I next see him. I shall explain to him the very real connection of cold weather to heart attacks in contrast to the very fake connection between smoking bans and heart attacks.
Fredrik Eich, London, UK
Rottweilers. All of them.
alan, cologne,
I need to attack the weaknesses of others, it makes me feel better about my non-smoking, T-totaling, bean eating, ultra pc self......
and ok, so i have no friends, but i'm healthy and that means statistically i should have plenty of time to find some (or one), all i need now is a personality
James, anti-smoking campaigner, Hamilton,
A friend of mine went trekking in the Himalayas a few years ago - he told me the Sherpas with the baggage were racing up the mountains ahead of the puffing and panting Europeans and chain smoking as they went!
Rick S, London,
Obesity is a bigger health problem than smoking. Ban food.
chas, suffolk, england
ah yes, its got to be mobile phones, or clothes that fit,call centers with humans,cars that can do over 70,slang from the bbc, news papers that use paper,bloggers.
michael joseph heavey, cahersiveen>adams towns, madness
Smoking is actually good for high altitude climbers - they are more used to lack of oxygen. The marathon runners tend to be stretchered down from about 14,000' with pulmonary oedema while the 40 a day men look on with profoundly smug self-satisfaction. And yes, I do have personal, very happy experience.
eric campbell, harrogate, uk
I trust you sent the impertinent party guest immediately outside into the bucketing rain, never to return!
Tim, Lancaster,
Excellent article, how dare someone in your own house ask you not to smoke, this must be the height of bad manners. Public nannies/bullies are on record as saying that "obesity is worse than smoking" and "passive drinking is worse than passive smoking". So all you holier than thou anti smokers which category do you fall into?
Dave Atherton, London, London
Well I'm reading this article right now, and very amusing it is too. Quite agree, anti-smokers are just slightly overzealous about pretty much everything. I don't particularly mind the smoking ban, but this ridiculous judgmentalism, whereby you are a worse person simply by virtue of smoking/drinking/driving (on separate occasions)/having kids/not having kids or just generally disagreeing withe the "right" opinions, is fascism by another name. The Nazis were indeed the first government to ban smoking. Think about that for a little while.
Freya, London,