Martin Rees
Take a trip to New York and see the city from the air
It is more than 35 years since Harrison Schmidt and Eugene Cernan, the last men on the Moon, returned to Earth. The Apollo programme now seems a remote historical episode: children all over the world learn that America landed men on the Moon, just as they learn that the Egyptians built the Pyramids; but the motivations seem almost as bizarre in the one case as in the other.
The recent film In the Shadow of the Moon depicted these historic - indeed heroic - events, but to today's young audiences the outdated gadgetry and the “right stuff” values seemed almost as antiquated as a traditional Western. Manned spaceflight has never recovered the same glamour - understandably so, because it hardly seems inspiring, nearly 40 years after the Apollo lunar landings, for astronauts merely to circle the Earth in the Space Shuttle and the International Space Station. Ironically, it is only when disaster has struck, as it has twice in more than 100 launches, that the shuttle has made real headlines.
The burgeoning scientific, environmental, commercial and military applications of space have not needed manned spaceflight, but have benefited from the technical advances - unimagined in the 1970s - that have given us mobile phones and the internet. Close-ups of the Martian surface and of Jupiter's moons, and cosmic images from the Hubble telescope, received more media coverage than routine shuttle flights. We depend on space technology for communications, weather forecasting, mapping, position-finding and so forth - quite apart from the science it has given us.
Just this week, astronauts are installing the European-built “Columbus module” - a laboratory for scientific experiments - on the space station. This is in itself good news, but it is the end of a prolonged and unsatisfactory saga. This laboratory was conceived in the early 1980s; it was named in the hope that it would be launched on the 500th anniversary of Columbus's voyage. It is therefore 16 years late, and few regard this as good value for money. Without a redefined mission the space station, even when completed, will remain a turkey in the sky.
It is claimed by Nasa that tens of billions more dollars must be spent to finish the space station, in order to keep faith with the foreign partners who have built parts of it. However, whatever their public rhetoric, most European scientists regret having got involved; they could all have been contentedly paid off far more cheaply than it will cost the Americans to finish the space station. Indeed, I think the real, albeit undeclared, reason for persisting with the project is that, were the US to abandon it, the Russians would then take full possession of the “high ground” - and to the Americans that would be a massive indignity. And there is now a challenge from the Chinese, who may be the next nation to land a man on the Moon.
President Bush has proposed a long-term programme to return to the Moon, establish a manned base there and then go to Mars. Were I an American taxpayer, I would be opposed to this: if it is done Nasa-style, it will be hugely expensive and vulnerable to delays and political setbacks. I hope, nonetheless, that some people now living will walk on Mars - though they will be adventurers, perhaps sponsored privately or commercially, accepting extreme cost-cutting and much higher risks than it is politically acceptable for Nasa to impose on publicly funded civilian astronauts.
As a European, I believe we should learn a lesson from the space station, and limit our collaboration with Nasa to “bite-sized” unmanned projects; we should be wary of committing ourselves, as an inevitably “minor partner”, to a hugely expensive manned programme.
In economic and intellectual firepower, Europe is fully a match for the US. But the activities of Europe's Space Agency (ESA), though successful and generally cost-effective, have been more modest: America's activities in space were ramped up to a higher level because of superpower rivalry during the Cold War. But most of Nasa's large budget is spent on the Shuttle and the space station, and will thereafter be committed to further manned projects. If we in Europe eschewed manned spaceflight (unless tickets became very cheap) and concentrated our expenditure on space robotics, fabrication and miniaturisation, we could gain an ascendancy over the US in all those aspects of space that are of greatest practical value, as well as of greatest scientific interest.
Even by European standards, space has not figured highly in our national priorities: France has been far more committed. However, we have achieved successes in space science, and in important niche markets as well - for instance, the University of Surrey's commercial microsatellites. But it is now time for the UK, which has been a minor player even within Europe, to raise its game.
Everyone has heard of Nasa, many have heard of ESA, but few have heard of BNSC (the British National Space Centre). That is why the Royal Society has urged a higher-profile UK space agency so that we can seek cost-effective collaborations with India, China and the US, as well as within Europe, and promote and develop our nation's success in the cost-effective use of space, and the associated “cutting-edge” technologies.
Today the Government publishes a new strategy for space. This is an opportunity to increase our leverage in high-tech developments that are becoming ever more pervasive in our lives - and to recover some of the inspiration of the open frontier.
Lord Rees of Ludlow is Astronomer Royal and president of the Royal Society
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pretty cool huh , NASA have all their stuff up lights , boast a lot and cost a lot , but my bet is nothing they have done has been without european scientists , and european brainpower . So yes we are a match for them , no we will not spend as much money as they are willing to , seems we are skinflints when it comes to science ( but in reality who gives a shit about what the moon does , or mars does , we need to concentrate on the blue planet and the souls who inhabit her ) we are a very young species on a very old rock
marcus, manchesterr, uk
Having read the commentaries, the same old prejudices live on: Russophobia and Sinophobia. As Bush stated: a manned mission to Mars would require a Moon station as a necessary adjunct. This would only be economically feasible through international co-operation, which is certainly not evident at present. Military control of space still dominates world political thinking behind the scenes. The proposed U.S. deployment of a missile shield on the Russian border, coupled with its National Missile Defense Act of 1999 ("Son of Star Wars"), does nothing to dispel this fear. Indeed, in 2002, when the US administration unilaterally withdrew from the 1972 anti-ballistic missile (ABM) treaty, the world became a less secure place. An astronaut stepping onto the Martian surface is but a distant dream - maybe next century, if global warming has not driven our species to extinction!
Dwight Vandryver, Scholar Green, Cheshire, UK
If the Columbus module and other International Space Station modules have suffered cost overruns is because manned access to space has never been adequately funded. This is why a shuttle accident - our single means of delivering the ISS modules - led to several years delay. Besides, space is cheap - NASA has a budget of 18 billion dollars, which is a fraction of the 500 billion dollar budget of the US Department of Defense. Europe should develop its own spaceflight capability instead of always hitching a ride with the US. Manned spaceflight is a worthwhile endeavour because of the direct and indirect benefits it creates in terms of science, technology, and jobs for the countries manufacturing and launching the hardware, but also because it motivates far more people to choose science as a career than robotic spaceflight ever will.
Jesus Pascual, Sevilla, Spain
Those advocating a return to the moon on economic grounds should read 'Mining the sky' by John Lewis, a professor at the University of Arizona who specialises in Space Development. He says that the argument for mining Helium 3 on the moon is a red herring because the quantities per ton of lunar soil are so small that it will be economically unviable to collect (assuming we ever develop He 3 fusion - it's hard enough developing deuterium fusion). Furthermore, it would be much more cost effective to send an unmanned probe to one of the outer planets where huge amounts of He 3 can be mined directly from their atmospheres.
The science per dollar from manned space exploration is very poor, I am not against human spaceflight but it should be ring-fenced from the science budget. The best strategy would be to use taxpayers money to push for cheap (sub $100/kg) spaceflight and give private companies the incentives (prizes, tax-breaks) to lead space development.
Phil Uttley, Southampton, UK
In economic and intellectual firepower, Europe is fully a match for the US? Hardly.
William Worsley, Arlington, Virginia
Umm Europeans where the reason the US space race got to where it was... almost all the rocket scientists came from europe..
Darren , London,
You all do realize that NASA has performed many of the smaller "bite-sized" missions in addition to the larger manned missions right? NASA has rovers on Mars and spacecraft orbiting Mars, probes on their way to Pluto, and others orbiting the Sun, and another just past Mercury. And those I mentioned are only the tip.
Justin, Orangevale, California/United States
In economic and intellectual firepower, Europe is fully a match for the US? Hardly.
William Worsley, Arlington, Virginia
Manned exploration and robotic exploration can complement each other. A manned mission to the moon is within our technological and physical realm. Further to Gareth Roberts point, can I suggest a book called " Return to the Moon" by Apollo 17 astronaut/scientist Harrison Schmitt that goes into the subject of Helium-3 and the benefits such a mission might bring.
Michael, London, England
Professor Rees, it would perhaps have been wiser for you to write a column in the national paper about the failings of our astronomical funding, rather than that of another nation. As our funding body is currently 80 million GBP in debt, and is considering leaving a number of prestigous and important telescope sites (sites we are likely never to return to due to political and cost pressures), now is not the time to crow about the straightjackets the Americans have put themselves in.
David Hill, St Andrews,
"Everyone has heard of Nasa, many have heard of ESA, but few have heard of BNSC"
Says it all really. Manned space exploration captures the minds of ordinary people. Tinkering with clever robotic probes captures the minds of geeks and boffins. Lord Rees sits firmly in the latter camp. I sit firmly in the former.
G, London,
The real reason why we should invest in space exploration and going back to the moon is because scientists believe the moon contains large deposits of an extremely rare gas called Helium-3 which be mined and used to achieve nuclear fusion. The same process which powers the sun and would be a new source of almost inexhaustible, clean and pollution-free energy on Earth.
Surely a goal worth reaching for the stars for.
Gareth Roberts, Birmingham,
There's enough good science to be done to attack pressing problems to make wasting money on manned spaceflight look ridiculous. The manned lunar programme was a political gesture and vacuous in scientific terms. Lets's do the important stuff now and leave this stuff another few decades at least. It's irrelevant.
caffeineman, newcastle, uk
Not my words but true nonetheless.
"The earth is too fragile a basket for the human race to keep all its eggs in"
The ISS is also, perhaps, our first faltering step to a permanent location outside the hole In the end, clever folk programming remote sensors, and second guessing them when the communications lag is of the oorder of hours, will never have that edge of flexibility granted to the "man on the spot".
Andrew Fanner, Cowplain, UK
Manned space travel under current energy requirements is unjustifiable. In order for one man to travel to Mars and return would take the financial and resource requirements of millions.
The problem is that in order to develop any alternative 'space' delivery/propulsion system does require exploration as this is extending our understanding of gravity, a key to further exploration along with fundamental particle/energy research the sort due to take place at CERN.
A catch 22 situation, but, unfortunately private (excluding show ponies like Virgin Galactic) can neither afford or assume the risks.
Joe, Geelong, Australia, Victoria
Exploration isn't just discovering what you don't know, it's also, importantly, discovering you don't know what. We humans are peculiarly well equipped for this latter task. Neither NASA waste nor the associated American pork-barrel politics should be allowed to stop us.
Noel Falconer, COUIZA, France
"I hope, nonetheless, that some people now living will walk on Mars - though they will be adventurers, perhaps sponsored privately or commercially, accepting extreme cost-cutting and much higher risks than it is politically acceptable for Nasa to impose on publicly funded civilian astronauts."
But this same argument can be used against unmanned space exploration. Private companies can sponsor robots with "extreme cost-cutting" and "much higher risks" than government-funded robots.
So manned space exploration should be conducted by private firms only, and unmanned space exploration should be done by governments? This is inconsistent. Either both manned and unmanned space exploration should be funded privately, or both should be funded by governments.
Arguing that one should be funded privately and one funded publicly is clearly a double standard.
David Bourke, Sydney, Australia
It was a precious Astronomer Royal who suggested that, "Space travel is utter bilge." It is interesting to see that the current Astromomer Royal seems to share that sentiment. His suggestion that expeditions to Mars should be best done by the private sector is interesting, though more than a little unrealistic. A private company, even if it could devote the resources necessary for such an undertaking, would only do so if it could find some way to make a profit. Large, national projects, such as going to Mars or colonizing the Moon, are best done by governments that can devote the resources necssary. The private sector can and should certainly be made partners in such efforts. But waiting for the private sector alone to send people to Mars is a sure way to make sure that the first person to do so will be a Chinese military officer. Neither Lord Rees nor anyone else would very much enjoy a future in which the Chinese are dominate in space.
Mark R. Whittington, Houston, USA