Richard Beeston
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Tony Blair has arrived back in Washington with an important message for the Obama team. The search for peace in the Middle East must be a priority for the new administration. The terrain is difficult but not impossible. The end of the Bush era offers real opportunities for this benighted region.
Mr Blair is right. He made his case before the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington articulately and passionately. He knows all the key players involved and is familiar with the issues. He seems genuinely devoted to the cause. He brings to the table his success in conflict resolution from Northern Ireland.
But Mr Blair is no longer the right man for the job. He should share the wealth of his knowledge with the incoming Obama foreign affairs chiefs and bow out gracefully.
A new era in the Middle East may or may not be about to unfold but it has a better chance of success without Mr Blair in the key role as envoy for the Quartet, the leading diplomatic group comprising America, Russia, the European Union and the United Nations.
I first met Tony Blair in Jerusalem more than 15 years ago at the home of Afif Safieh, now the Palestinian envoy to Moscow. He was there on holiday with his wife, both of them clearly fascinated by the seductive combination of politics and religion that is the city's lifeblood. At the time he was not even leader of the Labour Party. Neither of us imagined what impact he would one day have on the region.
Certainly in Arab eyes, Mr Blair is associated with a series of disastrous policy decisions. He will forever be remembered as the junior partner in the US-led invasion of Iraq. While America has managed to salvage something from the war, with the military surge and a change in tactics, Britain's reputation as a military power and experienced player in the region will take a long time to recover.
Then there was Lebanon in 2006. Blair backed the Israeli offensive against Hezbollah, even after it was clear that the campaign was misdirected, that innocent Lebanese were caught up in the attack, that huge damage was being done to the country's infrastructure and that one of the few democratically elected Western-leaning governments in the Arab world was being undermined.
Partly as a result of his support for the war, Mr Blair resigned last year and dedicated his work to finding peace in the region, a laudable ambition. But what does he have to show for 18 months on the sharp end of diplomacy? Some progress has been recorded in Jenin and Bethlehem, two West Bank towns where the Palestinians are taking on more responsibility. But little success has been made in persuading Israel to dismantle its checkpoints in the West Bank, a key factor in reviving the Palestinian economy.
The expansion of Jewish settlements in the West Bank has continued uninterrupted. The situation in Gaza has steadily deteriorated. The coastal strip remains under Hamas control and now threatens to become a humanitarian emergency. Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli right-wing opposition leader, is tipped to win elections scheduled for February with a far less compromising stand on talks with the Arabs. The joke in the region is that the only real beneficiary of Mr Blair's recent engagement with the Middle East is the American Colony Hotel in Jerusalem, where he has established his offices.
In spite of all the setbacks, Mr Blair until very recently kept up the Bush Administration's mantra that a final peace deal is possible by the end of 2008, when we were told a Palestinian state would be in place. This was either a delusion or an outright falsehood.
There was never any chance of this happening, despite the grand declarations at the peace conference in Annapolis more than a year ago. Similarly, the timetable for peace set out under the “road map” was nonsense. Mr Bush was never prepared to do the heavy lifting required to make peace in the region, or to engage key states such as Syria and Iran. Mr Blair shares some responsibility for this failure. His reputation in the Arab world is permanently tarnished.
Finally, there are serious questions about how much time and effort Mr Blair is prepared to devote to this issue. We are told that he has taken a job teaching at Yale University, is writing a book to be published next year, is a banking consultant and is actively promoting inter-faith dialogue, the environment, sports, and development in Africa. There are also strong hints that if a European presidency is ever created, Mr Blair would be first in line for the job.
The search for peace in the Middle East is not a part-time assignment. It requires full-time commitment, preferably by someone who has the right connections in Washington and the capitals of the region, but can also approach the work with fresh thinking and a clean slate.
Achieving peace in the Middle East has long been regarded as the Holy Grail of international diplomacy. Unfortunately for Mr Blair, it is beyond his grasp.
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Politics and religion is needed in the Middle East conflicts. It will be the written word of God that demands a solution that all can agree on. When all sides agree we want God's solution, there can be a base. All religions must correct themselves to what is written in their holy books to succeed
Marie Devine, Kansas City, MO, USA
To Mr. O'Hanlon: While the rarely used term "Semite" does indeed refer to all descendants of Shem, including both Arabs and Jews, the term "anti-Semitism" was invented in the late 1800s specifically to describe anti-Jewish feelings and actions. Let's not confuse a clearly understood term. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antisemitism
Wendy , Washington, DC
Everyone knew that Blair was the wrong man for to the job - indeed perhaps any job - so the question is how are international appointments made and whose signature is on the appointment paper. One fears it is just an old international boys network with zero relevance to the real world.
Brian Lewis, Manila, Philippines
Somebody had better tell him about Israel's nuclear weapons of mass destruction before he gets confused...
Mike L, Chippenham,
Arab Governments are far more pragmatic than Western liberals and, given their authoritarian and generally brutal nature, are more likely to respect Blair's robust approach to the region than yet another self-loathing Western apologist.
Mark, Berkhamsted,
Blair was NEVER the right man for the job. What credibility can he possibly have in the Middle East? Your article is 18 months too late Richard.
Cameo, Berkhamsted, uk
He was never the right man. A Christian who starts a war in the Middle East leading to the deaths of 750K plus Iraqis was never going to be credible.
Putting Blair on trial for war crimes would have been a better ploy.
Dave, Slough,
Richard is absolutly spot on. More 4 recently broadcast the edition of The Daily Show featuring an interview with Blair, who spoke in superficialities saying Hamas, Hizbollah, Iran are all part of the same thing, etc. Presenter Jon Stewart pointed out that
situation is much more complex than that.
susie, London, UK
I would like to point out to Mr Jefferson that the Palestinians are semites. A Semite is a member of races supposedly decended from Shem, including Jews and Arabs. So I would suggest it unlikely that Palestinians are Anti Semitic.
Michael O'Hanlon, London, UK
Britain and France (let alone the USA) have an ignoble history in the Middle East, and it makes no sense for a Briton, let alone the blood-smeared Blair, to be in a position like Blair's in seeking to bring some trusting relationship between differing sides in such a politically complicated region.
Stephen Griffith, Woking,
The fundamental stumbling block to peace in the Middle East is the inculcation of anti-Semitism in the Palestinian community and their lack of recognition of Jewish claims in the region. If the Pales. gave up terrorism & recognized Jewish legitimacy, there would be two states living in peace.
Mike Jefferson, Washington, D.C.,
There will be no peace until the game stops so it doesn't matter who the negotiators are. The game is that it's about land when the truth is the only genuinely intractable issue is the so-called "right of return." Unless that is addressed first, the rest is window dressing.
jonathan, boston, usa