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Life used to be so easy. At the age of 65 you retired with a nice carriage
clock and went home to spend your pension on potting plants and pipe
tobacco. Then, 10 years later, you died.
Now things are very different. You retire at 63 and go home to spend your
pension on kickboxing classes and cocaine. You have no plans to die at all.
This, as I’m sure you read last week, is having a dramatic effect on pensions.
The country can afford to keep its senior citizens in old shag for 10 years
but not coke for 30. Not when the number of retired people exceeds the
number working.
As a result, the young people of today have been told to expect some harsh
changes. They will have to save 30% of what they earn and hand over 70% to
the government. They will be expected to work down the mines until the age
of 127 and even then they will be expected to die, in poverty, in a puddle
of vomit.
Stern-faced men are saying the country must find an extra £57 billion a year
for pensions by 2050 if old people are to enjoy the same standard of living
that they have today.
It all sounds very gloomy, but £57 billion is nothing. We learnt last week
that the government has spent £30 billion on a computer system for the NHS.
In the past few months I’ve watched Oxford council spend what must have been
£57 billion inserting bollards to make life harder for motorists, then
taking them away, then building them again.
Thanks to changes made by Margaret Thatcher in 1979 we’re going to fall short
of the pensions bill by only 5%. In France they’ll miss it by 105%. In
Germany it’ll be 110%. Then there’s the United States.
I read a book by Niall Ferguson while on holiday this year. It’s called
Colossus, it’s about the American empire and it argues that already the gap
between what America has and what it needs to keep its old people in burgers
is $45 trillion.
Now I don’t know what a trillion is but I do know that $45 trillion is roughly
10 times more than the total combined wealth of Germany, France, Italy and
Britain. It seems there are three ways this vast deficit can be covered:
they can either increase taxes, immediately, by 69% or cut medicare benefits
by more than a half, or stop all federal purchases for ever.
I haven’t seen either John Kerry or George W Bush suggest they’ll be doing any
of these things. And that’s bad news because the situation is becoming more
critical. If nothing has happened by 2008, taxes will have to go up by 74%.
No president, of course, will ever impose any such increase, which means that
with the certainty of Titanic’s fate once it had hit the iceberg, America
will go spectacularly bankrupt. It is, according to the author, an
inescapable fact.
Long before that happens, however, the US will renege on all its foreign debt
which will bankrupt the entire world, causing famine and maybe even some
kind of holocaust. So you’ll look a bit of a Charlie if you’ve spent the
previous 40 years squirrelling away £30 a week for your old age.
This is the fundamental problem with pensions. You are saving for a future you
don’t yet know. You’re taking care of something that might never happen —
your old age. You could live a life of thrift and then, the day before your
pension matures, you could be trampled to death by a horse. Or win £17m on
the lottery. Or watch America go bust, taking the International Monetary
Fund and your pension fund with it.
What’s more, how do you know that the people you entrust with your savings
will look after them wisely? How do you know they won’t raid the fund, spend
it on a boat and then jump off? Every night commercial television is
littered with multi- million-pound advertisements for pension companies.
That’s your money — your nest egg — they are spending, trying to attract
more suckers so they can build a taller, shinier office block. From which
they can plan more adverts.
The government’s no better. If ministers take our money, saying we can have it
back when we’re old, how do we know they won’t give it all to Oxford council
so it can knock over bollards to make way for new ones? Believing that the
chancellor will have a special ring-fenced fund to be spent only on pensions
is as silly as thinking your road tax is spent on the roads. It isn’t. It’s
spent on new NHS computers and, of course, on the civil service, which I see
now employs more people than live in the city of Sheffield.
Of course they’ll be fine. They are on the I’m All Right Jack Civil Service
Pension Fund. But what about you? Well, I suggest you buy something stupid
like a plasma television and sit in front of it with a big Twix and packet
of killer fags.
Because do you want to end up poor in a bankrupt world full of civil servants?
Thought not.
Jeremy Clarkson's career as car reviewer and BBC Top Gear presenter has made motoring into show business, but he has earned himself the description of an "equal opportunities loudmouth" for his opinionated commentary on all aspects of life, appearing weekly in The Sunday Times.
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