Melanie Reid
2 for 1 tickets to Singin' In The Rain, this coming Monday. Book now
If you want to calibrate modern British culture, look no further than the weather forecast. On Good Friday evening, after the 10 o’clock news, the BBC forecaster appeared in the guise of an anxious dispatch manager who had failed to deliver a premium order. “It’s a fairly cold old do,” he said apologetically.
Which, roughly translated, meant: “Crikey, real disaster, folks. We know you requested four days of lovely hot, sunny weather to allow you to have that Easter barbecue, but we’re afraid there’s been a terrible mix-up and instead you’ve got horrid cold northerly winds and the threat of nasty snow driving ever southwards, with a covering of several centimetres expected in large parts of northern and eastern England.”
As if that wasn’t enough, with a proud flourish the poor chap then presented the “Feels Like” index, the BBC forecasters’ latest asinine tool for telling the nation that, although the temperature was hovering around freezing, it would in fact “feel like” -2C or -3C in the strong winds.
The Feels Like index – which scientifically is nonsense, since temperatures are only part of the climate equation – first appeared a few months ago, and immediately struck me as so laughable that I assumed it would be killed off.
But seemingly not. Apparently the cognitive powers of the British public have diminished to the point where, when it comes to weather, they must be treated like the most backward class of primary school children.
It is no longer enough that forecasts are devoid of anything resembling science; now they must be antithetic to it. Speaking personally, it Feels Like we are being terminally patronised, a feeling confirmed on the Saturday night when the forecaster told us the weather “might well have given us the chance to build a snowman”. More usefully, he could have pointed out that not that long ago white Easters were almost as common as white Christmases.
Weather reporting, for all it has hugely increased in accuracy, has been deliberately infected with an extraordinary degree of subjectivity. Forecasters interpret the weather for its presumed emotional impact upon us. It’s a soap opera; no more, no less. Sun equals good. Rain equals bad. Cold or damp is negative; warm or dry is positive.
Talk to meteorologists who are long in the tooth – the same ones who come close to weeping when you mention the Feels Like index – and they will tell you that it was about ten or 12 years ago that the dreaded directive came from the Met Office telling them they must start talking about the impact of the weather on people. But the minute they started to do this, they lost objectivity. They had begun the fatal process of making huge assumptions about our attitudes.
And that’s the catastrophic flaw. In the process of making the weather idiot-proof and accessible, forecasters effectively homogenised their target audience into a class of urban couch potatoes who didn’t want to experience climate in any shape or form. These were people who sought a Disneyesque world of perpetual sunshine, untarnished by wicked rain, wind, ice or snow.
Forecasts, ever since, have been tailored to meet the aspirations of this shallow Everyman. They highlight the chances of good weather at weekends, as if it is an entitlement. They emphasise the sunshine in the South East, as if those who live there have the right to it all the time. They prioritise car travel, because anything that slows down Everyman on the road is a disaster.
Often, under duress, forecasters have to service these myths. Thus they utter meaningless statements such as “It will be grotty today” (John Humphrys pulled up that particular unfortunate) or “temperatures are respectable for the time of year”.
What on earth does respectable mean? That it’s warm enough to go to church?
I don’t need to tell you that this kind of populism is intellectually bankrupt. Day in, day out, forecasters perpetuate the view that warm winters are a good thing, even as we face unprecedented climate change. It is now two years since temperatures for any month fell below the average.
On the same logical basis, what may be a good day for Wimbledon is dreadful for an East Anglian farmer battling drought, or for Britain’s millions of hay fever sufferers. In April last year, when there was a lengthy dry spell, and the news bulletins reported dried-up reservoirs, forecasters, on behalf of dratted Everyman, welcomed the fact that nice weather was to continue.
Another example. When the news reported how a cold spell was needed to kill off the midges that carry bluetongue, the animal disease, a forecaster popped up to give a gloomy warning about a nasty frost.
But the Feels Like index and all it stands for, in a funny way, is about far more than just the weather. It says so much about us, defining an affluent society that believes that just as it can buy what it wants in terms of smart kitchens and BMWs, so it should be able to control the weather. Cocooned in air-conditioned houses and cars, people are inactive and increasingly insulated from real climate of any kind.
With affluence comes other delusions. We don’t wear appropriate clothing for the weather any more, because we want to look fashionable. In Russia, by contrast, there’s no such thing as cold weather; they just wear more clothes.
And so how we regard the weather symbolises deeper trends – a move away from the individual; the move towards the dominant culture of managerialism. It emphasises the power of urban society over rural – those who regard rain as bad probably don’t know or care where their meat comes from.
For me, this was a magical Easter. Yesterday, in bright sunshine, but with the breath of the Arctic in my face, I went for a long horse ride, garlanded by snowflakes falling from an entirely clear blue sky. On my Feels Like index, it was pretty close to heaven.

Melanie Reid reports and commentates for The Times from Scotland. Before joining the paper, she was an award-winning columnist and senior assistant editor at The Herald in Glasgow
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Just what I would like to say myself! I am interested in the weather in a very amateur sort of fashion, and long ago I gave up on the BBC weather forcasts as absolute nonsense. They manage to say nothing in the most boring manner.
Go to Metcheck's excellent website and you'll get all the weather you could possibly want to immerse yourself in, precipitation charts, synoptic charts, rain risk, snow risk, and lots of enthusiastic explanations that are quite infectious! I am always looking at the clouds now and I know just by the shape of them what I'm in store for that day...
Melandra Smith, Manchester, UK
Some of the response to this article is just plain wrong.
1 The forecast is usually correct. The reason some folk argue that it is inaccurate is because the forecast is over-simplified and the teaching of weather and forecasting has been
'dumbed down' in schools.
2 The forecasters are highly educated / highly trained. All have a science degree followed by post-graduate training at the Met Office.
The general thrust of the article is correct in that the forecast has been dumbed down. Unfortunately that seems to be a reaction to the lack of understanding of the average viewer.
While it is not the role of the forecaster to educate the public
I see no reason not to use simple met terms - when was the
last time an occlusion was mentioned in a forecast ?
The language used in the forecast is simplistic which is unfortunately true of the preceding news bulletin. It is - for instance - incorrect to refer to cold temperatures. A temperature can be high or low but never cold or hot.
Stephen Reeve, Southend,
Partly cloudy, winds out of the North East at 10 miles per hour, chance of rain 20%. Highs in the low seventies, lows in the high fities. Cooler tomorrow but dry.
Says it all in about thirty words. Why can't we have this ? It doesn't need an expensive bimbo to say it either.
Phil, Christchurch, UK
How true Melanie. But of course the broadcast weather is simply another branch of the entertainment industry. How else to explain why the industry itself saw fit last week to hand out its annual bauble for the "weather Broadcaster" of the year " to some overly-excitable professionally cheerful blonde who pops up at different times in our day to remind us all of just how low the common denominator now is.
Tim, Kingston,
Surely the "Feels Like index" is just the modern, dumbed down term for the "wind-chill factor" that has been in use for yonks. However, I do agreed that the presenters put their own spin on what the weather will feel like, such as referring to a perfectly ordinary winter's day of a few degrees above zero as being "bitterly cold". Come on, Britain, are we such a bunch a car-cocooned softies that we can no longer cope with the British climate?
David, Cheshire,
I agree and can we also ask the forecasters to stop advising us to "wrap up warm" in winter weather and to "take care there" on icy roads. And why do they feel the need to thank the presenters who introduce them? Not necessary, just give us the forecast. REW Penarth
Elaine Ward, Penarth, Vale of Glamorgan
When the Buncefield Oil Terminal fire happened, Dan Corbett gave an excellent scientific explanation on BBC News 24 of the effects on the atmosphere, including the principle of temperature inversion. He was precise, lucid and interesting. However his weather forecasts, whilst better than most, include the meaningless gimmick of "your finishing numbers" instead of (I assume) "today's maximum temperatures". The race to add "personality" to forecasts is unhelpful and unwelcome, though I blame the BBC not the individuals. For example, Rob McElwee, always the least subjective forecaster, appears to have been marginalised to the occasional forecast on the radio.
Philip Vaughan-Smith, Gloucester, England
true, but I can just as easily picture the 'feels like' index in the times these days.
andrew, levenshume,
When weather presenters are employed because they look "good" i.e. blonde, skinny, and simple minded, their information is info-tainment. Bring back the met office
jane, Whittlesey, CAMBRIDGESHIRE
Fair point about the way the general tone of the forecast is going, but I think you're wrong to single out the "Feels Like index". As Kevin Parker says, it does have a firm rooting in science and besides, along with the likelihood of precipitation, it is surely one of the most relevant stats for a weather forecast.
You'll find in fact that since forecasts began, on very windy days forecasters have often quoted the temperature that it "feels like". All that has changed now is that they do it as standard, and give the index a very patronising name. It's the name that is the problem IMO. If they changed it to "still air equivalent temperature" I'd be quite happy.
Ed W, London,
I've stopped looking at the TV weather forecast. Now I have broadband I just go straight to the Met Office website - much more useful, accurate, and adult not kidult.
paul newbold, sheffield, UK
A shade over-the-top, Melanie, but the presentation of the weather forecast is a symptom of the infantilisation of our society and culture. An endless tide of piffling legislation stopping us doing things or possessing things, with enforcement heaped upon an over-bureaucratised police. "law passed - job done, now what's next?" Pitifully few television programmes with any mind-stretching content or intellectual content and news bulletins (endlessly repeated) presented as entertainment - flashy graphics and thumping drums at intervals. Defenders of this patronising dumbing-down will say that they have to reach out to everyone, not just to PhDs. Have they considered that a good many of the patronised actually like to reach upwards ?
Duncan Reed, Rotherham, UK
Weather forecasting is the front line messenger for the Globalwarmism industry. Cold weather unfortunately doesn't "feel like" Globalwarmism, but the "impact" of any weather must be stressed so we all understand the climate doom awaiting us.
John Bowman, Sarlat, France
It's best not to listen to the weather SHOW, yes it's now a branch of entertainment. Most times it's wrong and most times it's irrelevant. Do the Archers stop farming because there might be a risk of patchy rain. Would we all rollover in bed because of the risk of patchy cloud. It's sure a great delight when some Blue Peter presenter advises us NOT to travel because of the RISK of poor weather. I just fone up the boss and say sorry
For the best weather forecast, look out the window and that's the weather , well for at least the next ten minutes. And did you know how much a weather READER earns for something they don't understand?
bob holmes, axbridge e, England
The "Feels Like Factor," far from being "scientifically nonsense" has ample scientific justification. It's a combination of the heat index ("The Assessment of Sultriness", R. G. Steadman, Journal of Applied Meteorology, July 1979) and the wind chill factor ("The New Wind Chill Equivalent Temperature Chart", Osczevski, Randall and Maurice Bluestein, Bulletin of the American Meterological Society, October 2005). Perhaps Ms. Reid should study some science before deciding what does or doesn't qualify as such.
Kevin Parker, Greenbelt, MD, USA