Simon Jenkins
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The prime minister should summon his relevant ministers and decide not to proceed with Heathrow’s third runway. As protesters were festooning the Palace of Westminster with banners on Wednesday, Gordon Brown rightly told the Commons that decisions on such matters should be taken in the house and not on its roof.
But he knows that the House of Commons does not take decisions; the government does. His government has acquired a dreadful reputation for not taking them or fudging them or reversing them or just umming and ahing. Now he has an opportunity to bang the table and say, no runway.
Last autumn Ruth Kelly, his new transport secretary, felt the full heat of commercial lobbying as BAA, the London airport operator, and BA, Britain’s flag carrier, told the government to break its historic pledge to the people of west London “for all time” that there would be no new runway at Heathrow.
As recently as 2001 they had agreed that a new runway was “totally unacceptable”, but this was a tactic to secure permission for terminal 5. It was blatant corporate mendacity, like BA’s claim that a third runway would reduce carbon emissions. Now they claim to want a terminal 6 and a fourth runway. Will they, we wonder, be content to leave the Queen safe in Windsor Castle?
The government, having allowed yet another giant travel warehouse to be built at terminal 5, has been thrown into a total dither. Its business friends told it that it should agree to the runway but it could not face saying so. Ministers first suggested a smaller runway, then a bigger one. They did what Brown always does when reluctant to decide and “went out to consultation”. This is a signal to interested parties to spend money like water on public relations to ease any eventual ministerial pain.
The result was apparently unforeseen, a deluge of 18,000 objections, a direct action campaign and sustained abuse of ministers for what, with every passing month, seems a dumb, not to mention antediluvian, retreat before the Big Carbon lobby.
The Civil Aviation Authority unhelpfully published a map of the noise zones for landings and takeoffs for jets using the new runway, apparently embracing everywhere with a W in its postcode, not least Hampstead, Kensington and Chiswick. It also published a new set of stacking patterns over the London area. Some seemed craftily located plumb over outer London marginal constituencies.
London’s airport planning has yet to arrive in the 20th century, let alone the 21st. Short of converting jumbo jets to gliders, the present pandemonium in the sky over Richmond and Windsor is to be extended to much of west London. Such has been the deluge of protest that ministerial faces are said to blanch, despite a countervailing burst of the most frantic wining, dining, job-offering and expenses-paying campaign known to Whitehall lobbying.
The biggest chicken now coming home to roost at Heathrow is the failure, in the 1970s, to locate London’s third airport on Maplin Sands in the Thames estuary, as recommended by all pundits apart from those interested in seabirds. Instead it was put at Stansted, which the airlines hated and where every countryside lobby would fight future growth. The same was true of Gatwick, whose residents were given a similar pledge to Heathrow’s but in their case one that has been honoured, so far.
The pressure duly reverted to Heathrow. Surrounded by dense development and with landings and takeoffs being over residential neighbourhoods, this must be the craziest place in Europe to site a large modern airport. That Heathrow still has only two runways, when most international hubs have at least three, is testament to the stupidity of allowing Heathrow to expand at all.
The predictable has happened. Heathrow became the “flag carrier” hub of British aviation and its relentless growth a test of government machismo. While expanding Gatwick and Stansted would have affected fewer people, they were not where BAA and BA wanted to be. Money talked.
The disastrous privatisation of BAA as a de facto monopoly saw it slide into the hands of the Spanish giant Ferrovial. This is one of many European corporations able to use its domestic security to stage highly geared takeover bids of British quasi-monopolies, bids that would not be tolerated by any other European state. It bought BAA two years ago for £10.1 billion, saddling the company in the process with a colossal £9.3 billion of debt. Sceptics wondered how this could possibly be serviced.
Handling this debt has dominated BAA management ever since, as Heathrow’s users have witnessed to their horror. An inability to handle lunatic decisions on airline security has left queues everywhere. Each last penny has been squeezed out of the company, so that the airports look like downmarket shopping malls with retail outlets cramming every corner, while delayed passengers sleep miserably on the floors. One reason BA is slithering down the airline performance league table is its deathly embrace with BAA.
In desperation BAA is selling both its property arm and its retail business, World Duty Free. There are persistent rumours in the City that it may be forced to stop all airport maintenance and terminal renewal – right before the London Olympics. Its debt is threatened with junk status, making it highly expensive to service. This is what happens with dumb privatisations. Last week push came to shove and Stephen Nelson, the BAA chief executive, was fired after less than two years in the job.
BAA may say it needs a third runway but this conforms to no known canon of planning, except possibly that of concentrating all the miseries of modern transport where they already exist. While the relative carbon footprint of air travel is often overstated by lobbyists, it must be mad to plan to allow such travel to double over the next two decades with no attempt to curb demand with higher taxes.
Business may like good air links, and having London as a European hub may have beneficial side effects (for some), but the atrocious state of Heathrow does not appear to have impeded London’s advance over the past decade. And it defies common sense to confuse the market for commercial travel with a separate, carbon-crazy boom in cut-price foreign holidays that cannot be considered a national economic necessity.
Only a third of travellers using Heathrow are classified as business, and even fewer of London airports overall. The claim that Heathrow expansion is “vital” for British business is palpable rubbish. The fiscal indulgence of the cheap travel market by the Treasury over the past decade has been a political indulgence, in effect buying votes.
The solution to Heathrow’s manifest problems would be to expel to other airports all destinations that can as quickly be reached by train, all that are primarily for leisure and all private jets. A lot of prestige national airlines might be upset, and a few tycoons. But travel is always a balance of inconveniences. If Heathrow is facing a crisis, then curb the monster; do not just feed it.
Most normal people are now persuaded that, whatever else should guide planning policy, a concern to reduce waste and conserve energy should be uppermost. It would be appropriate to use the tax system to reduce Britain’s carbon-heavy holidays. It would make sense to boost domestic tourism by discouraging foreign travel. Britain is heavily in the red on its tourism account. It would also make sense not to build another airport anywhere in London but direct traffic, whether it likes it or not, to regional and local airports and reduce pressure on the roads.
The truth is that on a fiscally level field, we have no knowledge of what might be the demand for air travel, as against a propensity to take more holidays at home. Either way the question deserves consideration. Or do Brown and Kelly have absolutely no commitment to joined-up government?
Sometimes a prime minister must lead rather than follow. Sometimes he must go in unpopular directions. Yet one of the achievements of the green movement has been to make its concerns both global and popular. That popularity should help this ever timid prime minister to reject the third runway and get his air travel policy into some sort of order.

Simon Jenkins edited The Times from 1990-92, going on to contribute a twice weekly column until 2005. He now writes weekly for The Sunday Times. He was formerly political editor of The Economist and Editor of The Evening Standard, and has been deputy chairman of English Heritage and a member of the Millennium Commission. He was knighted for his services to journalism in 2004
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Simon, another excellent article that although I suspect we will need the estuary option. What is quite obvious is expanding Heathrow is mad and no other country on earth would even consider it.
Perhaps it is the fact that we are being governed by a Scotsman that makes it possible that this plan by Spaniards (to pay off their debts on BAA) with support from an Irishman (at BA) is even being considered. Meanwhile the Englishman (and all the nationalities that live and work and play in our capital city ) will be left wondering why this is the only great city on earth to have the airport serving it using it as a flightpath!
Does Heathrow serve London or does London serve Heathrow that is the question. This is a historic opportunity for the government to get the answer right.
David, London,
"It would make sense to boost domestic tourism by discouraging foreign travel."
Are you completely mad? Plenty of things already discourage foreign travel: airport security queues, cramped aircraft, language barrier, etc. But overseas holidays are excellent value for money - British tourist destinations are overpriced (e.g. Cornwall) and poor quality (e.g. Blackpool) by comparison. It's far cheaper to spend a week in Spain or Turkey than a week in Cornwall or the Lake District, and far more enjoyable than Blackpool or Southend.
Andrew Montgomery, Oxford, UK
Airlines should move to areas like Bournemouth which have good travel links to the whole of the South of England and has plenty of spare capacity and would then enable Heathrow to develop a sensible airport operation. It is madness for these airlines to allow their passengers to put up with the problems currently at Heathrow.
Allan, Bournemouth,
the goverment must decide to build a new airport in the Thames estuary.This new airport could handle all non transatlantic traffic,just think of the saving in C02 emissions if all air traffic from the east stopped 20km short of London.There would have to be fast efficient rail links put in first,not like the channel tunnel rail link which opened ten years after the tunnel opened.
a.bellamy, york,
Heathrow is not a bad place for transatlantic flights .Where are these mysterious destinations to which train or bus would be quicker or cheaper .Only Paris and that is so heavily subsidised that the economics of high speed rail mean it is unlikely to expand .Horrible to contemplate but air travel is likely to be with us for a while yet.
H
g p edlin, london, uk
There is a very strong economic case for 24 hour airport in Thames Estuary. The problem is the project would run for a period of several elections and does not have the short term effect needed by a weak and short term thinking government.
The funding is available to undertake this project, shut down heathrow over a period of time and transfer the jobs to the new airport.
The new airport would have no noise issues would mean that no plane has to fly over a built up area and the terrorist threat is removed over night.
The airport would be able to expand simple by running flights 24 hours and planes could take off at more senisible times from their long haul points of departure.
The number of passengers could be doubled, and hence the economic impact with the additional redevelopment of heathrow for mixed retail and housing would; have a positive impact on the uk economy that would manifest itself over the next twenty years.
The arguments are very strong
J de Rin , London , UK
For all the talk of a Thames Estuary airport, has anyone considered how far from optimal this would be for the population west of London - the Thames Valley and beyond?
Heathrow is a reasonable location in terms of what could be achieved with public transport links but those transport links were never fully exploited - eg. allowing only the premium Heathrow Express and not building a west facing rail entrance to allow Reading and west to access it.
What's needed is for Heathrow (or a replacement) to be a full part of the railway network. Only then will futile air operations to Manchester, Leeds and Liverpool be replaced by environmentally sound trains.
Jim, oxford,
Curbing our holidays is a worryingly Stalinist statement from you. I have just come back fom a remote valley in Slovakia, where a skiing holiday for 3 of us cost £1500 all in. It gave money to locals and helped them develop their tourist indutsry. The service and accomadation was first class. They are always pleased to see us. Last summer we tried our first UK holiday for 10 yeaars and went to Newquay for the same period. It cost a lot more and was a worse holiday, the weather was awful as was the accomadation. The drunkeness had to be seen to be believed. Sorry Simon but the UK is too expensive, weather dodgy and facilities poor. Please dont tell me where to have a holiday.
Happy holiday, London , UK
Our Scottish PM is intent on being Head of UK Clearances and driving the English insane with
Noise,
Pollution
Exposure to danger from aircraft crash
Ruining the British economy by exporting our holiday makers
STOP, STOP, STOP
n wARREN, E Twickenham, Middx
Quite right Simon, and I also endorse the comments of Mr Davies.
Heathrow is the pits, confusing , crowded and scruffy, and if I had been unable to hub via Schipol from a regional airport when living in the UK, I just would not have bothered to go in the first place. Many regional airports, particulary Cardiff, are under-used, and a hundred times more covnenient for many at far less cost and hassle. It seems crazy not to support a better balance of international flight access.
Terry, L'Absie, France
I'm fed up with the UK government's attitude towards aviation and airports. You can't continue to build more runways and thereby enable more flights, when at the same time you want to reduce noise pollution and CO2 emissions. You can't have it both ways.
It's a mystery to me why the government behaves as if the growth of the aviation sector was some sort of natural phenomenon. Remember, you're the government - these are things you have direct control over. Use your powers to tax aviation higher. The government should also make train or bus journeys to short-haul destinations more attractive. There really shouldn't be any need to fly from London to Cardiff or Edinburgh.
Paulina, London, UK
Nobody want's to go to Heathrow, in most cases they have no choice.
Bharat Mistry, London, UK
Common sense. Some of the questions to be asked is why BA has not developed flights out of Manchester and Birmingham. KLM operates out of nearly every UK airport and superb Schipol makes it easy to transfer. Here in Cardiff our airport usage is stunted because of poor road and no rail connections - no funds apparently available to fix the problem. Last but not least what is wrong with more flights out of Norhtholt. Sorry forgot - that is for VIP's and royalty. Dont want that to get congested do we !
G Davies, Cardiff, Wales
the proposed 3rd runway is insane. our asian 'neighbours' have shown how to successfuly relocate a national airport in both japan and hong kong. we should be bold and do the same.
stephen, china, china
"...lead rather than follow"?
Come on, Simon, I've always quite enjoyed your writing but, suddenly, you've turned to fantasy.
If there's one thing I've learned above all others, over the years, it's that money talks.
Steve Heseltine, Scunthorpe, North Lincolnshire