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For decades a powerful trio remained separated by political rivalries, border disputes and atavistic fears. But the meeting in Delhi yesterday of the foreign ministers of India, China and Russia underlined the extraordinary changes forging a powerful new geostrategic alliance. Together with Russia’s 143 million people, the world’s two most populous nations, each with more than a billion, account for about 40 per cent of the world’s population, a fifth of the global economy and more than half its nuclear warheads. The three are fast emerging as the world’s new great powers, dominating global manufacturing, energy supplies and, increasingly, the service sector. And as their societies grow richer and their global reach longer, their interest in asserting their collective economic and political strength becomes ever greater.
The three ministers insisted in their com-muniqué that they are strongly committed to “multilateral diplomacy” and that their new grouping was not directed against “the interests of any other country”. This comes as close as diplomatic language allows to telling Washington that this is not a new antiAmerican alliance. For indeed, India, especially, values its burgeoning relationship with the US, which has already yielded an unprecedented agreement on nuclear cooperation and bolsters the role of Indian technology. China, too, has a vital interest in allaying Washington’s concerns about its economic emergence and its political intentions. Only Russia under President Putin seems to be relapsing into crude antiAmericanism, publicly berating the Bush Administration over Iraq, Iran and US missile defences though he, too, needs to sell Russian energy in the West and ease the tension that he has recently exacerbated.
Yet for all their public emollience, the underlying message to Washington is clear: the three countries are challenging America’s status as the sole superpower, and want to build a “multipolar” world. This was reinforced by their emphasis on strengthening the United Nations, feeble as it is. India, China and Russia have far more in common with the US than they are generally prepared to concede, including their concerns about Islamic extremism, which will become an increasingly pressing issue for all three.
The departure from the past, however, is their determination to surmount bilateral divisions. India and Russia have, since Soviet days, had warm relations recently reinforced by President Putin’s visit and booming arms sales. But China has not been close to either. Border disputes soured relations with India in 1962 and with the Soviet Union in 1969. China’s trade with the two remains below its potential (though rising fast with India). And Russia has long been focused more on the West than on Asia, though it is now exploiting the demand for its energy from both India and China.
Washington should look with equanimity on this rapprochement. China and India have no intention of sacrificing links with America. Both may act as a moderating force on what seems to be the paranoid resentment coming from Moscow. Both can provide a stable framework for the rapid advance of the Asian region. And all three have a vital interest in securing a predictable trading environment, to enrich their impatient, populous and demanding audiences at home.
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The trilateral gives India a chance to corner China with the help of Russia.
One agrees with the edit that India and China, in turn can moderate Russia whose anti-US shrill is misplaced.
UN reforms and multipolarity are welcome
sriram, delhi, india
Its about time these two countries, China and India came together. Historically, both have ancient cultures, facets of which are deeply rooted in their society today. Now, they have a burgeoning population, increasingly educated workforce and an economic potential that seems unstoppable. They have to come together to give the world a viable and morally upright option to US hegemony.
As for Islamice extremism, it is a myth, the US invasion of Iraq has single-handedly increased terrorism worldwide. If you single out an entire group of people based on religion for military action, it would be naive to expect no retaliation.
Remember, there were no televised beheading in Iraq before the invasion. Even the US allies would agree that its heavy handed and largely unilateral actions have given much fodder for Jihadis worldwide.
Anil K., Vancouver, Canada
If there is one opinion I would immediately trash, it is that of Peter Kauffner, who has two facets that endear him to all who know him: he knows nothing about everything, and everything about nothing. But he loves the sound of his own voice.
J L, Shenzhen, China
Up until the liberation of Iraq in 2003, China and Pakistan were allies against India. This reflected Jiang Zemin's vision of the world in which China was allied with Islam as a kind of superpower rival to the United States. By cosying up to India, Hu Jintao is putting trade first and showing geopolitical grandeur the door. You can see the same shift in priorities with North Korea. The recent US/NK agreement is the result of pressure that China brought to bear on NK. Hu was worried that Japan would respond to NK nuclear program with a nuclear program of its own.
Peter Kauffner, Chonburi, Thailand