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Tony Blair may have disappeared from the British political stage but there are some who would have his name up in lights internationally. Nicolas Sarkozy has proposed him as the European Union’s first permanent president, a job the former prime minister would no doubt feel obliged to take (in Europe’s interests, of course). When Mr Blair addressed a charity dinner in New York last week, his hosts expressed the wish that he could stand for the American presidency. No doubt if Mr Blair could, he would.
However, it was what the former prime minister said that has attracted more attention than his future employment. He told us in that speech that Iran is a prime engine of Islamist extremism, exporting and financing terror on an ever-increasing scale. Mr Blair warned that to ignore Iran’s threat would be to repeat the errors of those who turned a blind eye to the rise of Hitler and Mussolini in the inter-war years.
“Analogies with the past are never properly accurate . . . but, in pure chronology, I sometimes wonder if we’re not in the 1920s or 1930s again,” he said. “There is a tendency . . . to believe they are as they are because we have provoked them and if we left them alone they would leave us alone. I fear this is mistaken. They have no intention of leaving us alone. They have made their choice and leave us with only one - to be forced into retreat or exhibit even greater determination and belief in standing up for our values than they do in standing up for theirs.”
Mr Blair’s text could have been George Santayana’s timeless observation that those who ignore the mistakes of history are condemned to repeat them. Although, as the historian Antony Beevor pointed out, politicians tend to push this kind of analogy too far and learn the wrong lessons. Anthony Eden likened Egypt’s President Nasser to Hitler, while Paul Wolfowitz made the same comparison with Saddam Hussein, who was more of a low-rent Stalin. Mr Blair, in arguing for the Iraq invasion, used the appeasement argument and George Bush compared the 9/11 attacks on America to Pearl Harbor.
Even so, Mr Blair is right to warn us about Iran. The regime does sponsor terrorist groups across the Middle East and is actively conniving in the deaths of British soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan. Its regime vows to wipe out Israel. Its nuclear programme - benign it says - can scarcely be taken at face value after it tried so hard to conceal it from the world.
It is scarcely an exaggeration to say that Iran’s ambitions pose one of the greatest threats to peace in the Middle East. Mr Blair believes the most important lesson of the past is to confront aggression and to do it slowly, firmly and with an unbending will. Opponents of western democracies must always believe that there is the resolve to use force behind the diplomacy and the sanctions. If they doubt that, the cause is lost and Iran will carry on unimpeded.
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I fear that Blair is right. After Iraq we have lost our will. Pity, because you look at Iraq and see the change that is coming. Iran is though, the government is hated at home, but an attack on the govt would bring the people to their side. No good choices that is for sure.
Oh come on Harrow...get off of it. Israel is in the Euro tv contest for god's sake. They are in Euro 08 group play. Is Iran?? Is Palestine?? Israel is our friend. (yes I know you hate that) How often did Blair go and visit Iran... LOL
Kinger, south bend, USA/indiana
Iran has always been a far greater threat than Saddam Hussein. Of course, had Britain and America not thought Mossadegh was such a terrible threat because he nationalized the Anglo-American oil company and overthew him, reinstalling the Shah to do their bidding, none of this would have happened. The Iranian government is hated by most Iranians. Where are British and American intelligence now that we need them to get rid of a regime without a war that the Iranianm people want to be rid of?
Richard Cummings, Sag Harbor, NY, USA
Blair is a vacuous tactician, not a strategist and knows nothing about history. If he did he wouldn't have so thoughtlessly vandalised the constitution of the United Kingdom.
AA, New York,
Next comes the 45 minute warning.
Only gullible Americans take what Tony Blair says as being anywhere near the real situation, after all his bestest buddy is President George W. Bush.
More recent lessons from New Labour history has taught the British people to look behind who stands to win and whose son's and daughter's will pay with their lives before believing anything with the signature of A. Blair on it.
A religious head count of the members of the Blair inner circle and government would confirm the man has a biased view of the Middle East.
In his ten years in No.10 how often did he visit Palestine or Iran? Then enquire how often he or his minsiters visited Israel?
Ken.H, HARROW,
Just look how much trouble Iran is causing today throughout the Middle-East (Israel, lebanon, Iraq, Afganistan)... This is nothing compared to what we'll get if we would be stupid enought to let them go nuclear"...As opposed to Israel who are model middle eastern citizens who dont have nuclear weapons and if they did would sign the NPT...Oh
John P, Newcastle, UK
Just look how much trouble Iran is causing today throughout the Middle-East (Israel, lebanon, Iraq, Afganistan)... This is nothing compared to what we'll get if we would be stupid enought to let them go nuclear...
nir, jerusalem, israel