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A year after Dame Eliza Manningham-Buller, then head of MI5, outlined in chilling detail the scale and sophistication of the threat to Britain from al-Qaeda and its terrorist associates, the news from the Security Service remains bleak. Jonathan Evans, her successor, said yesterday that the number of individuals identified as having links with terrorism had risen in a year from 1,600 to at least 2,000. Al-Qaeda was grooming children and teenagers for terrorism and was planning attacks not only from camps in Pakistan but also from new bases in Somalia and Algeria. He said that the Security Service was facing “the most immediate and acute peacetime threat” in its 98-year history.
He said the violence directed against Britain was the product of a much wider extremist ideology, whose basic tenets were inimical to tolerance and liberty, the basis of Britain’s democracy. Intelligence and the security agencies could do no more than contain the threat; there would, he said, be more attempts to cow the country, harm its people and divide its communities.
His assessment is neither new nor surprising, but there remains a reluctance in our society to accept this new reality. There have been attempts in the past year to follow up the 7/7 bombings, with the failed London car bombs and botched suicide attacks at Glasgow airport. Little comfort can be drawn from these crude operations. As Mr Evans noted, the primitive can be just as deadly as the sophisticated. But several factors ought to persuade the public that this is a struggle that not only must but also can be won. The first is that the security services are no longer naive in their risk assessment. Strengthened by a sharp rise in their budget and manpower, bringing MI5’s strength up from 3,000 today to 4,000 by 2011, Britain’s intelligence services are working increasingly with each other and with the police to overcome some of the rivalries.
The second factor is the long-term nature of the counter-terrorist strategy. Just as the Cold War honed skills needed for two generations, so the security services are calling for persistence in preparing for a long struggle. In this, they do not expect to be alone. The public, faith groups, community leaders and the media are crucial to any strategy to defeat those who would corrupt religion for political ends. The crucial issue is trust. Already, Mr Evans said, the security agencies are receiving information daily. He underlined, rightly, that intelligence operated best when it went with, not against, the grain of public opinion. Explaining the purpose of the agency’s work is obviously essential, but so is the support of Islamic groups, which are sometimes tempted to portray the police and intelligence services as intrinsically hostile.
The terrorists’ greatest ally is complacency. Maintaining constant vigilance is costly and time-consuming. The long queues at airports, the repetitive questions and the routine security inspections at public events can appear to the public more of an irritant than a necessary precaution. But they might, at any moment, be the extra obstacle that detects or prevents a would-be bomber. A free society does not welcome a mentality of mistrust, nor one that snoops on neighbours and gossips to agents of the State. But a society will not remain free unless it is intolerant of the intolerant. We need to be assured that the spooks are behaving responsibly. But we also need to ensure that terrorists cannot attack our life and liberty.
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My name is Ahmad muskinyar from London, Sir I studied the article of Musa Jalalzai and found it very useful because he mentionrd future terror threat and he is quite right in his analysis. This article must be distributes in all britain cities and please reprint this.
A.Muskinyar, London, UK
I read the article of musa khan jalalzai in Times on line. this is useful article. the threat he mentioned is real.
thank you.
Skandari
M.H Skandari, London, UK
this is giid article I read yester day. The Time sould publish more articles
M.H Skandari, London, UK
This is verymuch important article from musa khan jalalzai. I know him he is the author of 100 books on terrorism and other issues
khald
Dr,Khalid, Lahore, Pakistan
The Threat of Terrorism in the UK
Musa Khan Jalalzai
Terrorism in the post-Soviet era in the UK and Europe has been a complex phenomenon, difficult to describe because perceptions and understanding have lagged significantly behind in a situation that is changing with unprecedented rapidity. The most active and well-known terrorist groups of Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bangladesh and the Arab world and their activities in the UK are a matter of great concern. It is known that these terrorist organisations command absolute loyalty of their members and impose a regime of strict discipline through inexorable repression against those who disobey.
Very often, terrorists act under the shelter of religious organisations. Penetrating a new region, extremists usually start with just peaceful missionary activity. Understanding terrorism in the UK requires a multi-disciplinary approach. I hope it does not happen that terrorism will entrench itself as a commonality throughout the world.
The recent plans of the British government to tackle the issue of Islamic extremism in the country are based on some flaws that are to be debated in open forums. A new action plan to step up work with Muslim communities to isolate, prevent and defeat violent extremism may prove effective because to tackle the issue of extremism in the country, the government needs to take into confidence Muslim groups. The plan of the government to bear down on radicals without stigmatising the whole Muslim community may succeed. It is a hard, but necessary task.
According to official figures of the Brown government, up to 4,000 Islamic extremists have attended terrorist training camps in Afghanistan before returning to Britain. Another report reveals that there are many dangerous people living in various cities who belong to terror groups. The alarming figure raises fresh questions about UK border controls and the capacity of the intelligence and security services to keep the country safe. It demonstrates how Gordon Brownâs plans for tighter checks on people entering Britain will come too late to keep out many dangerous individuals.
According to newspaper reports, more than 400,000 journeys are made each year between Britain and Pakistan. A vast majority of them are legal. It is not known how many travellers continue their journey overland into Afghanistan. The UK visa in Pakistan and Afghanistan is being sold at different prices. A senior security source in the UK is of the view that there are 3,000 to 4,000 people who went from the UK to Afghanistan and came back. I support this because there are Taliban members living in the country. The important question is, where are they now?
A confidential April 2004 Cabinet policy document warned that some Muslims, particularly young men, were vulnerable to extremism. âAl Qaeda and its offshoots provide a dramatic pole of attraction for the most disaffected,â it said. According to Frank Gregory, âAfter 9/11 a significant, controversial, and swiftly-drafted piece of legislation was enacted: the Anti-Terrorism Crime and Security Act 2001. It was a particularly controversial piece of legislation.â
The Home Office in London says that it is right that the government and law enforcement agencies do everything possible to counter it. That includes tackling those who seek to foster hatred or promote terrorism, sending a strong message that they are not welcome in the UK. Prominent Indian scholar B. Raman in his research paper has concluded that the communities of Pakistani origin in the UK are concentrated in London, Birmingham, Bradford, Leeds, Northern Ireland, Leicester, and Oldham. They have been in the forefront of the local support for al Qaeda and the various Pakistani jihadi organisations.
Adrian Morgan in his research article published in Spero News (July 24, 2007) has warned that some asylum seekers adopt three or four identities. On July 5, he says, an asylum seeker who had used three separate identities was jailed for nine years by a court in Manchester, northern England. This man, Omar Altimimi, had three separate identities and was said to be an al Qaeda âsleeperâ agent. Recently, the head of Interpol, Ronald K. Noble, was reported to have criticised Britainâs checks of travellers to the UK against its global database. Once inside Britain, it is easy for individuals to assume othersâ identities. One hundred individuals from the Muslim minority in the country are awaiting trial on terror charges.
On the issue of terror finance, the government says that there is evidence that organisations with charitable status have been involved in financing terrorism. Britainâs security minister on July 8, 2007 claimed that the fight against terrorism in the UK could take 15 years. In my personal opinion, tackling the issue of terrorism in the UK may take many years because it has deep roots in society. Prime Minister Gordon Brown once revealed before the MPs that his government has established a unified border force, which will bring together officers from the immigration service, revenue and customs and UK visas. From next month, travellers arriving at UK ports and airports will be met by a âhighly visible uniformed presenceâ. According to the recently released figures of the Home Office, between September 11, 2001 and March this year, 1,228 people were arrested on suspicion of terror offences. Of those, 669 were released without charge and only 241 had been charged with offences under terrorism legislation.
The writer is the author of 156 books on terrorism, extremism, human trafficking, Afghanistan, drug trafficking, and foreign policy studies and is based in London, UK
musa khan jalalzai, London, UK
The terrorists will lose. The fight against terrorism can and will be won. We need to maintain our sense of courage in the face of an ongoing threat from people who want to force us into giving up our values and ways of life. Terrorists and those sympathetic to their cause will try to divide us and scare us into submission, but they will lose.
Karl Chads, London, UK
The Time is a respected newspaper in UK, the comment gives us good information but I must say there will be terror attack in future in uk. Extremist groups send there workers as asylum seekers here then make future plans.
musa khan jalalzai, London, UK
I wonder if this "intelligent" chappie at this silly James Bond outfit has ever heard of the term "role fulfilment". Teachers are well aware of it in relation to delinquent pupils and try not to reinforce negative behaviour by expecting it and treating the miscreants as if they are all but inevitable criminals.
Of course, had Bomber Blair and his henchmen still governing Britain not set such a shocking example of terrorism by illegally invading sovereign nations and wreaking untold havoc and carnage, there would not have been such a dismal role model to follow.
But in any case, by far the more worrying threat comes from secret outfits like MI5, CIA, ASIO (in Oz) STASI, KGB, Gestapo and whatever other silly names they call themselves. Historically EVERY secret police outfit anywhere has abused its powers and turned on the very people it's supposed to be protecting. Secret outfits are intrinsically dangerous and are ineffective and counter-productive anyway. Get rid of MI5!
David, Hervey Bay, Oz
Relying on "The public, faith groups, community leaders and the media" to form the basis of our national security will not work.
We cannot keep tabs on so many people in so many different ethnic groups which wish to harm us.
We cannot beat the numbers - remember the old IRA mantrim "We only have to be lucky once".
The real criminals are those which have allowed mass immigration to continue unabated leaving the British people defenceless.
Our government has failed us and we pay with our lives.
As such our security services can only mitigate the number of WMD attacks but an attack will surely come.
Kevin Smith, London, England
How about regaining control of our borders for a start!
Richard, Kidderminster, England
We have faced adversity before in this country and because of a strong, undivided home front we have won through. Despite what is written about the conditions of the working classes, the âscum of the earthâ armies and the social division of class in this country, we have never been as vulnerable to a fifth column as now. Apart from the miners striking during the last war, there have been few acts perpetrated that could diminish the nationâs cohesiveness and, thankfully, the survival of the British Isles as an independent entity for purposeful good in the world. We have actively undermined our native working class for no gain, the cohesive element of our society is being lost; we have not faced such peril since the mining of Parliament in the seventeenth century. This country now has a Diaspora that can, and does, dictate foreign policy, which we know to be absolutely impossible to assuage without changing faith or supporting social mores alien to us. We are afraid but only placate.
Malcolm Turner, Alsager, England