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Australians have voted for change, and by a striking margin. This does not mean that they have rejected everything which John Howard achieved while he was their Prime Minister. Mr Howard presided over a robust economy and a more confident country, for which he deserves considerable credit, but he made the classic mistake of staying in office for longer than his electorate found acceptable. In replacing him with Kevin Rudd, Australia has opted not for a revolutionary shift in policy but for a softer and more rounded version of the status quo. There will be some in the Labor Party who do not share this assessment. If Mr Rudd listens to that faction, then he will doom himself and his fledgeling Goverment. He needs to be an antipodean version of Tony Blair, smoothing off the rough edges of a long-serving predecessor, not reversing political course entirely.
In domestic policy, therefore, he should largely stick with what he has inherited. When confronted with demands to allow the trade unions more authority, he should ignore that counsel and turn to his own wife, a highly effective entrepreneur, for advice about how best to strike the balance in labour relations. The poor, in particular, would not benefit from a new settlement in which it became harder to replace employees but less enticing to hire them in the first place. Where Mr Rudd can really add value here is by focusing his energy on education, an area which Mr Howard failed to make the priority it should have been. Mr Rudd could do much better.
In international affairs, Mr Rudd should take another look at his election promises. The pledge to make a “phased withdrawal” of Australian troops from Iraq was made when the situation there was not anything like as encouraging as to-day. To cut and run would be profoundly irrational and deeply divisive in terms of Australia’s relations with the United States, and would rightly be regarded with contempt by Iraqis. There are many in his party who would urge Mr Rudd to distance himself from the present Washington Administration. Yet this would be damaging not simply between now and January 2009 but with the next President, Republican or Democratic.
It would also be ironic as Mr Rudd, a former diplomat, should see foreign policy as his strong suit. He understands that Australia is an Asian nation and not a large part of Europe mysteriously mislocated in the Southern Hemisphere. Partly because of his generation, Mr Howard never fully appreciated this truth and did not convince his neighbours that he was comfortable with them. Mr Rudd, by contrast, will, as he has pledged, reach out to China, India and Indone-sia. There will be difficulties in his dealings with all these countries, but Australia should have a presence with them. In the spirit of looking to Asia, the country also has to look again at its constitutional arrangements and ask whether they make sense in the context of the coming century.
If Mr Rudd is smart, he will realise that many in the Labor Party maintain only a semidetached relationship with the real world. He has a substantial personal mandate and should exploit it to advance his own agenda and not become merely the frontman for an unattractive party machine. The Asian model is the one which should appeal to him. It is also the only one that will keep him in power.
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"He understands that Australia is an Asian nation and not a large part of Europe mysteriously mislocated in the Southern Hemisphere."
Interestingly, London is closer to Beijing than Canberra is. Does this make the UK a part of Asia also?
The argument that Australia is a "part of Asia" was fashionable among the elites during the Keating era, but never really gained any popular acceptance. In truth, most people are sensible enough to recognise that Australia is not an Asian nation, neither geographically nor culturally.
A more balanced approach for Australia would be for the country to assert its European traditions and to enhance its national sovereignty, while remaining outward-looking and building good relations with Asian nations. Fashionable orthodoxies aside, Australia should celebrate its uniqueness as a nation-continent, not erase its identity and heritage in an attempt to "fit in" to a certain region.
Edward, Adelaide, Australia
And exactly what is the "Asian model" that is to be inflicted
on a largely European Christian values population ?
Charles, Perth , Western Australia
A propos your previous correspondent: Why shouldn't we ask Lin Lei to lose his belief in his identity being Chinese in order to allow him to trade with us? What a foolish comment he makes, we are who we are, and happy are those who know who they are. I think we can all get on best if we are who we are, and don't try to pretend otherwise.
Rosemary from Sydney has it about right and so has your journalist. We don't expect radical change, but attention to some things that have been neglected, like climate and education.
David Croaker, Canberra, Australia
on the Iraq question, Rudd hasn't scheduled a 'cut-and-run', he's promised a withdrawal of all 'combat' troops. this involves leaving australian personnel in Iraq who are involved in the 'rebuilding' process (if we can actually believe building of anything but oil infrastructure is taking place).
so by taking this action, Rudd is effectively acknowledging that combat troops are there on false pretences, something the rational part of the world came to terms with a long time ago. but by leaving non-combat forces there he is signalling that he would like to see the damage our despicable coalition has done reversed. it's quite a humane response, rather than merely wiping our hands of the mess.
to describe the Iraq situation as 'encouraging' is quite a stretch, and merely relative to the peak of the carnage. just because less 'friendly's' are dying doesn't mean anything except the fact that they've started thinking for themselves and stopped actively seeking combat.
Tony, Sydney, Australia
I agree basically what you say except this busibness about the Asian Model. Looking at the Asian countries around, most of them, except India have democratic deficit,. As a person of Indian extraction in the UK I cannot understand what Mr Rudd will gain from reaching out to India or even for the matter China. These two countries are hungry for raw materials which Australia has plenty and Mandarin -speaking Rudd should t pause and think what is best for his country before signing away the copper and iron ores to China and Uranium to India. Surely Chin ese dictatorship and corrupt Indian politics cannot do much by way of cooperation. Kyoto is meaningless as long as China and India are galloping fast consuming the resources of the planet. Mr Rudd should ensure that the characteristics of Australia as it is today is maintained. Mass immigration of Indians, Chinese and indonesians can only produce problems later.
Rober Shah, LONDON,
I don't think Australians generally see the country as an Asian nation, or that Asian countries view Australia that way. As mentioned, that was a theme during the Keating years but rather fizzled. It's more accurate to describe Australia as part of the Asia Pacific region, and whose primary interests are in the region. Being known as a US ally can have both a plus and negative side in the region
Australia is developing a relationship with China which has the potential to go beyond the commercial, and this may be where Rudd's experience as a diplomat in China might be put to good use
rosemary, sydney , australia
Australia is welcome to join the pax-ASIA in future trade and political talks. As long as it is speaking with the best interests of Australians and the Asian continent at heart. Not the interests of Eurocentrics throughout the world. Australia will have to lose it's belief in its identiity being white, European and "Western" in order to stake claim to its place as an equal trading partner and political ally with India, China and other Asian nations.
Lin Lei, Guangzhou, China
I agree with David Williams. Most Asians do not see Australia or New Zealand as part of Asia, but rather as an American ally in the region. Not that Asians think or care too much about the UK though.
John Rivers, London, UK
Australia has tried to look to Asia before during the Keating years. The problem is not that Australia refuses to think of itself as Asian, many, largely on the left, do. The reality is that Asians do not in any significant number see Australia as part of them and are unlikely to do so for a long-time yet. Trade may swing this way and that but culturally and politically Australia is an English speaking white majority nation and the Chinese, Japanese and Indians therefore see it as a partner to the U.S. and U.K. not them.
David Williams, Beijing, China