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Ed Balls, the Schools Secretary and Gordon Brown's closest political ally, calls today in his interview with The Times for an end to the “indulgent nonsense” that has lately swept the Labour Party. His colleagues should instead, he insists, be working flat out for victory in the local elections. His argument might be rational but it is destined to pass unheeded. This has been an extraordinary fortnight during which the old convention that a parliamentary recess represents a respite for the government of the day has been upended. The level of hostile briefing, open dissent from the obscure likes of Lord Desai yesterday and the stark collective fatalism that has been on display is astonishing and damaging. Barely a month ago, Labour was a modest three points behind in the opinion polls and slowly if unspectacularly closing in on the Conservatives. Now it is all at sea.
If it feels bad for the Prime Minister, it is certain to become worse still. The month ahead has “misery” written through it like a word in a stick of rock. Labour MPs have been stunned at the backlash among their constituents at the abolition of the 10p tax band and one of their ranks has resigned as a parliamentary private secretary in protest. Yet as (bad) luck would have it, they will be required to vote for this measure in the House of Commons at the end of this month. A few days later, voters will go to the polls for the local elections, where Labour faces the prospect of heavy losses nationally and the possible rejection of Ken Livingstone in London. After that body blow, the Government will then ask for support in its controversial (doomed?) attempt to increase the allowable period of detention without trial from the current 28 days to 42 days.
Ministers will not be able to claim, come the close of May, that any of this was a surprise to them. What they require instead is a coherent strategy that is designed to limited the damage.
This is far from a straightforward enterprise. The difficulties that the scrapping of the 10p tax band create should have been foreseen. A day after the 2007 Budget, this newspaper noted that Mr Brown's switch in personal taxation had been framed in such a way that “poorer taxpayers, in particular single people, are worse off”. This could only, it was asserted, be offset if “this Chancellor or the next were to raise the threshold at which income tax applied” by April 2008.
Neither Mr Brown nor Alistair Darling heeded that message or took that opportunity. The best that they can say to aggrieved backbench MPs (who themselves should have spotted this coming) is that they will not make the same mistake in the Pre-Budget Report this year. As for the local elections, Labour has little choice but to throw all the resources that it can into London in the hope that a triumph there would overshadow the embarrassment that is bound to occur outside the capital. That Mr Brown should find himself so dependent on Mr Livingstone, whom he has loathed for decades, is ironic, but politics is a paradoxical profession. The Cabinet might also ask itself whether it would be more sensible and less humiliating to abandon or vastly scale back the 42-day detention scheme at a moment of its choosing than to plough on to a Commons debacle.
Mr Balls believes that administrations such as that in which he serves only lose elections when they have mishandled the economy, are divided among themselves and have lost touch with the concerns of the electorate. He is right about this. The next month will demonstrate how close the Government is to satisfying these conditions.
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My wife and I are 62, retired and live on my private pension of £8k,supported by our lifetime savings and interest [and no state handouts]. Our tax will now double to £400 as a result of the removal of [Gordons] 10p rate.
When we where saving for our old age we didn't expect to have to pay our taxes out of them.
It is people like us who are footing the £7 billion it would cost to abandon this incredable blunder.
John Skint, Wakefield, West Yorkshire
"How come Osborne et al haven't been hounding Nulab over this 10% tax thing for the year since it was announced?"
They did! Its only thanks to the efforts of certain sections of the media, especially the BBC, that they were denied exposure in favour of trumpeting the reduction of the basic rate to 20%.
"And where would their £7bn come from to make up the shortfall? Pathetic."
How about cutting handouts and prolific waste? Its ironic that a so called socialist you undoubtedly are (and i am not) can turn taking £7bn - your figure, not mine - out of the pockets of the very people who can least afford it into some sort of attack on the Tories! Thats whats pathetic my friend!
The most laughable thing i heard from this incompetant Government to justify this and their other tax burdens was that apparently a couple with three children on tax credits are better off? So what about the far larger majority that don't fit this profile eh?
A plague on the lot of them!!!!
Anthony, Birmingham,
You know, "figurewizard" asks a very good question.
Labour famously own a computer which can produce the dirt on any Tory at a moment's notice, and utter the come-back to any criticism of any Labour candidate just as fast.
Yet Brown can't count, can't add, can't calculate the consequences of a tax change for those affected, can't guess their likely reaction at the polls, and can't predict the toxic effect of a tax law change on a nearby local election.
Aren't these pretty basic skill for a senior politician?
I'm starting to see Labour politicians as being like those Civil Servants who are slaves to their little PCs, who only know what "the computer" tells them, and don't know anything "the computer" does not tell them.
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/US
A divided and sloppy labour party, but the embarrassing bandwagonesque behaviour of the Tories doesn't bode well for the next govt in power. How come Osborne et al haven't been hounding Nulab over this 10% tax thing for the year since it was announced? And where would their £7bn come from to make up the shortfall? Pathetic. The LibDems made an issue of it but then got caught up in their own problems. At least they noticed.
Expect Labour to lose plenty of seats to Tories and LibDems this year but, when push comes to shove, the opposition are SO weak (to quote Balls, according to Balls) in terms of policy and SO changeable according to mood that they'll struggle to gain a huge majority. They will probably need LibDem backing, and I expect that will concern some voters in the run up.
I know plenty of people who comment here think the whole country is desperate to get rid of this govt. but that simply isn't the case.
Ezra Mayo, Oxford,
Didn't the Labour party do its sums back in 2007 when this measure was introduced in Gordon Brown's last budget? The fact that it is only when the polls began to sound the alarm that the present clutch of dissenters crawled out of the undergrowth. The Labour party of old would have moved heaven and earth to strangle this assault on the low paid and pensioners at birth.
figurewizard, Petersfield, UK
I see that today Brown has announced that he plans to stick to his job, I suppose Harpic will be in order then to remove that stubborn Brown from the rim of public office.
Andrew Wakeling, London, uk
The critics are working flat out for victory by trying to remove Gordon Brown. And it would help Labour if Ed and Yvette Cooper disappeared as well.
Robert, Luton,
We are getting a lot of balls lately.The fixed smile and now the attempt to scramble a little further up the greasy pole on the misfortunes of his mentor ( sorry I read the intention as well as the words ) is classic.
I don't think I like him.
Again, read not his policy pronouncements for they will change with the wind. Labour grew 10 years of Government on personality and spin, so thats what I judge them on.
robert everittt, wolverhampton,
What Ed Balls forgets to mention is the electorate has had enough of the Labour Government and it is now time to move on.
Geoffrey Fish, Pontefract, Uk
To mis-quote the Lord Desai " Ed Balls only exists to make Mr Brown look human"
Colin MacMillan, Redditch, Worcs
If, according to Pop Eye Balls, mishandling the economy,division and losing touch with the electorate is a recipe for losing elections both he,Brown and the rest of this miserable excuse for government should congratulate themselves in creating a self fulfilling prophecy.I think we will all heave a sigh of relief when this disastrous experiment in
stalinist top down social engineering is consigned to the rubbish bin of history together with its brain dead adherents.
philip, Ipswich,
That's 3 boxes ticked then.
Mike, West Midlands, UK
Never before in my +50years of observing the political scene as a non-political party affiliate have I sensed a greater desire to be rid of such a dire administration. I do so hope that this editorial is right, that we are then released from this torment sooner rather than later and that there is no phoenix-like apparition waiting in the wings to draw us down even further as a nation, as communities and as individuals.
Terry, Chichester, UK
Labour SHOULD lose badly at the local elections.
Because:
1. They deserve to.
2. It will make them realise, for sure, how the British public feel about them.
Hopefully this will make listen to us and pull their socks up before the general election.
I say this so that we, Britainâs, can get the benefit, not for them to get credit.
I am a socialist but will not vote for labour locally, and because Blair, Brown and all the cronies have done so much social damage, will never trust them again.
I feel like a husband whose partner has had dozen of affairs and enough is enough, it is time for a divorce.
Bob, Warrington, Cheshire
Ed Balls is a commissar politician who, had he been at Stalingrad, would have cheerfully shot his own troops for wavering. The fate awaiting him, however, is that of the American officers in Vietnam who were shot in the back by their men. Everyone can see this, except Mr Balls, who suffers from the same personality flaws as his guide and mentor, Mr Brown.
John Price, London, England