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“Force cannot be the basis for the demarcation of new lines around Russia.” The German Foreign Minister offered this precise summary of the challenge facing Nato in Georgia as he arrived for yesterday's emergency summit in Brussels. Almost simultaneously, seven Russian armoured vehicles drove west out of Gori.
A withdrawal of sorts had begun. It offered some consolation on a bleak day for Nato commanders, informed yesterday morning of the deaths of ten French troops in a clash with Taleban forces in Afghanistan. President Sarkozy promptly vowed to fly there, and affirmed that “the cause is just”.
The same can be said of Nato's task of containing Russia in the Caucasus. For all the alliance's hesitancy in recent days, this task is also achiev-able: the crisis there may have left relations between Russia and the West chillier than at any point since the Cold War, but, as yesterday's troop movements showed, Western diplomacy and Russian manoeuvring have seldom been so tightly linked.
The lesson for Nato is clear: Moscow, for all its bluster, is paying close attention to steadily mounting condemnation of its Georgian adventure. Nato force is still a last resort. Its use is all but inconceivable in Georgia. But Nato unanim- ity counts for a great deal.
Yesterday's pullback from Gori was better than intransigence, but it was limited. As the small contingent of armoured vehicles headed for South Ossetia, more Russian troops looked on from the roadside, going nowhere. Their commander said that a full withdrawal would have to wait until his forces had set up what he called “peacekeeping posts”. Despite a prisoner exchange aimed at calming tensions near Tbilisi, Russian units remained within easy striking distance of the capital. Farther west, there was no sign of a withdrawal from the strategic port of Poti, nor from Abkhazia, where 1,000 Russian troops have arrived in the past two weeks.
Such is the reality on the ground. It mocks the ceasefire agreed with President Sarkozy two days into the crisis. It may yet make Condoleezza Rice, the US Secretary of State who brokered a second deal last Friday, look equally naive. But it has hardened Nato unity.
As David Miliband, the Foreign Secretary, wrote yesterday in The Times, “Russian mind games on withdrawal do them no credit”. The US, long since the most enthusiastic champion of Georgian membership of Nato, now proposes the establishment of a permanent Nato-Georgia Commission. Germany had resisted further Nato expansion for fear of antagonising Moscow, but now explicitly supports Georgian membership.
Much of the rhetoric emanating from Moscow is for domestic consumption. Some of it, including the weekend's absurd threat of a nuclear strike on Poland if it proceeds with a missile defence pact with the US, may be symptomatic of power struggles between President Medvedev's Kremlin clique and an increasingly vocal military over which he exercises only nominal control.
This is not the time for similar bellicosity from the West. There is little to gain and much to lose by issuing further ultimatums as long as Russia continues to withdraw. But Nato warships should remain in the Black Sea until the pull-back is complete. The Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe must insist on replacing Russian peacekeepers in the region with its own. And the EU as well as Nato must agree and publish detailed mechanisms for isolating Russia should it persist in dragging its feet.
Mr Miliband has advocated “hard-headed engagement”. But actions must have consequences. For now, Nato needs to be more hard-headed with Russia and less engaged.
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UK should support the Russian army intervention? Wow, that' s brand-new vision of British foreign Policy.
NATO should give to Georgia and Ukraine membership action plan. this will make these two young democracies more stabile and secure. We need european peacekeepers in this region, the real PC's
Shota Shvelidze, Tbilisi, Georgia
The maturity shown by the politicians in this whole thing is enlightning. Like a bunch of schoolboys and girls squaring up against one and other in a school yard. Any parent with a modicum of education would have talked a spat of this nature down amongst his or her children without the hystrionics
michael, Dublin, i
The Russians have lost face in so many ways, please let's have compassion for their plight? Does this sound like Nazi Germany in the 30's? They lost face when they were roundly trounced in WWI. Their economy was in the toilet. Neville Chamberlain thought Hitler could be appeased. Extrapolate.
Kate Rafferty, Santa Ynez, USA
Andrei of Kursk,
You are paranoid. Get some help. Perhaps you and Putin can go to the same rehab clinic.
Cheers,
Ricardo de Praga , Prague , Czech Republic
People mixing up the USSR and Russia.
The USSR was a Left wing Communist totalitarian regime; its cousin was the Right wing National Socialist regime in Germany. Both collapsed; neither was a "loss of face" for the nationalities involved.Germany denazified, Russia remains unpurged of its demons.
Dr Andris Lielmanis, Brampton, Canada.
We (the UK) should have been supporting the Russian army intervention in stopping a brutal attack by the Georgians, as you don't use artillery barrages against civilians you regard as your own people.
Instead our politicians are living in their own cold war world we'll suffer in future for it.
Gareth, Tonbridge, UK
"the weekend's absurd threat of a nuclear strike on Poland"
That wasn't what was said. The general involved said Poland "is exposing itself to a strike", which is quite a different matter - there's enough overheated rhetoric flying around already, and you should not be adding to it
Homer, London,
I am by no means a Russian apologist, but before we condemn we should walk a mile in their shoes. They've lost face on so many fronts. The breakup of the USSR, the West's encroachment, Afghanistan, Serbia, Kosovo, etc. Small wonder the level of frustration of a proud people. Reflection please.
Adam, New London, CT, USA
When it comes to shooting itself in the foot NATO is adept at it.
Witness Afghanistan. Mind you they are good at killing civilians. How is OSCE going to force the Russians to do anything. As for the EU well think OIL think GAS.
ColinH, Bury, UK
Resume of above article is: "We must reduce the tension of our rhetoric but continue to encircle, suppress and harm Russians everywhere for reach our main point: destruction of Russia." Unfortunately, this is the straight way to WW3 and first step was done by shameless propaganda of last week.
Andrey, Kursk, Russian Federation
NATO should not accept Georgia and Ukraine as their political systems aren't stable. These countries are driven by reckless polititians who do not understand human rights and freedoms. Many people are suffering in these countries and they are far from being called democratic societies.
Alex Meshkov, Beijing, China
Given the posturing by the male-egos in the Russian hierarchy, I think France/Germany's interpretation of the situation dovetails nicely with the bellicosity of other Western states. Allow the Russians to consume this, withdraw while saving face, and the point will be made - and understood.
David, Dublin,