Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
The banking crisis began with a few mortgages irresponsibly mis-sold to borrowers in the United States who could not afford the repayments. It has cascaded to threaten the entire Western financial system, which is now beyond the power of financiers alone to rescue. Politicians must act.
Financial crises are dramatic because they are self-reinforcing. When lenders worry about repayment, they stop lending, even to each other.
This is why Ireland’s actions in the past 24 hours are almost as significant as the rejection by Congress on Monday of the Paulson plan: the Irish Government has guaranteed unconditionally all deposits in six Irish banks for two years. This is a recognition that the crisis will not be remedied just by increasing the amount of funds in the economy and cutting interest rates to encourage interbank lending. Governments must now do nothing less than rebuild shattered confidence in the financial system, and this task is as much about politics as economics.
The Irish decision is bold politics, but risky. It was made without international consultation, or much analysis of its potential effects on the global system. It creates the danger of a flood of deposits – and liabilities – for which Irish banks may not be prepared. And it is so sweeping in its scope, effectively nationalising the country’s financial system for two years, that confidence in the system now equates to confidence, or lack thereof, in Ireland’s national Government.
But the Irish move did underline the inadequacy of deposit insurance in the UK. The old limit of £35,000 was beginning to look like a signal that savers were taking risks by depositing money in the bank. That message needed to be refuted urgently after the nationalisation of Iceland’s third-largest bank; the massive aid extended to stricken banks in Germany and the Benelux markets; and the Bradford & Bingley rescue. Hence yesterday’s plans to increase the guarantee for bank deposits to £50,000. Hence, also, David Cameron’s speech yesterday supporting the idea of legislation to give the Bank of England new powers to rescue failing banks.
A new political consensus is needed urgently on both sides of the Atlantic that recognises the benefits but also the risks of globalisation, and accepts the need for a thorough overhaul of the machinery that manages that risk.
This crisis has shaken the foundations of capitalism. In the US the mechanisms of free and competitive markets, still sacrosanct two weeks ago, are being challenged by hundreds of congressional representatives, and millions of voters with the power to throw them out of office on November 4. These voters do not fall easily into red and blue camps. They are homeowners and business owners appalled by the devastation that remote financial institutions appear to have brought upon themselves, and by the Administration’s demand that taxpayers foot the bill.
The Paulson plan was, as President Bush noted, “a big plan for a big problem”. But like the sub-prime mortgages that made it necessary, it was disastrously mis-sold. Congress and the White House have a few days at most to put this right. They must explain to middle America precisely why an imploding global market in credit derivatives jeopardises mortgages, consumer loans and lines of credit for small businesses. They must reassure Main Street – again, for it did not work the first time – that its hard-earned tax dollars will not vanish into golden parachutes. And they must show that they are not exploiting the whole mess for political gain.
Governments must provide the regulatory framework for market economies. They must pump money into the system when it freezes. But they must also learn to tell voters what on earth they are doing.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Mind you, Donna, the EU isn't going to do anything unpopular, or that smacks of trying to exert control over proud independent Irishmen until the Irish have been obedient enough to sign the Lisbon treaty.
Andrew Forbes, Thames Ditton, Surrey
Whatever is done lets not have anything done that will benefit the bankers.
These guys have had their faces deep in the trough for the past decade, now they need my money to bail them out. They are a disgrace.
Andrew, Egham,
I'm waiting to see if Eire's Government is allowed to get away with it's unconditional guarantee. Eire is in the Eurozone; it's banking system is overseen by the EU. The EUSSR may intervene; afterall it wouldn't want Eire to get any confidence or assert independence: there's a Con/Treaty to rig.
Donna Walker, Effingham, England