Win tickets to the ATP finals
“The global financial system will become more multipolar,” ventured Peer Steinbrück, the German Finance Minister, as he surveyed the epic disarray in the US banking system. His hopeful prediction, offered a fortnight ago, is only the most recent unforeseen victim of the credit crisis. European leaders have underestimated the extent to which the Continent's banking system is tethered to the wreckage of the US sub-prime lending market. Their response has evinced a serious failure of leadership. That failure has implications for Europe's role in the international financial system and Europe's single currency.
European statesmen have denied the need for a Paulson-type plan to support the banking sector, preferring to work case by case. President Sarkozy presided over a European summit at the weekend that produced little but pantomime.
Responding to specific bank weaknesses has its attractions, as rescues can be mounted speedily. Those cases have included, in the past week, the cross-border rescues of Fortis and Dexia; the nationalisation of Bradford & Bingley in the UK; and the bailout of Hypo Real Estate in Germany.
But there is a drawback to this type of firefighting. Without a co-ordinated scheme, national governments may take actions that increase rather than mitigate systemic risk. This is what the Irish Government did last week by extending a guarantee for two years to deposits in six banks. Greece, Denmark, Portugal and Iceland have likewise issued deposit guarantees. On Sunday, Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, made an ambiguous statement that seemed to point towards a guarantee of all private deposits.
This type of unilateral action is potentially destabilising. Depositors in countries that have not extended guarantees will inevitably seek to transfer funds towards banking systems that promise greater protection. Guaranteeing private deposits in one country thus risks aggravating the crisis in other countries, by further depleting the capital of banks. It may also put severe pressure on the fiscal positions of the countries that guarantee the deposits. It will not even deal with the fundamental problem of the credit crisis, as it does not cover corporate deposits.
The risk will be greatest in the euro area, precisely because of what monetary union was designed to bring about - a reduction in the costs of conducting financial transactions by creating a Continent-wide currency. What started as a crisis in Wall Street has thus spread to the European banking system, and European governance is proving itself inadequate to the task of stablising the financial system. The European Central Bank operates a single monetary policy for the euro area, but it does not operate as a Continent-wide lender of last resort. Advocates and critics of a single currency have long accepted that monetary union implies harmonising fiscal policies. It is clear from the seismic shifts in the global financial system that, if it is to work at all, it also requires centralisation of financial supervision.
Mr Sarkozy has spoken of the need to “rebuild the entire global financial and monetary system”. His Paris summit, however, was not a promising start. It was a fiasco. If there is to be a new international financial architecture on the model of the postwar Bretton Woods arrangement, there must be greater realism among European governments and institutions. Citizens of the eurozone will have to consider handing further powers to a shared authority if they want to take co-ordinated action. Countries outside the single currency will have to think once again about the price of economic union. For now, the priority should be to co-operate with US policymakers in stabilising the international banking system. Declaiming on the failures, real as well as imagined, of free-market capitalism can wait.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
The UK's leading alternative to showroom finance.
Finance packages tailored to your needs.
Minimum loan of £15,000
Car Insurance
£12,578 per annum
The Independent Housing Ombudsman
London
Competitive
Barclaycard
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£80-95,000
Clay McGuire Executive Selection
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.