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It is true that economic growth can degrade the environment: the noxious fumes in many Chinese cities are a case in point. It is also possible that climate change may hit the poorest countries hardest, as the Archbishop suggests. But it is not yet clear how to trade off that as yet unknowable scale of risk against the proven benefits to those countries of economic growth.
The Archbishop believes that it is not “compatible with a Christian ethic to ignore the environmental degradation that we face”. That is a perfectly acceptable proposition. The question is what do to about it. Rushing to restrict the growth of poor countries, and thus to entrench poverty, would not be entirely ethical.
The debate about climate change is not always rational: there are other forces at work. Too often, this issue is hijacked by leftist ideologues to serve an anti-capitalist, anti-globalisation and anti-American agenda. All would be well, they argue, if we put an end to consumption and trade. That is not fair, nor is it a productive way forward.
Climate change is a formidable challenge with many dimensions. It is a challenge that the world will be heavily reliant on businesses, technology and individual initiative to solve. Governments need to regulate markets intelligently and to be far more activist in incentivising them. And companies that pretend to be green should start putting their money into new techno-logies as well as into slick advertising.
The political climate is changing, and in more readily identifiable ways than the climate itself. Several US states have already set targets for reducing their carbon dioxide emissions. The British Government set emissions targets that were more stretching than those required by the Kyoto Protocol, much to its credit — although the announcement yesterday shows that it should have done more to meet them.
No meaningful policy will be crafted on climate change without the participation of the US, India, China and Brazil. Tony Blair’s proposals for stabilising greenhouse gas emissions appear to be too vague to be a starting point for a renewed global debate. The private sector must have the certainty and confidence needed to invest and develop cleaner technologies, but his statement provides neither.
While there is, and should be, debate over the still disputed facts of climate change, there is a gathering consensus that each of us has a responsibility and a role. The West cannot stop India and China from industrialising. It can, however, take every intelligent step to ensure that those countries and their people develop as cleanly as possible. That is practical politics, good economics, environmentally sound and morally right.
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