Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes

Latin America, once a region of autocratic generals, has been embra-cing democracy for years. Senhor da Silva’s victory in 2002 was a landmark for the Centre Left. He fought his campaign as a radical populist, but in power has proved to be far more restrained. By contrast, Hugo Chávez in Venezuela has chosen to be a populist firebrand. The new President of Boli-via, Evo Morales, may yet follow suit. Both of them, bizarrely, appear to look to Fidel Castro’s Cuba as a role model. It is to Senhor da Silva’s credit that he has eschewed that lazy route to popularity in favour of sound stewardship of the economy and political moderation.
Under Senhor da Silva, significant amounts of debt have been paid off. Within the next two years, Brazil will owe the International Monetary Fund nothing. Tight fiscal targets have been met, the country has a healthy trade surplus and inflation has been tamed. The reward has been robust job creation, higher wages and an improved international rating for Brazil’s remaining debt. For the first time in the country’s history, the economy will not be a burning issue in this year ’s election campaign. Meanwhile, the President’s pioneering anti-poverty programme, the Family Purse, is being used as an exemplar by the World Bank.
By the standards of other emerging economies, Brazil’s growth rate, averaging around 2.6 per cent over the past three years, is disappointing. But, to his credit, the President has insisted that steady, sustainable growth, based on investment, fiscal prudence and greater social equality, offers a far better long-term prospect for lifting millions out of poverty than the bust-prone bubbles of the past. And Brazil sensibly remains committed to Mercosur, the regional common market.
Senhor da Silva is not without his problems. A corruption scandal involving some of his staff has dented his popularity. Because of the high interest rates needed to conquer inflation, Brazil’s economy has not been growing as fast as it could. But a recent opinion poll suggests that the President has edged ahead of his rivals and most analysts expect him to win a second term this October. In a politically turbulent region, that alone would be a significant achievement.
Britain should be interested in Brazil and not just when a president pays a state visit. Over the next 25 years Brazil, like others including Indonesia and Mexico, will emerge as more than a regional power. That is already clear from the crucial role that Senhor da Silva will play in the world trade negotiations. This is a nation that, if it exploits its sizeable assets smartly, will be far more than merely a football superpower.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.