James Bone in New York
We've made some changes
to The Sunday Times
The United Nations yesterday cut its estimate of the number of people infected with the Aids virus by more than six million.
The UN Aids agency revised its estimate of HIV cases around the globe from 39.5 million to 33.2 million, including 2.5 million children.
The Geneva-based organisation said the 16 per cent downward revision was due to better data, particularly in India, rather than any change in the spread of the disease.
Some critics have accused the UN of inflating its Aids numbers and said the revision was overdue. “They’ve finally got caught with their pants down,” said Jim Chin, a former WHO official and author of The
Aids Pandemic: The Collision of Epidemiology with Political Correctness, who is a professor at the University of California at Berkeley.
But Kevin De Cock, head of HIV/Aids at the World Health Organisation, rejected any suggestion that the UN had boosted the numbers to increase Aids funding.
The UN report noted that the rate of new infections had peaked in the late 1990s at more than three million a year. But the survey found that there were still 2.5 million new infections in 2007 and approximately 2.1 million deaths from Aids.
That translates into 6,800 people becoming infected with the HIV virus every day, and more than 5,700 people dying from the disease.
The UN also changed its estimate on how long it takes to die of Aids if not treated from 9 years to 11 years.
About half of the downward revision in the global total of HIV cases was attributable to India, where the estimate number of those infected was more than halved from 5.7 million to 2.5 million. Most infected Indians live in the four southern states of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu.
Also cut significantly were estimates for the sub-Saharan African countries of Angola, Kenya, Mozambique, Nigeria, and Zimbabwe.
UN experts attributed the change to better data gathered from household surveys rather from than blood samples taken at health clinics.
Although expensive, household surveys reach further into remote rural areas and represent the general population better. Samples at clinics tend to overrepresent pregnant women, who become infected at a disproportionately high rate.
But Karen Stanecki, a UN Aids epidemiologist, noted that household surveys were not the “gold standard”, because they might miss high-risk groups such as prostitutes, homosexuals and intravenous drug users.
The Aids crisis remains worst in sub-Saharan Africa, which had 68 per cent of new worldwide infections this year and 76 per cent of Aids deaths.
Outside Africa, the epidemic is largely concentrated in vulnerable groups such as men who have sex with men, sex workers and their partners, and drug users who inject.
The Caribbean is the second-worst-hit region in per capita terms, with 1 per cent of adults — or 230,000 people — carrying the virus. Haiti and the Dominican Republic account for two thirds of the total.
Britain has one of the largest HIV/Aids epidemics in Europe, alongside Spain, Italy and France.
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love, plus take advantage of two-for-one tickets
We explore leisure activities that are safe and suitable for all of the family
Times Online's new TV show helps you make the right decisions for your pet
See the best entries in this year's competition
Your brain is capable of more than you might think...
An interactive preview of the brand new For Your Eyes Only exhibition
The latest travel news plus the best hotels and gadgets for business travellers

Love Sudoku? Play our brand new interactive game: with added functionality and daily prizes

Are you irritable when you return from work? Drained of emotion? You could be suffering from boreout
Prepare for some shock and awe, petrol lovers. Despite the greens trying to wipe it out, the car is about to offer us the most exciting year ever
We've trawled the brochures and websites to find this summer’s best holidays for every taste and budget


A treasure trove of baubles, booty and stylish quests

50% off top restaurants, book online

2002/02
£59,995
The Midlands
2008/08
£169,950
Scotland
2007/57
£35,000
South East England
Great car insurance deals online
Circa £82,000 per annum
Birmingham Women's Hospital
Birmingham
To £28k
Barclaycard
Various (outside London)
£
Up to £66,000 per annum
Hertfordshire County Council
South East
To £38k
Barclaycard
Northampton/Liverpool
2 Bathrooms, Balcony and Garden
Beautiful Gardens w/ stunning Thames Views
Apts From £249,950
Mortgages, bank acc & money transfers to help you buy abroad
Explore mystical Jordan
From £1030 for 7nts 4*
to USA's Most Cosmopolitan City; San Francisco!
£POA
Book Now for Winter 08/09 and Get 10% off!
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Search globrix.com to buy or rent UK property.
© Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.