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Why will I find it harder to get a mortgage?
It is nothing personal. The credit crunch means that banks are reluctant to lend to each other. Banks rely on the liquid transfer of cash between each other to fund their loans to consumers. Now that these loans have dried up, it has made it impossible for them to finance the type of mortgage deals seen over the past few years. The emergency bailout of Bear Stearns has made the world’s banks even more reluctant to lend to each other, mainly because they are frightened of another collapse.
The US crisis is likely to dent confidence in the property market further, which could prompt more price falls. Lenders may cut back again on the size of loans they offer if this happens. Brokers say the problem is likely to get worse before it gets better.
What should I do?
If you are a first-time buyer, don’t bother trying to get a mortgage unless you have a deposit for at least 25 per cent of the property value. If you don’t have one, get saving.
Anyone due to remortgage, even in six months’ time, should plan ahead. Savills Private Finance, the broker, says you can reserve a rate that is on the market now for up to six months. If rates have fallen by then, you can ditch that deal and switch to the best available at the time.
Why will this affect the property market?
If there are no mortgages available, buyers cannot buy houses. Sellers have either to withdraw the property from the market or accept a much lower price. Agreed sales are falling through because lenders are pulling out at the last minute. Worst affected is the first-time buyer end: one bedroom apartments. Now that first-time buyers cannot easily obtain deals worth more than 90 per cent of the property, even this type of accommodation is out of their reach. Prices at the top are also suffering as fears grow over City jobs and bonuses.
What should I do?
It is probably a good idea to avoid selling unless absolutely necessary. If you have to sell, market the property at about 10 per cent below its value to attract interest. This way, you may spark a bidding war.
First-time buyers should stay away for the time being, while other buyers should search for bargains at property auctions and negotiate hard.
Should I be worried about my other debts?
Unfortunately, yes. While the mortgage market is bearing the brunt, banks also have to fund lending on credit cards and personal loans, so anyone with lots of debt is likely to be hardest hit. The good news is that experts think that card companies have stopped restricting their criteria and if anything, are trying to acquire new business, which should make it possible to get another card with a competitive interest rate if you need one. However, personal loan rates are expected to continue to rise to dissuade further borrowing. This will increase the monthly outgoings of anyone who has personal debts and will reduce the chances of obtaining any more credit.
What should I do?
Hard times require tough action. The golden rule is to pay off your most expensive debts first. Credit-card holders should stop spending on their cards and aim to clear debts as soon as possible. For a bit of breathing space, switch to a 0 per cent interest deal if you can, but resist the temptation to add to your debt. Contact Citizens Advice at www.citizensadvice.org.uk, National Debtline at www.nationaldebtline.co.uk or Credit Action at www.creditaction.org.uk for free help.
Are there any safe havens left for my money?
Yes. Building societies are not as exposed as banks to the renewed credit crisis because they do not use as much wholesale funding to back mortgage deals. This means that they are less likely to “do a Rock”.
However, rates are not always that great. Ironically, Northern Rock has arguably become the best place to stash cash since the bank began offering market-leading accounts to attract new business. Since the nationalisation, these rates come with a full government backing.
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Estate agents just have a job to do , not are all highflying and well paid, in Wales for example. This is just a job, which pays our mortgage....like everyone else, we are only human.
G Russell, Neath, W Glamorgan
The IMF says English house prices are overpriced by 40% -not plucked out of thin air surely. They said by 30% in September 2004 - glossed over though - I mean, it's such a priviledge to live in this country isn't it?!!! It would be great to say 'bring it on, bring them down by 40%', but not for those poor, normal people, who have had to pretend that they're somewhere near millionaire status and have taken out a gigantic mortgage just to have somewhere to live - shame on this disgusting 'government' - 'things could only get better'?? Definitely for them; for us, misery...
Jayne Taylor, Bristol, England
Lower case John,
If you think that estate agents somehow have the power to dictate what someone pays for a house then you are mistaken. What someone will pay to secure a property from otherwise being sold to another party is what fuels house prices, not what a "greedy" estate agent tells them it is worth. I would also be interested to know what sector of the business world would not be interested in generating as much profit as possible. Perhaps you work to a different strategy?
Will, Suffolk,
BTLetters are getting desperate these days.
Look at the comment below: "BTLetters are safe as houses... provided they are not overstretched"... they are all overstretched! Interest cost = rental income has been the mantra of the BTLs! And with an interest cover ratio of 1 (not counting voids) how can you expect to survive the crunch!
Welcome repossessions!
Michelle V., richmond,
Please , please everyone calm down, house prices are coming down slightly because greedy estate agents have inflated them for the past few years, I think it's good for most people's pocket if house prices do come down a bit, also with regards to mortgages, people who have been re-mortgaging every 2 years and capital raising will have to learn that the money has to be paid off one day ! we've got so use to 4.5% low mortgage deals, a 6% mortgage interest rate is not a bad thing, everyone should just hold tight and as we've all done before we'll weather this storm, as the saying goes "whatever goes up must come ........." happy easter everyone !!!
john, london, u.k
We have no land and a rising popn as support? So did Japan. We have low rates and unemployment? So did Japan and the US does now. So we have BTL are going to see rising rents? BTL has relied in capital appreciation since 2006â¦more than 50% of BTL was bought in that time. There is such a surplus of BTL out there (2mn properties) that rent rises are not matching the rise in rates as they come off their fixed rates.
There are hundreds of thousands with high income multiples who will now be remortgaging. They will now be stuck on SVRs. Even "just 500,000" going from 4.5% to 7% will be huge. That is 7% on 300k, in 1990 it was 15% on 100k. Thousands being sacked in the City, mortgage approvals have collapsed, and repossessions are rocketing.
25% is more than a blip. How many homeless exist right now even despite the alleged shortage? Plenty of people want a house but need credit. Without the credit we are stuck. Excess credit meant people bid too much. Now they get less they'll bid down.
Raj, London,
Jesse in London - it is you who are 'eluding' yourself; you haven't just bought a property by any chance, have you? Or perhaps you're an estate agent. Whatever, the argument you propose is quite ridiculous.
Suffice to say, the bubble has burst, the crunch is here and if you think a 25% reduction in prices is just a blip, you're dreaming. Although I fully expect peak-to-trough nominal falls of around 40% within 3 years, so severe has this boom been.
Mike Wilson has it spot on: prices must return to affordable levels. As they have done in the past when people thought property prices only ever went up. I remember the last crash and the same excuses were being trotted out. Some folk'll never learn...
cp, London, UK
There's a bit of financial common sense that people need at all times, not just now. Don't spend more than you earn. Don't undertake risky borrowing (a large deposit protects you as well as the lender). Don't believe people who say that asset prices (houses, shares) must always go up. Pay off debt, then keep some savings in case of problems (car or house repairs, redundancy). Don't panic -- acting on fear will benefit someone other than yourself.
Carol, Derbyshire,
FTBS, don't elude yourselves. Like everyone else who has climbed aboard the housing market you will at one point or another, need to take the risk. Panic and Confidence in the market is very different from a full fledged crash. Forget holding out for a crash, its not going to happen, not at least in the UK. A 25% drop actually equates to a blip due to the fact that prices and growth were so buoyant last year, contrary to predictions. So, overall, you will not be getting a bargain unless you're looking at an empty cardboard newbuild or a property in a degenerated area. Also, potential sellers will now refrain from selling to weather the so called "storm" leaving even less stock on the market. Sorry to burst your bubble!
Jesse, london, UK
Listen, unless uve all got crystal balls may i beg of you to stop making sensationalist comments like 'i know a crash is coming' this, for want of a better word, is tosh because know one knows else theyd be stinking rich.
Admittedly, we can all forecast hard times for FTBs attempting to obtain credit in the short term having an adverse affect on market growth . BUT surely this INCREASES the demand for rent of property (unless people are going homeless?!), providing greater leaway for landlords to cover increased mortgage rates caused by the credit squeeze. Thus reinforcing the idea which motivated many people with money to invest in property in the first place.
I dont profess to be an expert so please correct me if im wrong, but, providing Landlord's aren't so over stretched that even higher renting rates will not cover the size of their loan when rates change, then I believe people invested in property are, safe as houses, forgive the pun.
Mark, brimingham,
Sound advise. I am a first time buyer and i know a crash is coming, there is no way i will be purchasing a house for at least 12 months.
To other FTB'ers out there, dont be stupid and risk everything which you have saved hard for. Wait 12 months and pay up to 30% less.
richard hepburn, Diss, Norfolk
Unusually good and frank advice. May I suggest sending it immediately to every estate agent in the country to pass on to their vendors. They need to talk the market down now or they are going out of business. With FTBs needing a large cash deposit and the BTL mortgage market drying up - it is time that someone spelt out to house sellers in words of one syllable that the prices achieved in the last few years were as a result of cheap credit and liar loans.
Now prices must return to normal affordability levels. People who took a huge mortgage out in the last few years in the utterly STUPID belief that house prices would carry on going up forever, aided and abetted by all lenders, property journalists AND the presenters of property porn shows like Sarah Beeny, Phil and Kirstie and the irritating twerps that present Under the Hammer (under the cosh now!) - are going to have the next 10 to 20 years to regret their actions and try to pay their debts down.
Mike Wilson, Winchester,
Or even Whopping 25% James.
Yes, but this is really the problem isn't it?
Austin Tassletine, South West, UK
"If you are a first-time buyer, donât bother trying to get a mortgage unless you have a deposit for at least 25 per cent of the property value."
And where did you get that idea from? are you trying to scare off what few first time buyers we have left? I am a broker at a dedicated first time buyers centre and we still have plenty of mortgages for those without a whoping 25% deposit
james webster, plymouth,