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THE number of people whose homes were repossessed last year rose by 21 per cent, but repossessions are just one indication of the UK’s deepening debt crisis.
The scale of individual debt, both through mortgages and other debts such as credit cards and personal loans, has increased sharply over the last ten years. By the end of December 2007, total lending to individuals reached £1,409 billion, figures from the Bank of England show.
Of this £1,409 billion, £1,185 billion was mortgage lending with the remainder £224 billion consisting of consumer credit including credit cards.
This compares to the £419 billion of secured debt and £84 billion unsecured in May 1997.
This mountain of debt is taking its toll with Britons defaulting on unprecedented amount of loans. More than one million have fallen behind on interest payments, according to the Financial Services Authority, and another two million are “continually struggling”.
The debt advice firm Debt Free Direct estimates that between one and two million households are “permanently indebted” — meaning that while managing to juggle their debts and meet minimum interest payments, they will never repay the principal.
In 2006, it is estimated that UK banks wrote off an unprecedented £6.6 billion of loans to personal customers. That is 20 per cent higher than in 2005, which itself was 50 per cent higher than 2004.
The latest statistics from the Insolvency Service on bankruptcies and individual voluntary arrangements - private agreements between debtors and creditors that allow borrowers to avoid bankruptcy - show a quarterly fall in the number of individual insolvencies, though some experts fear this is just a blip in a longer term rising trend.
There were 24,846 individual insolvencies in England and Wales in the fourth quarter of 2007, a decrease of 3.9 per cent on the previous quarter and a decrease of 16.4 per cent on the same period a year ago.
While IVAs at 42,165 were 4.9 per cent lower than in 2006 when they stood at 44,332, bankruptcy orders, at 64,480 were 2.4 per cent higher than in 2006, when the figure was 62,956.
Mike Gerrard, head of personal insolvency at Grant Thornton, says: "Take no heart from this quarter's drop in personal insolvencies, they are merely the tip of the iceberg. From here on in it's going to be a rough ride for many individuals and the numbers going insolvent will rise."
Mr Gerrard believes insolvencies will rise as the credit crunch, slowing consumer confidence and the lagging effects of past interest rate rises finally begin to feed into the statistics.
Despite this gloomy outlook, there are some signs consumers are beginning to adapt their spending behaviour in response to today’s tougher conditions.
Latest figures from APACS show that although spending on plastic over Christmas was £32.2 billion, and that this is up four per cent on Christmas 2006, the 2007 figure marks the slowest year on year increase in spending over the same period for four years.
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I don't understand why there are so few comments here considering it is the most serious threat to the UK economy for decades.It will take decades to sort out with a 2% inflation target.Look at the numbers back in 1990 just before the last house price crash,and compare them with today.Then compare the average wage in 1990 to today,the numbers are telling me that the UK is going to have several years of low economic growth.Anyone who thinks otherwise is not facing up to the truth.The early 1990's were a very difficult time for many,the early teens will be just as hard,if not harder.This decade will be known as the fantasy decade in years to come.
stephen hulton, eure, france
I'm only looking at the facts.Interest rates are very low,and may turn negative in 'real' terms this year as the BOE are certain to cut rates again.Its not the interest thats the problem,its the sheer size of the capital.The difference between £1.3 and £1.4 trillion = 2 NRs sums this up very well.Without high levels of wage inflation,the low interest rates of recent years may prove to have been higher than they were when they were at 15% when take-home pay and ability to repay the capital are taken into consideration.I may be completely wrong,but the situation appears to me,looking from outside the picture,to be quite serious.
stephen hulton, eure, france
Stephen.
Optimists extrapolate to infinity on the way up. House prices going up quickly means they can only carry on rising (a pessimistit/realist? may say that such an asset class has risen so much that it will now collapse).
An optimist would also assume that as employment growth is at record levels so everyone will soon have the choice of two jobs (whereas a pessimist or realist? may say that the only place for unemployment to now go is up).
Remove the basic social/ economic concepts of: ability to pay drives demands, interest payment levels rather than rates are the sign of vulnerability (6% on 300k, now, being the same as 15% on 100k, 1990), unemployment can rise (and the govt will not pay interest on the mortgage above 100k), there is an investor class (BTL) who will sell much faster than people losing homes last time, and we have no stimulus weapons left....and tax payers not paying the full mortgage interest does not even occur to most of them as an issue.
Raj, London,
Your headline says "Collectively Britons owe more than 1.3 trillion ...". Technically true but, as it says in the article, the figure is actually over 1.4 trillion but hey, what's a 100 billion between friends? Two Northern Rocks?
Wonder what your Anne Asheworth (or whatever her name is) thinks of this? All that debt good for the soul? And just think how much debt our children will have to take on to keep the party going for people like her! Earning 25k sir? Just the average wage? Fine ... an 8 times salary mortgage is what you need for a studio flat in London ... what's that you say ... 5 years ago you could have bought it for half the price ... aha, you should have bought 5 years ago .... what's that? still paying off university debts ... hmm, never mind, have you thought about a pension yet ... what? no, paying to much tax to fund my pension to think about your own ... what a wonderful world New Labour have created.
Mike Wilson, Winchester,
Has anyone thought about the fact that there is now no state help for the first 9 months after losing your job.Isn't this also capped to £125,000?I believe these changes took effect from Monday 2nd October 1995.During the last housing slump,most of the mortgage interest was paid for by the tax payer.This isn't the case this time round.This is why I think things could get very nasty by this time next year.
stephen hulton, eure, france