Grainne Gilmore, Economics Correspondent
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The number of houses sold in November last year fell by 22 per cent compared with November 2006.
Figures from the Land Registry show that 90,581 properties were sold last November, down from 115,873 in the previous year.
This is the lowest level of house sales since February last year, a month when sales are typically lower.
This comes only days after data from the British Bankers' Association (BBA) showed that the number of loans granted for new home purchases in January was one of the lowest figures on record, indicating that home sales figures for the first two months of this year could show new lows when they are released later this year.
House prices rose by 0.9 per cent last month, taking the cost of the average home to £186,045. But annual house price inflation fell for the fifth month in a row.
Land Registry figures show that a new property now costs 6.4 per cent more than it did in January last year, down from a 6.7 per cent annual rise in December.
This is the fifth consecutive monthly fall in annual house price inflation, the Land Registry says.
Detached homes have increased in value the least over the last year.
The average price of a detached house was £266,509 last month, 4.4 per cent more than in January last year.
However, owners of flats have enjoyed a greater increase in the value of their property.
This type of home has increased by 7.6 per cent in the past year to an average price of £163,289.
Prices rose faster in London than anywhere else. The average cost of a home in the capital was £357,976, about 13 per cent higher than in January last year.
However, prices in Wales rose by only 1.3 per cent to an average of £140,289.
Homeowners in Manchester had reason to celebrate, however.
The cost of an average home in the city rose by 2 per cent last month alone, taking the annual house growth to 6.1 per cent.
Liverpudlians were less fortunate. The average cost of a property in Liverpool fell by 1.1 per cent last month to £121,199, giving an annual growth figure of 4 per cent.
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I have been watching my local housing market for some time and have been astounded that prices have not crashed before now. There appears to have been an evil conspiracy, with the last minister in charge of housing (John Prescot) insisting on flats and three story town houses as being the way forward and then deciding that whole swathes of Lancashire should have a moritorium on building of any sort! Whilst these flats remain unsold, our local council has now been asking its constituents to suggest possibly sites for developement ! Meanwhile there seems to be all sorts of attempts to rig the reported selling price to the Land Registry and to mortgage providers. This has inflated valuers opinions (an art form) of property values and of course no one in the 'trade' wants lower prices do they ?
There appears to be a genuine change of gear now, with Mr. Brown promising three million new homes and the capital gains tax being reduced on buy to let properties' sales after April. CRASH!!
David Nammory, Liverpool,
Anyone who thinks that property is a surefire way of making money should remember that you pay back three times the original amount borrowed over 25 years and low rates of inflation do you no favours!! Unlike other forms of investments owning a house does mean that you have associated costs in the form of rates,insurance,maintenance and renewals which can be quite considerable over time.
Now if other everyday commodities went up anything like house prices there would be uproar. I have yet to find a shop that will accept bricks in payment for my purchases.
Evan, Hereford,
William (Avonbridge)!. If you have borrowed more than 80% of your property value there is a strong possibility you will be plunged into negative equity, prepared or not! In around 1990 a friend bought a house in Cambridge for £63000. Sold in 1996 for £46000!
Clara. Hang on in there!. You will pick up a bargain soon! (see propertysnake)
In around 1990 a friend bought a house in Cambridge for £63000. Sold in 1996 for £46000!
sophie, london,
Ann in Sydney - You are too far from the action - as the FT reports today:
"There are worries that developers of blocks of flats are conspiring with investors to over-inflate prices using added incentives such as free fixtures to secure mortgages. Lenders are then forced to repossess the property and often have to sell it at discounts of up to 40%."
That apparently comforting 7% year on year rise in the price flats needs to be taken with a large pinch of happy powder - the real value (on the real market where the lenders flog the repos) is some 40% less!
In September 2006 a little followed index of Collateralised Debt Obligations (CDOs) showed slight falls - even among those that noticed there were many who dismissed it as a short term correction - that correction was the start of what has become known as the sub-prime crisis - these things take time (much like glaciers melting) - it is not scaremongering to highlight structural weaknesses in our housing market.
Father Ignatius Brown, London, UK
OK let's look at the facts without hype. The land registry data shows actual sales figures & volumes - a factual record of the market.
So, house prices remain stable at average +0.9% with a few bigger increases (+1.5% London in January if you read the full report on the Land Registry website). Overall sales volumes down by a just under 15% in the quarter Aug-Nov compared to same period period previous year.
That means.....what exactly? That just 15% of the volume of people who purchased near the top of the so called price-bubble are not buying near the bottom of the so-called price-bubble! and this supposedly in an environment with the fact that mortgage lenders are doing a massive clampdown on "fraudulant" mortages...So can you remind me where's the "bursting" price bubble again...can't see one myself in these numbers.
Things are certainly changing, but let's stick to facts not scare stories.
Ann, Sydney, Australia
Come on journalists - where's the critical analysis pointing out that the Land Registry figures are fatally flawed because so many new builds get sold with a bundle of incentives to inflate the price.
One leading developer is reportedly offering a package worth 25% of the property price - that means the Land Registry gets say a figure of £300k on its books but the real value of the actual property (minus snazzy kitchen, cash-backs, carpets and even cars) is just £225K.
That's why so many developers are reporting seriously squeezed margins in their financial results - shareholder equity is being burnt on maintaining the sales price illusion.
Without such smoke and mirrors in the new build sector that apparently comforting 4.4% rise since last January would disappear in a puff of repossession papers. We would be looking at substantial falls already. As it is the problem will only crystallise when the buyers come to sell and can't dress the deal up to the same extent.
Huw Sayer, Norwich, England
William, Avonbridge. Ever thought that it is the witless people who get themselves into such high debt that they have to work two jobs and have no time for anything else who have contributed to the current bubble? If you (and those like you) had refused to buy, then prices would have dropped to your benefit. Clara therefore gets my support, for not being stupid. As for your statement "I am not prepared to go into negative equity for people like you!!!" - what choice do you have? I'm not prepared to accept that my (free) Northern Rock shares are worth a fraction of their value a year ago - what do you suggest that I do about it? Perhaps an economics course would have been in order before you mortgaged your life away.
Clint, Stafford, UK
Steve, Reading, Berks. What you really mean is that in the past, property has tended to be a good bet in the long term. We are in a brave new world. This is the first time the UK has had so many property investors. In previous crashes homeowners have had to be dragged kicking and screaming from their properties. In contrast, investors will be rushing for the exit. Neither of us know what will happen this time, but you shouldn't rule out the possibility that the BTL craze could, when it all goes wrong, undermine UK property values for a very very long time to come. We'll just have to wait and see.
Clive, Chichester, UK
Steve in Reading "Money in property will always win in the long run" - what a ridiculous, un-economic statement - win against what for a start - and how long a run?
More importantly if you are talking about winning in investment terms then buying at the top of the market is crazy whatever the long term - since you could find more profitable lower risk investments elsewhere for the medium term.
People who bought property in Japan at the top of the last boom in 1989 are still nursing loses - that 15 years of wasted investment opportunity. People who bought in the UK at the top of the market in 1989 did not see their investment come back into profit until 2000/02 - again a huge wasted investment opportunity.
Father Ignatius Brown, London, UK
Many of us had to struggle to buy our first home, so Clara why should prices fall just so lazy people can get on the property ladder. When I had two jobs and no social life I certainly didn't complain about it. I am not prepared to go into negative equity for people like you!!!
William Black, Avonbridge, UK
The idea of homeowners celebrating a notional 2 % monthly rise in value is asinine and implies that houses can only be bought as an investment. While you like to jabber on as if this is the case I get the impression that there are still some people who buy a house for something to live in.
Neil McF, Southampton, England
I was told that if I voted Labour everything would be all right. I think it was Roy Partridge who said it. Roy also established the Labour voter voucher -- collected 10 and you get a free Labour vote at your local polling station. Vouchers available with Walkers crisps and Gangsters Cornish Pasties. No wonder Labour are still ahead in the polls.
Ron, Sheffield, UK
A rise in house prices is only cause to celebrate for those who actually own homes. For those of us unable to purchase our own (first) home because of ridiculous house prices, it's certainly no cause for joy.
Clara, Dorchester,
Money in property will always win in the long run, even those HPC website pessimists will agree at some stage!
Steve, Reading, Berks