Judith Heywood, Deputy Property Editor
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It was always going to be a difficult few months. But is the slowdown, which
started in September and has blighted the first months of this year, going
to carry on? Some agents fear that it will.
Look for explanations and all roads lead back to the credit crunch: all manner
of buyers are finding that they cannot secure a loan at a competitive rate.
They report that lenders, already slow to pass on interest rate reductions,
are using the smallest blip on a borrower’s credit record to deny a loan.
Nick Salmon, a director of Harrison Murray, an agency with branches in the
Home Counties, said: “I don’t think the public has cottoned on to how
serious this situation is. Seven out of ten credit applications are now
being turned down.”
The problem is hurting the very group that the market most needs to be active:
first-time buyers. Paul Holmes, chief executive of the website
firstrung.com, said: “The market has not slowed so much as stopped.”
Some agents believe that his assessment is too harsh. A dire end to 2007 was
actually followed by a better than expected January and February, with more
sellers entering the market and different buyers emerging.
Certainly, amateur investors are in short supply. Robert Jordan, of Jordans
letting agency in Manchester, said: “Smaller landlords are struggling at the
moment, especially if they have bought off-plan and their guaranteed rent or
their discount mortgage is coming to an end.”
But longer-term investors are snapping up anything their analysis tells them
is a good buy. They have large portfolios, which grants them good scope for
negotiating with lenders.
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors this week reported that sales
achieved at auction had fallen to 57 per cent in December, their lowest
level in three years, a sign of a big mismatch between the price that buyers
can pay and what sellers will accept.
But David Sandeman, of the Essential Information Group (EIG), which tracks
auctions, reports a significant improvement since then, with sales rates
back at 70 per cent last month. The reason? Cracking deals. EIG’s research
shows new-build properties are selling at an average discount of 26 per cent
to their previous price.
Marcus Jays, a former estate agent who now trades property in London, has also
observed this resurgence in activity. His ability to sell on the homes he
buys and then quickly refurbishes comes down to keen pricing. “I have one
house in Hackney that three bidders are fighting over. This is because I did
not price it at a premium because it was refurbished but priced it in line
with other, ordinary family homes. That created interest.”
It is a sentiment that agents around the country would applaud. They say that
sellers have reemerged since fleeing the market in September but despite the
failure of buyers to follow them, many are proving unwilling to consider
accepting a lower price for their home.
Primelocation yesterday reported that asking prices for the property on its
website rose on average 3.1 per cent in London, 2.6 per cent in Scotland and
2.3 per cent in the South East last month. This is despite the latest
Hali-fax house price index showing that eventual sales prices achieved were
on average down 0.3 per cent.
Even with a new vogue for negotiation some bargain-hunting buyers are still
likely to be disappointed in parts of the country. As Nick Salmon says:
“Property is a safe investment over the long term and is all the healthier
for all of this.”
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