Andrew Ellson
Win 100 iconic DVDs
The news that yet another lender has withdrawn from the mortgage market is undoubtedly bad news for borrowers but there is no cause for panic. Anyone with a good credit history and a reasonable amount of equity in their property should still have no trouble finding a home loan. In most cases, borrowers looking to re-mortgage will still be able to find deals better than their existing lender’s standard variable rate.
However, the fact that lenders are now competing not to have the best deals means that the cost of loans is creeping higher. Nor is there any guarantee that a cut in the Bank of England base rate widely expected next week will make the situation better.
The essential problem is that lenders with the best deals are attracting more customers than their wholesale lending, deposit taking or administration capacity will allow. Borrowers who have a chequered credit history, little equity in their home, or first time-buyers with no deposit face the biggest increase in rates because with house prices falling they are perceived as a greater risk.
Indeed, the biggest threat of this latest phase of tightening in mortgage lending is the impact it will have on house prices.
The less the banks are prepared to lend, and the higher the rates they are prepared to lend at, the less money there is swilling around to support house prices. If house prices therefore start a significant shift downwards, the banks will become even more reluctant to lend because they will be worried about bad debts and negative equity. This in turn will mean even less money available to support prices and we may enter a destructive cycle that leads to a full scale slump in property values.
Nonetheless, this still remains a worst case scenario. The Bank of England may soon lower the cost of borrowing, which should support confidence and eventually make mortgages cheaper. Also, while levels of employment remain high, demand for property should remain reasonably robust and there will not be enough homeowners selling for “distressed” reasons to undermine the market.
Over time, with concerted action by central banks, the credit crunch should ease. The wholesale money markets should improve and banks will once again start competing for home loans. However, that is the best-case scenario and remains some way off yet.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more




36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
c£100,000 + car, bonus & bens
Lord Search & Selection
Midlands
Competitive salary + NHS pens
The Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence (CHRE)
London
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£31,842 – £38,378pa
Charity Commision
London, Liverpool or Taunton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.