Anne Ashworth: Analysis
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The repossession statistics make alarming reading — until, that is, you consider the nature of these numbers. In the first three months of this year, there were 27,530 repossession orders, which are not the same as actual repossessions. These people are at risk of losing their homes through persistent failure to meet their mortgage repayments, but not all will do so: last year there were 95,000 repossession orders, but only 27,100 repossessions.
Repossession does not also mean a get-out-of-jail-free card, an escape from mortgage debt: the former homeowner continues to be liable to the mortgage lender, which will still seek to recover its money.
In some cases, a repossession order can be a short, sharp shock that will encourage a borrower who is in denial about his arrears to start talking to his lender about ways in which the debt burden can be lessened or rescheduled. Banks and building societies are open to negotiations; after all, it is in their financial interest to keep customers in their homes.
The Ministry of Justice figures include homebuyers who have already agreed an easier repayment programme with their lenders. These individuals and families will have their homes repossessed only if they renege on their pledges.
Repossessions are about to rise this year, reflecting the hardship being caused by costlier mortgages and the surging cost of living. About 1.4million borrowers will come to the end of superdiscounted fixed-rate loans this year; they will not be able to move to equally advantageous deals.
For the moment, the Council of Mortgage Lenders is still forecasting that 45,000 borrowers will lose their homes. In 1991, at the height of the Nineties property slump, there were 75,540 repossessions, many voluntary: people handed in their keys rather than continue the struggle of meeting mortgage repayments that had doubled.
Not before time, the Government is now pledging that there will be extra guidance from Citizens Advice Bureaux and other services for those unable to cope with their mortgages and other debts: behind closed doors, ministers are cajoling lenders to be patient with those who fall behind with their commitments.
In previous property market downturns, repossessed properties have been the way for first-time buyers to clamber on to the housing ladder. So far, this is not proving to be the case. Repossessed properties are being snapped up — but by cash-rich investors. First-time buyers, who are facing huge difficulties obtaining mortgages, can only stand by in frustration.
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First time buyers clamber on to the property ladder by properties being sensibly priced, not because of a glut of repossessed properties. Repossessed properties increase supply which has a downward pressure on prices. First time buyers do not generally want to get involved in the auction market.
Henry, London,
One of the particular features of property as an investment is that you can conceal a dominating interest behind a miscellany of companies or investors. I feel sure that that is what will be taking place in the process of resolving the matter of large numbers of people unable to continue funding their mortgages.
Henry Percy, London, UK
First time buyers, don't buy. Simple. Your time will come. Do not be sucked into a falling market. And fall it surely will. This will not be a minor adjustment. Over 5 years, expect to see a 50% fall in real terms. The days of cheap credit are over, a return to 3 times salary will return. Hoorah.
will, falmouth,
What an insightful article!
I loved the way in which it's full of evidence to back up it's assertions. Cash rich investors are absolutely falling over themselves to buy massively overpriced property and the statistics presented showed that beautifully - the times should be very proud of the writer!
mark, blackburn, UK
I hardly think first time buyers are standing by in frustration!. If they have any sense at all they will wait until the fall in house prices accelerates then stagnates.
And if investors are snapping up repossessions, why are fewer houses selling at auction, where such houses are usually sold?.
sophie smith, london,
Another preposterous article aimed at convincing us that collapsing house prices are somehow not good news for first time buyers. On this occasion, apparently thanks to feckless cash-rich investors determined to incinerate their wealth by investing into an imploding bubble. Risible.
Stephen, London, UK
Paul Coventry,
people in deep purple trouble are already on "interest only" mortgages, because they restructured the loan before the repossession order. An interest only mortgage has infinite duration, not just 40 years. "lessening the burden" exists only in Anne Ashworth's fertile imagination.
George, Richmond,
Wrong. There is a silver lining for first time buyers. Property prices are going down. That means first time buyers can buy a property cheaper than before. It does not matter whether the property has been repossessed or not.
Jake Brumby, Oxford, UK
If there really are any frustrated first time buyers now, they will be very happy in a few years time. That is when they will realise that being held out of the market for a while has saved them a fortune.
Alex, Reading,
From what I understand the figures you mention only include those facing repossesion orders from 1st charge holders i.e. the bank or building society that originally lent for the house purchase. Do they include the repossesion orders from 2nd charge holders who take much much tougher action?
Neill, Maidstone, Kent
What a clever article. Yes, all you cash-rich investors, you have a marvellous opportunity. Buy! Buy! Buy! Buy as much as you can possibly afford while the poor wannabe first-time proles just have to stand by and watch. Really - I mean it. Buy now before it's too late.
paul, Hampshire,
Well done LABOUR, another market you have interfered with and broken. HIPS is pure bureaucracy. The stamp duty increases are because you got greedy and failed to manage the economy. There is no point in having low interest rates when the tax burden is so high.
steve tea, manchester, cheshire
Of course today's number is much lower than in 1991. In your own words, 1991 was at the height of the previous crash. We are only at the beginning of the current house price crash. Let's talk again in January 2010.
Michael, Oxford,
Those struggling with mortgage payments should be allowed to extend the terms of their loan, from 25 to 40 years say. If this requires government legislation to *order* the banks and building societies to do so, then so be it, given all the cheap loans that they have had courtesy of us taxpayers.
Paul, Coventry,