Jennifer Hill on Capital Hill
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I’m in a real quandary: to sell or not to sell? That is the question. Becoming a landlord was not wholly intentional. I fell into it two years ago on moving from Edinburgh to London. Loath to let go of my first property – and spurred on by reports of buy-to-let investors amassing a small fortune – I decided to let out my two-bedroom flat, in a converted whisky bond building in trendy Leith.
It all seemed so easy. I enlisted the help of a letting agent – the one who said it could achieve the highest rental income. The first potential tenants to view the property signed on the dotted line that very day. And I decamped to the big smoke leaving the contents lock, stock and barrel – plates and cups; television and sound system.
There were costs involved. The “marketing” fees – a letting-agency dogsbody turned up and took some photographs, which then appeared on its website – came in at around £100.
I had to cancel my home insurance and take out another, more expensive policy for a tenanted property. And my lender, Portman (prior to its acquisition by Nationwide), added an entire percentage point onto my mortgage interest due to the added perceived risk.
This I found hard to fathom: the mortgage was secured on a property worth double the value of the loan. So, even in the event of me being unable to meet repayments and the property being repossessed, there was little chance of it selling for less than the balance.
Irrespective, I was sanguine: this could put me on the road to riches. Since then, the rent has increased by a meagre £25 per month to £775, from which the agent takes a meaty 15% cut. That is unlikely to improve anytime soon. Supply has surged, as a vast number of sellers decide to let their property instead, denting rents.
The costs have mounted. Maintenance, repairs and factoring fees have set me back something approaching £5,000 in the past two years. Simply breaking even each month is a fortunate occurrence. The largest cost – the mortgage – is actually marginally cheaper (a saving of about £10 per month), thanks to remortgaging in April with Nationwide, which doesn’t charge any premium on tenanted properties.
That fact that I’m now on a tracker – a rate that moves in line with Bank rate – rather than a fix, means my borrowing costs could drop further. Minutes published last week from the Bank of England’s August meeting, when rates were held at 5%, show that its monetary policy committee mulled a cut.
The Bank is, of course, keen to keep inflation expectations anchored. Inflation is running at more than twice the 2% target and is set to spike even higher, but evidence of a worsening economic outlook leads most analysts to believe interest rates will soon fall.
There is a flip side, though, to the downturn, and it is a big one: property prices. House prices are plummeting at their fastest rate since the housing-market crash of the early 1990s, and the average home has lost £3,099 in value in the past month alone, tumbling to £169,316, according to Halifax.
Scotland is weathering the storm better than England. The number of loans for house purchases north of border slumped 34% year-on-year to 18,500 in the second quarter, compared with a 46% drop across the UK, the Council of Mortgage Lenders said.
Savills, the estate agents, believes Scotland, along with London and the southeast, will lead the eventual housing market recovery due to its higher level of housing-market equity and stronger household purchasing power. But who knows when it will come?
With my investment doing little more than washing its face, and the lease up for renewal at the end of next month, I have that question to answer: to sell or not to sell? Or, perhaps more accurately, to try to sell or not?
My financial backers are unperturbed. The Bank of Mum and Dad tends to be rather lenient; my parents stumped up half of the property price – interest-free – and will receive half of the proceeds. So it’s up to me.
I think I’ll put two signs outside: “To Let” and “For Sale”. That way, fate can decide.
Jennifer Hill is deputy editor of the Money section
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No it was a case, hey, I've got one property, let me buy another one. Thus push up prices. Making it harder for other people to affordably accommodated. as has been highlighted, she has parents living in Edinburgh. Another home, or alternative housing. It's called GREED!
Stevie Dee, Nottingham, United Kingdom
Jennifer is not exactly a typical BTL'er. She took out a mortgage at a health proportion to the original value and she entered the BTL market by accident almost. It wasn't a case of 'hey, everyone else is getting rich, lets get in there with a 110% mortgage'.
Robin, London, UK
Don't believe the parochial nonsense churned out by Scottish newpapers.
Go to the Nationwide website and download their house price figures. Plot the UK and Scottish figures on the same graph and you'll see that Scotland is following the UK with a slight lag.
We ain't "bucking the trend".
Michael, glasgow,
shows how these people think: the BOE also mulled a rate rise, but that part gets ignored.
Scotland's weathering the storm better than elsewhere... at the moment; and she believes the EAs when they say Scotland will lead the recovery. lol. In 10 years if last crash is anything to go by.
AndyB, Swindon,
My heart bleeds....
For all those first time buyers you have price out of the market, or the ones who are in severe financial difficulties because they took out ridiculous mortgages to get on the 'property ladder'.
Andrea, Durham, Durham
To be fair, having one flat and then having to decide to sell or rent while you work in another place is not exactly the behaviour of a BTL lunatic!
The upbeat signals sent out by all the lenders and estate agents would make anyone think twice.
It's a now just a big bet .....
John, Worthing, UK
No sympathy! Hopefully, you'll lose both properties and you can move home to your parents! You're investment is about as safe as a 90's Albanian style pyramid selling scheme. Not very!
Stevie Dee, Nottingham, United Kingdom
Sadly, the fact is that for most of us, the way to make a living is to work for it. Property investment, like any other type of investment with potential high returns, carries a risk. There is no such thing as a free lunch, and for those who filled their stomachs, it`s time to pay the bill.
Andrew, Birmingham, UK
Could you not see that the bubble was going to go pop? I did, and sold in 2005. I find it extraordinary that so many people got sucked into this orgy of borrow and spend, and could not see the bust coming. This has happened several times before. Why were people so missinformed?
Np, England, UK
How do you explain Fridays article 'Why everyone wants to be a landlord'. Are a lot of Times staff into BTL?
Np, England, UK